Polymarket / Заголовки новостей 
Prediction Markets Suggesting Kansas Primaries Are Mostly Routs, But the Governor Race Still Offers a Measure of Red-State Drift
Kansas is not shaping up as a meaningful 2026 Senate battleground, and prediction markets are treating Sen. Roger Marshall’s reelection as the safe side of the ledger with chances at greater than 80%. дальше »
2026-8-3 16:20
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Obama Backs Turek In Iowa Senate Race, Prediction Markets Still Weary of Democratic Chances
President Barack Obama’s second endorsement of the 2026 midterms gives Josh Turek a boost in an open Iowa Senate race that could matter for control of the chamber. Despite tightening polls, prediction markets are still leaning toward Ashley Hinson at nearly 60%, showing just how much Iowa’s red history still shapes the race. дальше »
2026-7-30 19:47
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Fed Holds Steady, Prediction Markets Pivot to a September Hike
The Fed left rates unchanged on Wednesday, but the decision sparked a credibility shock in markets as traders questioned how long new Chairman Kevin Warsh can hold with inflation still elevated. Kalshi is already pricing a 51% chance of a September hike. дальше »
2026-7-30 17:13
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Kalshi, Polymarket and Other Exchanges Push CFTC for Clearer Event Contract Rules
Comments on the CFTC’s proposed event contract rule show Kalshi, Polymarket and other market-side voices backing contract-by-contract review for prediction markets. The filings also exposed divisions over sports and combination contracts, self-certification and the boundary between federally regulated derivatives and gaming The post Kalshi, Polymarket and Other Exchanges Push CFTC for Clearer Event Contract Rules appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-7-30 23:26
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Prediction Markets See a Fed Hold Tomorrow, But Warsh Has Left the Door Open to a Hawkish Surprise
Kalshi and Polymarket both see a hold as the clear result in July, at 74% and 97%, while longer-dated contracts still price a meaningful chance of a hike later this year, showing traders think Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh is keeping the tightening path alive. дальше »
2026-7-29 16:00
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Prediction Markets See a Fed Hold, But Warsh Has Left the Door Open to a Hawkish Surprise
Kalshi and Polymarket both see a hold as the clear result in July, at 72% and 73%, while longer-dated contracts still price a meaningful chance of a hike later this year, showing traders think Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh is keeping the tightening path alive. дальше »
2026-7-30 16:00
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Prediction Markets Doubtful SAVE America Act Passes
The SAVE America Act would require proof of citizenship to register to vote in federal elections, but prediction markets are still skeptical it becomes law this year, with Kalshi traders at 7. 6% chance it passes on $9. дальше »
2026-7-29 02:41
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Prediction Markets Lenghten El-Sayed Lead For Michigan Democratic Senate Primary After Debate With Stevens
Abdul El-Sayed enters the final week before Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary with a commanding prediction markets, trading at 77% on Kalshi and 78% on Polymarket. The post Prediction Markets Lenghten El-Sayed Lead For Michigan Democratic Senate Primary After Debate With Stevens appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-7-29 00:40
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Prediction Markets Stay Blue As Democrats Pick Jackson In Maine Senate Race
Troy Jackson’s formal nomination gives Maine Democrats a cleaner path for the Maine Senate seat after the Graham Platner fallout. Prediction markets are still leaning toward a Democratic pickup at a greater than 605 chance against incumbent Sen. дальше »
2026-7-29 16:55
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One Polymarket, two exchanges: Which one are you on?
A wallet-based DeFi book and a CFTC-regulated exchange share one brand. Custody, collateral, KYC, product scope and resolution all differ. дальше »
2026-7-29 15:00
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Judge Grants CFTC’s Request for Preliminary Injunction Against Minnesota Law Citing Preemption Argument
The US DOJ and CFTC have secured a court order that temporarily blocks the enforcement of Minnesota’s statute banning prediction market trading just days before it was set to take effect. The post Judge Grants CFTC’s Request for Preliminary Injunction Against Minnesota Law Citing Preemption Argument appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-7-28 10:49
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Kalshi and Polymarket win Minnesota injunction
Kalshi and Polymarket US won an injunction blocking Minnesota’s prediction market ban while three federal cases move toward final rulings. дальше »
2026-7-28 07:36
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Netflix’s “The Prediction Games”: 36 Minutes Is Not Enough for Prediction Markets
Netflix's The Prediction Games is broader and more balanced than its trailer suggested, moving past the Las Vegas mansion party to give real time to founders, regulators, professional traders and the industry's worst outcomes. дальше »
2026-7-28 14:59
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John Thune shuts down hopes for CLARITY Act vote before recess
Senate Majority Leader John Thune has ruled out passage of the CLARITY Act before the August recess, as Polymarket traders cut its chance of becoming law in 2026 to 33%. Fortune reported on July 24 that Thune does not expect… дальше »
2026-7-26 18:27
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Netflix Prediction Market Documentary Arrives One Week After World Cup Final
Netflix's latest Instadocs documentary premieres Sunday, exploring the opportunities and risks behind the prediction market industry's rapid growth The post Netflix Prediction Market Documentary Arrives One Week After World Cup Final appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-7-26 22:58
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Prediction Markets Heavily Favor James, Benson in Michigan Governor Primaries
Prediction markets have James at over 80% to win the GOP nod for Michigan governor, while they're trading at over 90% for Benson on the Democratic side. The post Prediction Markets Heavily Favor James, Benson in Michigan Governor Primaries appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-7-26 22:41
