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Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary
A crowded Republican field for Oklahoma governor has not deterred prediction markets from pricing Mike Mazzei as a runaway favorite. The post Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 23:10 | |
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August recess emerges as new target for Clarity Act passage
The odds of securing a July 4 signing for the CLARITY Act have narrowed, with lawmakers, industry groups, and market observers increasingly turning their attention to the August recess. According to reporting from Crypto In America, many policymakers and industry… дальше »
2026-6-16 19:13 | |
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UFC Freedom 250 Odds Preview: Kalshi vs Polymarket Tonight
Topuria-Gaethje has already drawn more than $6. 1 million on Kalshi as the most liquid UFC market of the year, with Topuria the night's standout favorite at 79-81%. Ruffy (82-84%) is the other heavy favorite on the card. дальше »
2026-6-14 17:22 | |
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World Cup Odds This Week: Polymarket and Kalshi Prices for Every Match
Kalshi has already cleared more than $200 million in World Cup trading volume. Germany (94%), Spain (91%), and France (67%) are the week's safest favorites, while today's Netherlands-Japan match sits near a coin flip at 48-49%. дальше »
2026-6-14 17:13 | |
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USMNT vs. Paraguay Predictions and Odds for 2026 World Cup
Team USA will aim to make a winning start to their 2026 World Cup campaign when they face Paraguay in Los Angeles on Saturday. Traders give the USMNT a 48% chance of winning the game, but they will need to break down a stout Paraguay defense. дальше »
2026-6-14 01:24 | |
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Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Odds: Prediction Markets Back CanMNT at 54% in Opener
Prediction markets back Canada at 54% to beat Bosnia and Herzegovina in their World Cup opener at BMO Field, even without injured captain Alphonso Davies. The post Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Odds: Prediction Markets Back CanMNT at 54% in Opener appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-12 18:30 | |
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World Cup Odds on USA, Canada, and Mexico: Which Co-Host Will Go the Furthest?
World Cup co-hosts Mexico, Canada, and the USA will all begin their group stage campaigns this week. The tournament gets underway with an intriguing clash between Mexico and South Africa in Mexico City on Thursday. дальше »
2026-6-11 20:13 | |
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Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%
Bitcoin traders have positioned for a Federal Reserve pause next week, with CME FedWatch data showing a 98. 2% probability that policymakers will leave interest rates unchanged at the June 16-17 meeting. дальше »
2026-6-10 23:44 | |
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CLARITY Act backers press Senate as odds of passage decline
More than 200 crypto companies and industry organizations have urged the U. S. Senate to bring the CLARITY Act to a floor vote as concerns over the bill’s shrinking legislative window have intensified. дальше »
2026-6-9 09:15 | |
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Senate Calendar Crunch Forces Galaxy to Cut Clarity Act Odds by 15%
Galaxy's Alex Thorn cut 2026 Clarity Act passage odds to 60%, blaming a compressed Senate calendar over the bill's substance. The post Senate Calendar Crunch Forces Galaxy to Cut Clarity Act Odds by 15% appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2026-6-6 16:01 | |
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Prediction Market Odds Are Shaping Political Narratives, Raising Manipulation Questions
After Andrew Left's conviction, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig warned manipulation rules apply to prediction markets. Economists say the platforms improve forecast accuracy, but the line between odds and influence is blurring. дальше »
2026-6-5 15:54 | |
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Democratic Momentum Builds in Iowa Senate Race But Odds Still Lean Republican
Iowa's open Senate race is drawing new Democratic optimism after Josh Turek's primary win, but prediction markets still favor Republicans, creating one of the clearest media-versus-market divides of the 2026 cycle. дальше »
2026-6-5 19:46 | |
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Iowa Governor Primary Hands Trump and Prediction Markets a Rare Miss
Trump-backed Randy Feenstra entered Iowa’s GOP governor primary with 80% prediction market odds, but 19% underdog Zach Lahn pulled off the upset. What it means for Iowa and 2026 midterms. The post Iowa Governor Primary Hands Trump and Prediction Markets a Rare Miss appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-4 22:47 | |
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Prediction Markets Still Favor Becerra as California Primary Count Drags On
