prediction / Заголовки новостей 
Kalshi restricts Indian users after regulatory pressure on prediction markets
Kalshi has added India to its list of restricted jurisdictions, preventing residents from accessing the U. S. -based prediction market platform, based on an updated members’ agreement published on Wednesday. дальше »
2026-6-23 17:27
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Prediction markets are turning on the CLARITY Act. Why the odds just dropped
The narrative says CLARITY is closer to law than ever. Prediction markets disagree, with 2026 odds near 55%. Why the money is skeptical. дальше »
2026-6-23 12:30
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Bitcoin reclaims $63K as Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire revives U.S.-Iran talks hopes
Bitcoin has climbed back above $63,000 after reports of an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire have renewed expectations that stalled diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran could resume before the end of June. дальше »
2026-6-21 22:31
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Charles Schwab challenges Kalshi with new S&P 500 prediction market
Charles Schwab has entered the prediction markets business through a partnership with Cboe Global Markets, introducing new contracts tied to the performance of the S&P 500. According to a Wall Street Journal report, the brokerage firm is working with Cboe… дальше »
2026-6-21 21:07
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Kalshi assigns AI agent to pick markets as volume tops $5B
Kalshi has deployed an artificial intelligence agent to help decide which prediction markets to launch as trading activity on the platform has climbed to more than $5 billion in a single week. According to a Bloomberg report, the prediction market… дальше »
2026-6-16 19:46
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Kalshi dispute reaches New Mexico as CFTC defends federal oversight claim
New Mexico has become the eighth U.S. state drawn into the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s court battle over prediction markets after the regulator filed a lawsuit seeking to block state enforcement against federally regulated exchanges. The CFTC said on Friday… дальше »
2026-6-15 09:47
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Gary Gensler says sports prediction markets fall outside CFTC swap rules
Former U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Gary Gensler has joined a growing list of groups challenging sports prediction markets, arguing in a new court filing that Congress never intended federal derivatives laws to cover sports betting contracts. According to… дальше »
2026-6-12 10:28
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Coinbase emerges as World Cup winner in prediction market race
The 2026 FIFA World Cup has already positioned Coinbase to capture part of an estimated $5 billion to $10 billion increase in prediction market activity tied to the tournament, according to Bernstein. дальше »
2026-6-12 03:16
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Could insider trading bans hurt Polymarket and Kalshi market accuracy?
Prediction market accuracy has suffered under both weak and excessive insider trading enforcement, according to a new academic study that argued a complete ban could leave markets less informative. According to a June 2 research paper by Balbinder Singh Gill,… дальше »
2026-6-10 10:22
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Kalshi rolls out mandatory employer disclosures to curb insider trading
Kalshi has introduced mandatory employer disclosures for certain traders and expanded its market surveillance program after reporting more than 150 investigations, over 100 blocked insider-trading attempts, and 20 law-enforcement referrals during the first quarter of 2026. According to a company… дальше »
2026-6-10 09:42
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Kalshi targets Hyperliquid with HYPE perpetual futures filing
Kalshi has filed with the U. S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to list perpetual futures tied to Hyperliquid’s HYPE token, adding the asset to a growing roster of crypto derivatives products under review. дальше »
2026-6-10 17:57
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Polymarket upholds ‘No’ ruling in disputed Strategy Bitcoin sale market
Polymarket has finalized a disputed prediction market with a “No” outcome after 98.6% of voting power backed the decision in a final UMA review, despite Strategy disclosing that it sold 32 Bitcoin before the market’s May 31 deadline. According to… дальше »
2026-6-4 09:55
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Galaxy Digital enters prediction markets as Arca places $10M trade
Galaxy Digital has launched an institutional over-the-counter prediction-markets desk, opening the service with a $10 million event swap tied to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. Galaxy said Tuesday that the desk operates within its Global Markets unit and serves… дальше »