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Platner Exit Scrambles Maine Senate Race, Prediction Markets Still Give Democrats Narrow Edge
Democrats still hold a slight lead in the race for a Maine Senate seat on prediction markets as the party rushes to find a replacement for Graham Platner against Sen. Susan Collins. Troy Jackson is emerging as an early frontrunner for the nod. дальше »
2026-7-11 20:09
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Polymarket files three NFA applications for US margin trading
Polymarket has filed three registration applications with the National Futures Association as it seeks to introduce margin trading for U.S. users. According to the National Futures Association’s BASIC database, Polymarket affiliate Coming Home GBA LLC submitted the applications through PM… дальше »
2026-7-10 08:12
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Prediction Markets Put Donalds on Track for Easy Florida Governor Win
Prediction markets are heavily favoring Rep. Byron Donalds in the Florida governor Republican primary, with traders pricing him as the clear frontrunner over a quiet Republican field. The race looks more like a Trump-versus-DeSantis aftershock than a true contest, while the November governor race is already being priced as a Republican hold. дальше »
2026-7-10 23:43
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Prediction Markets Favor Hong in Wisconsin Governor Primary as Progressive Wave Faces a Redder State Test
Francesca Hong is emerging as the Democratic frontrunner in Wisconsin’s governor primary, but unlike the progressive wins in New York and Colorado, the Badger State is a battleground where a left-leaning nominee could face a tougher general election climb. дальше »
2026-7-10 18:11
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CFTC Files Anticipated Motion for Preliminary Injunction in Illinois
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has asked a federal court to intervene against state officials looking to enforce gambling and tax laws against prediction market exchanges. The post CFTC Files Anticipated Motion for Preliminary Injunction in Illinois appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-7-10 16:06
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Platner’s Scandal Upends Maine Senate Race, But Prediction Markets Still Favor Democrats
The Maine Senate race received bombshell news Monday, but prediction markets for Senate party winner have barely moved off Democrats. The post Platner’s Scandal Upends Maine Senate Race, But Prediction Markets Still Favor Democrats appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-7-10 16:53
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Prediction Markets Still Favor Letlow In Heated Louisiana Senate Runoff
Louisiana’s GOP Senate runoff is tightening on the ground, with John Fleming gaining ground on prediction markets favorite Julia Letlow. The post Prediction Markets Still Favor Letlow In Heated Louisiana Senate Runoff appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-27 22:14
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Polymarket to refund users after $2.94M frontend phishing attack
Polymarket has confirmed that attackers compromised a third party vendor and used the access to inject malicious code into the platform’s frontend, leading to a phishing attack that drained an estimated $2. дальше »
2026-6-27 12:23
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Prediction Markets Nail Wilson’s South Carolina Governor Runoff Blowout
Prediction markets correctly called Alan Wilson’s South Carolina GOP governor runoff blowout, as he turned an initial primary deficit into a decisive win after Pamela Evette led round one. The post Prediction Markets Nail Wilson’s South Carolina Governor Runoff Blowout appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-26 17:07
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Prediction Markets Nail New York as Mamdani’s Slate Sweeps House Primaries
In several high profile Democratic primaries for New York House seats, prediction markets nailed the results before Tuesday's vote. The post Prediction Markets Nail New York as Mamdani’s Slate Sweeps House Primaries appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-25 17:54
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Polymarket adds Bundesliga as exclusive U.S. prediction market partner
Polymarket announced on June 23 that it had become the exclusive prediction market partner of Bundesliga in the U.S., adding another major sports property to a growing list of commercial agreements across sports, media, and technology. The company said official… дальше »
2026-6-23 10:29
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Prediction Markets Treat New York House Primaries as Wrapped
Despite close polling, prediction markets are treating some New York House primaries as done deals. The post Prediction Markets Treat New York House Primaries as Wrapped appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-23 01:09
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Prediction Markets Put Wilson Over 90% as Evette’s South Carolina Governor Bid Unravels
Prediction markets take huge swing heading into South Carolina republican runoff for governor nominee. The post Prediction Markets Put Wilson Over 90% as Evette’s South Carolina Governor Bid Unravels appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-23 18:05
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Wall Street Journal report claims Polymarket used fake wagers in creator promotions
Polymarket has faced allegations that it paid social media creators to promote fake bets and fabricated winnings through replica versions of its prediction market platform, a Wall Street Journal investigation has found. дальше »
2026-6-23 10:06
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California Billionaire Tax Qualifies for Ballot, Prediction Markets Still Bet Against It
The ballot push for a California billionaire tax has cleared one hurdle, but prediction markets still think it is a long shot. The post California Billionaire Tax Qualifies for Ballot, Prediction Markets Still Bet Against It appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-21 20:14
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Alabama Senate Runoff Gives Trump, Prediction Markets Another Easy Senate Primary Win
Prediction markets notched another Senate primary win tailing a Trump-endorsed candidate in Alabama. The post Alabama Senate Runoff Gives Trump, Prediction Markets Another Easy Senate Primary Win appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-21 18:05
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Prediction Markets Miss On Another Trump Pick in Oklahoma