As California governor primary votes continue to be counted, Xavier Becerra remains the frontrunner at prediction markets with odds at 77-81% to be the next Golden State governor. The post Prediction Markets Still Favor Becerra as California Primary Count Drags On appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-3 20:08 | |
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Platner Scandal Barely Moves Maine Senate Prediction Market Odds
Prediction markets tighten but still favor Democrats in Maine, with Platner holding 60-65% odds despite a recent texting scandal. The post Platner Scandal Barely Moves Maine Senate Prediction Market Odds appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-2 00:55 | |
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NJ GOP Senate Primary Attracts Trading Volume Despite Strong Democratic Hold Odds
Polymarket traders have wagered nearly $440K on New Jersey's GOP Senate primary, while prediction markets continue to price Democrats as overwhelming favorites to hold Sen. Cory Booker's seat in November. дальше »
2026-5-30 00:46 | |
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Memorial Day Lull Masks Iran Deal Signals as Trump Mandates Abraham Accords Push
Polymarket prices 39% odds of a US-Iran deal as Trump demands Saudi Arabia and Qatar sign Abraham Accords. The post Memorial Day Lull Masks Iran Deal Signals as Trump Mandates Abraham Accords Push appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2026-5-26 19:17 | |
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Bitcoin Drops Below $77,000 as Waller Speech Suggests Fed Rate Hike Risk
Bitcoin slips below $77,000 after Fed Governor Waller's hawkish speech lifts October rate hike odds and pressures risk. The post Bitcoin Drops Below $77,000 as Waller Speech Suggests Fed Rate Hike Risk appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2026-5-23 18:58 | |
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Trump’s Primary Wave Hits Texas Senate Runoff but Markets Still See Democratic Senate Path
Prediction markets pushed Ken Paxton to dominant odds after President Trump’s endorsement in the Texas Senate runoff, continuing a trend seen in Louisiana and Kentucky while Senate markets still point to a possible Democratic path in 2026. дальше »
2026-5-22 23:20 | |
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Fed hike odds hit 52% as 30-year yields break above 5%
Fed hike odds have climbed to 52% while 30-year U.S. Treasury yields have pushed above 5%, tightening financial conditions and upping the pressure on risk assets from stocks to crypto. Market-based indicators show traders assigning a roughly 52% probability that… дальше »
2026-5-22 16:24 | |
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Lummis says Clarity Act floor vote likely before August
Senator Lummis says a Clarity Act Senate floor vote could come before August, with passage odds at 75%. A Senate floor vote on the Clarity Act could come within 30 days, with Galaxy Research raising its 2026 passage probability to… дальше »
2026-5-21 03:30 | |
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Galaxy’s Alex Thorn lifts CLARITY Act odds to 75%
Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn put CLARITY Act passage at 75% and forecast a Trump signing the week of Aug. 3 if Congress holds pace. дальше »
2026-5-20 09:19 | |
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Survivor 50 Vote Count Odds Signal Landslide Aubry Win
Jury vote prediction market projections at Kalshi point to a potential Aubry blowout in the Survivor 50 final tribal council. The post Survivor 50 Vote Count Odds Signal Landslide Aubry Win appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-20 05:08 | |
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Trump’s Paxton Endorsement Has Prediction Markets Treating Texas Senate Runoff as a Done Deal
Ken Paxton odds surged to 94% in the Texas Senate GOP primary following President Donald Trump's endorsement. The post Trump’s Paxton Endorsement Has Prediction Markets Treating Texas Senate Runoff as a Done Deal appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-20 03:43 | |
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2026 PGA Championship Volume Tops $365M at Kalshi as Aaron Rai Defies Odds
Kalshi’s markets for the 2026 PGA Championship topped $365. 2 million in volume across all categories, with $9. 8 million of that coming from combos or parlays, according to DeFi Rate’s internal market tracking. дальше »
2026-5-18 20:14 | |
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Cardano Founder Warns Crypto’s Quantum Threat May Hit Before 2033
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson says the quantum threat to crypto security has above 50% odds of arriving before 2033. The post Cardano Founder Warns Crypto’s Quantum Threat May Hit Before 2033 appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2026-5-17 13:53 | |
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2026 PGA Championship Odds: Outrights, Round Leaders, and Combos at Kalshi and Polymarket
Kalshi had nearly $130 million in live 2026 PGA Championship-related volume by Day 1, with the outright winner market alone above $110 million. Scottie Scheffler remains the favorite across all prediction markets. дальше »
2026-5-15 16:33 | |
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Trump arrives in Beijing: crypto reaction and Polymarket odds shift?
