If U.S. Election Is Disputed, Prediction Markets Could Face 'Hornet's Nest'

How will Polymarket and Kalshi resolve their presidential bets if there's another Jan. 6 or Bush v. Gore situation? дальше »

Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork

Initially, Kalshi's feeds will power perpetual futures contracts on decentralized exchanges. Eventually, the centralized betting platform might referee on-chain prediction markets. дальше »

U.S. Political Prediction Markets: Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters

If it turns out that the judge's ruling preempts the CFTC’s proposed rulemaking, election event contracts may now be completely legal. дальше »

Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong

Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630? дальше »

Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets

Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts. дальше »

Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job

Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction market signals. Plus: Kalshi bettors don't think Taylor Swift will break her record. дальше »

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CFTC Kicks Off Review of Kalshi's Congressional Control Prediction Markets

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission began a formal review and public comment period to evaluate prediction market Kalshi's proposed contracts to bet on who will control Congress. дальше »