Prediction markets strongly backed Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma governor heading into Tuesday, where he placed second to force a runoff. The post Prediction Markets Miss On Another Trump Pick in Oklahoma appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 18:52
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Georgia Runoffs Offer Split Result For Prediction Markets
Prediction markets followed President Trump's endorsements heading into runoff elections, ending up with split results. The post Georgia Runoffs Offer Split Result For Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 18:01
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Prediction Markets Reverse Course in South Carolina Governor Runoff
Prediction markets take a sharp turn in the South Carolina Republican governor runoff race ahead of the June 23 election. The post Prediction Markets Reverse Course in South Carolina Governor Runoff appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 17:41
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Collins Takes the Georgia Senate Prediction Markets Lead Before the Runoff
On the morning of the Georgia Senate Republican runoff, prediction markets had already settled the race. The post Collins Takes the Georgia Senate Prediction Markets Lead Before the Runoff appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 16:34
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Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary
A crowded Republican field for Oklahoma governor has not deterred prediction markets from pricing Mike Mazzei as a runaway favorite. The post Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 23:10
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Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race
Prediction markets are giving Barry Moore a major edge around 80-84% over Jared Hudson in the Alabama Republican Senate runoff. The post Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 19:32
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Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears
While polls are split on Georgia Republican governor runoff, prediction markets appear certain on the winner. The post Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 19:29
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Japan’s Bitbank warns users of account suspensions over Polymarket transactions
Japanese crypto exchange Bitbank has warned customers that accounts connected to prediction market platforms such as Polymarket could face suspension. According to a notice published by Japanese cryptocurrency exchange Bitbank, users who deposit to or withdraw from prediction market services… дальше »
2026-6-15 11:45
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Kalshi, Crypto.com and Polymarket US Sue to Block Kentucky Prediction Market Tax
The lawsuit challenges Kentucky’s 14. 25% tax and limits on gaming operators’ prediction market ties while also revealing the new Coalition for Fair Markets, which brings rival federally-regulated platforms under one legal banner The post Kalshi, Crypto. дальше »
2026-6-14 21:50
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Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock
Graham Platner cleared the Democratic Maine Senate primary despite tough stretch, but prediction markets are tightening ahead of November. The post Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-14 01:46
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From Ronaldo Tears to Trump Photo Ops, World Cup Prediction Markets Move Beyond the Pitch
World Cup markets on Kalshi and Polymarket show the platforms testing how much of the tournament’s surrounding culture can become tradable. The post From Ronaldo Tears to Trump Photo Ops, World Cup Prediction Markets Move Beyond the Pitch appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-9 22:19
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Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President
Prediction markets are warming to Jon Ossoff for 2028, lifting him to 9% on Kalshi and 7% on Polymarket as Gavin Newsom slips and the Georgia senator remains a heavy Senate reelection favorite. The post Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-9 21:51
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Platner Holds Maine Senate Edge as Markets Brush Off Scandals; Polls Less Convinced
Prediction markets still favor Graham Platner in Maine’s Senate race despite scandals and mixed polling, with traders pricing him as the likely Democratic nominee and slight general election favorite over Susan Collins. дальше »
2026-6-9 20:18
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Pratt Falls to Third in LA Mayor Race as Prediction Markets Correct Course
Prediction markets over-estimated Spencer Pratt’s early LA mayoral surge before vote counts pushed him to third. Karen Bass remains favored for November, with Nithya Raman now the likely runoff challenger. дальше »
2026-6-9 19:47
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Rubio Closes on Vance in 2028 GOP Nomination Market After Trump Comments
Prediction markets show Marco Rubio closing sharply on JD Vance after fresh comments from Donald Trump in the 2028 Republican primary market. The post Rubio Closes on Vance in 2028 GOP Nomination Market After Trump Comments appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-6 18:50
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Polymarket allegedly paid influencers at least $350,000 for undisclosed promotions: report
Polymarket has paid at least $350,000 to social media influencers over a 14-month period, with many of those creators later promoting the prediction market platform on X without clearly disclosing a paid relationship, according to a POLITICO investigation based on… дальше »
2026-6-5 18:20
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Murphy Upsets Prediction Markets in New Jersey GOP Senate Primary
Justin Murphy stunned prediction markets in New Jersey’s GOP Senate primary, defeating an 80% favorite as traders poured more than $600K into a race with little impact on November. The post Murphy Upsets Prediction Markets in New Jersey GOP Senate Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-5 17:27
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Prediction Markets See Bass-Pratt Runoff Taking Shape For Los Angeles Mayor
Prediction markets favor a Karen Bass–Spencer Pratt runoff in the Los Angeles Mayor race. Despite Pratt's surge, traders still give Bass a commanding 75% chance to win November. The post Prediction Markets See Bass-Pratt Runoff Taking Shape For Los Angeles Mayor appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-3 20:48
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