U.S. President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 for a formal state visit at the invitation of Chinese President Xi Jinping. The visit marks a renewed high-level diplomatic engagement between the world’s two largest economies amid ongoing strategic… дальше »
2026-5-14 17:13 | |
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Polymarket Odds Flash 73% on Clarity Act Becoming Law in 2026
Polymarket traders now assign a 73% probability to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026. This marks a sharp rise from 46% at the start of May. The increase comes days before a pivotal Senate Banking Committee markup. дальше »
2026-5-11 09:39 | |
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Israeli Chief of Staff rules out disarmament, impacting Lebanon withdrawal odds
The Israeli Chief of Staff's stance heightens regional tensions, complicating peace prospects and maintaining military presence in Lebanon. The post Israeli Chief of Staff rules out disarmament, impacting Lebanon withdrawal odds appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-5-10 16:48 | |
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Investor Market Alert: Best Crypto To Invest This Week Highlights BlockchainFX ($BFX), LINK Price Recovery, And SUI Breakout Odds
BlockchainFX ($BFX) leads this week’s crypto watchlist with presale upside and real utility, while LINK and SUI show fresh recovery momentum. дальше »
2026-5-10 16:30 | |
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Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats
Prediction markets are pricing Democrat Rob Sand as a real favorite in deep-red Iowa in the 2026 governor race. The post Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-9 22:08 | |
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Pentagon Drops First-Ever Alien Files, Polymarket Bets Hit $33 Million
Polymarket alien disclosure odds hit 21% on $33M volume as the Pentagon drops first UAP files via PURSUE. The post Pentagon Drops First-Ever Alien Files, Polymarket Bets Hit $33 Million appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2026-5-9 19:06 | |
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Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds
The assassination may destabilize Iran's political landscape, increasing uncertainty and impacting regional security and global markets. The post Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-5-8 11:28 | |
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Will Congress Ban Its Members from Trading Stocks? Prediction Markets Are Skeptical
The Senate banned its own members from trading on prediction markets in less than a week. A ban on stock trading has been stalled for years. And the very prediction markets now being restricted are pricing in long odds that lawmakers will ever impose the more meaningful limits on themselves. дальше »
2026-5-7 17:16 | |
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Becerra Surges in California Governor Odds as Ballots Hit Mailboxes
The California governor race has a new leader on prediction markets as ballots go out to residents, and the candidates are teed up for debates this week. Former state Attorney General and Biden-era Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra has surged into the lead on Kalshi, his California Governor Winner odds spiking above the […] The post Becerra Surges in California Governor Odds as Ballots Hit Mailboxes appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-6 22:03 | |
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Litecoin Price Prediction Faces $88 Ceiling in 2026 While Pepeto Presale at $9.89 Million Could Be the Fastest Path to 100x
The litecoin price prediction added a fresh catalyst after Grayscale and CoinShares both filed for spot ETFs, pushing approval odds to 90%, yet LTC sits at $55. 28 and a $4. 2 billion market cap that barely moves even on good news. дальше »
2026-5-6 20:30 | |
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Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag
Prediction markets favor Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson in Georgia’s governor primaries, even as polls show more uncertainty on the GOP side. The post Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-6 19:01 | |
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Bitcoin Price Just Reclaimed $80,000 for the First Time Since January, But Professional Traders Are Not Buying the Rally
Bitcoin reclaims $80,000 on ETF inflows and leveraged demand, but CryptoQuant data flags weak spot buying and Polymarket gives only 23% odds to $90K this month. The post Bitcoin Price Just Reclaimed $80,000 for the First Time Since January, But Professional Traders Are Not Buying the Rally appeared first on Coinspeaker. дальше »
2026-5-8 14:36 | |
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California Billionaire Tax Nears Ballot as Odds Still Lean ‘No’
A proposed one-time California billionaire tax has reportedly cleared the signature hurdle and is moving toward the November ballot, but prediction markets are still trending toward its ultimate failure. дальше »
2026-4-29 22:33 | |
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Will Trump Fire Kash Patel? Polymarket, Kalshi Odds Signal Growing Exit Risk
Prediction markets are pricing Kash Patel's exit as more likely than not. Our aggregated data shows Patel with a 79% chance to leave the Trump administration this year. The post Will Trump Fire Kash Patel? Polymarket, Kalshi Odds Signal Growing Exit Risk appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-29 21:59 | |
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Vitalik Buterin Reveals the Easy Money Strategy for Prediction Markets
Prediction markets are supposed to be the internet’s truth machine. They offer a place where real money forces honest thinking. Yet, they have a structural vulnerability. Hype, fear, and confirmation routinely push the odds of absurd outcomes far higher than reality warrants. дальше »
2026-4-28 03:00 | |
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