2026-7-26 18:27 |
Senate Majority Leader John Thune has ruled out passage of the CLARITY Act before the August recess, as Polymarket traders cut its chance of becoming law in 2026 to 33%. Fortune reported on July 24 that Thune does not expect… origin »
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Senate Majority Leader John Thune plans to push the CLARITY Act toward a floor vote before the August recess, potentially forcing senators to publicly declare their positions even if the crypto market structure bill cannot overcome a filibuster. Thune wants…
2026-7-26 12:09 | |
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The Yankees deal comes as New York pursues a potential $36 billion case against Kalshi that could help determine whether sports event contracts can continue to be offered in the state The post Polymarket Becomes Official Prediction Market Partner of Yankees as New York Legal Battles Heat Up appeared first on DeFi Rate.
Back-to-back agreements expand Genius Sports’ role in soccer prediction markets, giving Kalshi access to its full soccer data portfolio while Polymarket expands data, integrity and live-streaming rights The post Genius Sports Deepens Prediction Market Push With Kalshi, Polymarket US Deals appeared first on DeFi Rate.
Abdul El-Sayed survived Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary with a much tighter win than prediction markets had priced in, turning a 98–99% “lock” into a reminder that even heavy favorites can end up sweating election night.
Kansas is not shaping up as a meaningful 2026 Senate battleground, and prediction markets are treating Sen. Roger Marshall’s reelection as the safe side of the ledger with chances at greater than 80%.
President Barack Obama’s second endorsement of the 2026 midterms gives Josh Turek a boost in an open Iowa Senate race that could matter for control of the chamber. Despite tightening polls, prediction markets are still leaning toward Ashley Hinson at nearly 60%, showing just how much Iowa’s red history still shapes the race.
The Fed left rates unchanged on Wednesday, but the decision sparked a credibility shock in markets as traders questioned how long new Chairman Kevin Warsh can hold with inflation still elevated. Kalshi is already pricing a 51% chance of a September hike.
Comments on the CFTC’s proposed event contract rule show Kalshi, Polymarket and other market-side voices backing contract-by-contract review for prediction markets. The filings also exposed divisions over sports and combination contracts, self-certification and the boundary between federally regulated derivatives and gaming The post Kalshi, Polymarket and Other Exchanges Push CFTC for Clearer Event Contract Rules appeared first on DeFi Rate.