2026-6-3 23:59
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Robert Kiyosaki warns Bitcoin dip can still trap hype-driven buyers
Robert Kiyosaki urges investors to think beyond hype as Bitcoin corrects, warning education matters more than asset labels in market swings. дальше »
2026-5-31 14:32
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Gemini turns to Grok as crypto exchanges chase prediction markets
Gemini launched a Grok-powered Command Center for prediction markets, using positions and watchlists to personalize market feeds. дальше »
2026-5-29 08:59
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Kalshi sues Minnesota over prediction market ban
Kalshi has sued Minnesota to block the state’s prediction market ban set to take effect on August 1. Kalshi has filed a federal lawsuit against Minnesota to block the state’s new prediction market ban. The law would make running an… дальше »
2026-5-29 03:00
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Myriad’s Farokh Sarmad launches $100K World Cup contest
Prediction market Myriad has launched a World Cup contest with a $100,000 prize pool ahead of the 2026 tournament Prediction market Myriad has opened a trading competition built around football’s 2026 World Cup, putting $100,000 on the line. The contest… дальше »
2026-5-28 20:05
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Prediction markets battle escalates after president Donald Trump sides with CFTC
The CFTC has moved a proposed rule on prediction-markets event contracts into White House review as federal and state officials fight over who should police the fast-growing sector. Bloomberg first reported that the proposal is now before the White House… дальше »
2026-5-28 00:49
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Cathie Wood doubles down on Bitcoin with bold $1.25M prediction
Cathie Wood has raised her long-term Bitcoin forecast to as high as $1.25 million, even as the cryptocurrency trades below key resistance levels during another period of macro uncertainty. Speaking in a recent interview with Fox Business, the ARK Invest… дальше »
2026-5-27 19:14
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Polymarket blocked in Indonesia as Prabowo exit bets spark heat
Indonesia blocked Polymarket after Prabowo exit bets, citing gambling rules as prediction markets face wider global scrutiny. дальше »
2026-5-26 14:54
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Kalshi backs prediction markets lobby group with former Trump official
Kalshi backs Americans for Fair Markets with ex-Trump aide as House probe and state gambling cases raise pressure on prediction markets now. дальше »
2026-5-25 08:25
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CFTC crypto oversight questioned after officials were pushed out
NYT says CFTC officials who questioned prediction market firms were suspended as crypto enforcement fell and state legal fights widened. дальше »
2026-5-25 14:52
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Polymarket UMA alert: are user funds safe after $520K loss?
Polymarket’s UMA CTF Adapter on Polygon was reportedly exploited for over $520K, with stolen funds partly sent to ChangeNOW, analysts say. дальше »
2026-5-23 12:37
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Polymarket targets approval in Japan as global scrutiny intensifies
Polymarket has reportedly appointed a Japanese representative as the prediction market platform moves toward securing approval to operate legally in the country by 2030. According to a Friday Bloomberg report citing people familiar with the matter, Polymarket sees Japan as… дальше »
2026-5-22 11:10
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Polymarket goes offline in India after government enforcement order
Polymarket has been blocked in India after authorities tightened enforcement against what they classify as illegal online money gaming platforms. According to an April 25 advisory issued by the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY), internet service providers and… дальше »
2026-5-22 10:07
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Kalshi denies prediction markets are gambling products
Prediction markets closed out Consensus Miami 2026 as the subject of a live debate on whether they are regulated financial derivatives or gambling products operating outside state law. Prediction markets closed out Consensus Miami 2026 on Thursday as the subject… дальше »
2026-5-8 01:35
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Prediction markets enter institutional era after first Kalshi block trade
Bernstein says prediction markets are drawing institutions after Kalshi’s first block trade, with custom contracts and retail volume rising. дальше »
2026-5-5 08:32
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Hyperliquid’s $6m HIP-4 debut sparks HYPE rally, what’s next?
Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 event contracts opened with $6.05m volume as HYPE held near $41.64, with traders watching $44 resistance for a break now дальше »
2026-5-4 12:35
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Coinbase urges CFTC to keep prediction markets under rules
Coinbase has urged U.S. derivatives regulators to keep prediction markets under existing rules, filing a formal response as legal pressure builds around event-based contracts. According to a letter submitted to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and addressed to Secretary Christopher… дальше »
2026-5-4 10:16
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CFTC prediction market rules spark industry debate
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has received more than 1,500 public responses on its proposed rule for prediction market event contracts. According to the CFTC, the comment period for its March proposal closed Thursday after drawing submissions from prediction… дальше »
2026-5-4 08:22
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Paris Weather Glitch Sparks $37K Win on Polymarket
Polymarket faces scrutiny after two traders won $37K on Paris weather bets tied to unusual temperature spikes at Charles de Gaulle Airport. дальше »
2026-4-23 12:00
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New York, Illinois ban state staff from prediction markets
New York and Illinois banned state employees from prediction markets, citing insider trading risks and ethics concerns. дальше »
2026-4-23 09:50
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New Kalshi safeguards catch three political insider trading cases
Kalshi suspended three political candidates after finding they bet on their own races, citing exchange rule breaches and fines after review. дальше »
2026-4-23 08:08
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Charles Schwab, Citadel eye prediction markets expansion move
Schwab and Citadel Securities are exploring prediction markets but avoid sports, focusing on event contracts and risk tools. дальше »
2026-4-20 13:29
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Bulls Target $125,000 as Funding Rates Hit Most Negative Since 2023
Bitcoin price prediction turned aggressively bullish early Friday as CoinDesk reported that perpetual funding rates dropped to their most negative level since 2023 on a seven-day moving average, with ZeroStack CEO Daniel Reis-Faria targeting $125,000 within 30 to 60 days… дальше »
2026-4-18 01:20
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HBAR Price Prediction: Hedera and Stellar Top CoinDesk 20 as BTC Pushes Toward $76,000
HBAR price prediction improved Friday as Hedera gained 1.4% and Stellar’s XLM added 1.5% to top the CoinDesk 20 performance update, placing the index at 2,125.52, up 0.3% from Thursday’s close, with just 9 of 20 assets trading higher as… дальше »
2026-4-18 23:47
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Third $76K Rejection Extends Two-Month Stalemate
Bitcoin price prediction turns cautious as BTC failed to sustain its third breakout attempt above $76,000, repeatedly touching the level only to reverse, while 46 consecutive days of negative funding rates on Binance have created the most compressed short positioning… дальше »
2026-4-18 22:20
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CFTC probes “well-timed” oil traders involving Trump administration Iran announcements
US regulators are investigating whether private information about the Trump administration’s military strategy in Iran was used to profit from massive oil trades. Bloomberg reports that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is examining suspicious activity on the CME Group’s… дальше »
2026-4-16 12:20
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Why $68,000 Is the Last Line of Defense Before the Iran Ceasefire Expires April 22
The bitcoin price is range-bound between $68,000 support and $75,000 resistance heading into the most consequential two-week window of 2026, with three catalysts arriving back to back: the Iran ceasefire expiry on April 22, the CLARITY Act Senate markup targeted… дальше »
2026-4-14 20:40
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Polymarket removed from Google News after brief appearance
Google removed Polymarket links from News results after a brief appearance, saying the site surfaced there by error, reports say. дальше »
2026-4-12 14:40
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NASA Moon mission fuels Kalshi bets on post-splashdown remarks
Kalshi users placed Artemis II bets on NASA briefing language as the crewed Moon mission ended in Friday splashdown coverage across markets. дальше »
2026-4-11 11:00
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U.S. House members press CFTC over inaction on prediction market insider trading
U. S. lawmakers have begun questioning the Commodity Futures Trading Commission over the agency’s inaction on alleged insider trading in prediction markets tied to geopolitical events. Seven members of the U. дальше »
2026-4-8 11:22
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Drops to $68K as Trump’s 8PM Iran Deadline Arrives — What Traders Are Watching
The bitcoin price prediction latest crypto news Iran deadline today tells a familiar story: BTC briefly reclaimed $70,000 on Monday ceasefire hopes before retreating to the $68,000 range on Tuesday as Iran rejected the deal and Trump’s 8 PM ET… дальше »
2026-4-8 23:50
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Prediction markets sprint from crypto niche to mainstream finance
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi now clear nearly $24b a month as AI bots, Wall Street capital and new CFTC rules drag the sector into mainstream finance. Prediction markets are moving from the fringes of crypto into the core… дальше »
2026-4-7 23:22
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Kalshi faces Nevada setback as judge rejects defense
Nevada judge extended the ban on Kalshi, ruling its event contracts match sports betting and require a gaming license. дальше »
2026-4-5 17:18
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Polymarket pulls missing pilot market after backlash
Polymarket removed a market on a missing US service member after backlash, saying the listing failed internal integrity standards on Friday. дальше »
2026-4-5 13:15
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Polymarket rolls out stock and commodity contracts with Pyth price feeds
Polymarket has partnered with oracle provider Pyth Network to launch traditional asset markets on its platform. According to an Apr. 2 announcement, the latest addition brings daily up-or-down and closing price contracts for major equity indexes, alongside commodities such as… дальше »
2026-4-3 08:56
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U.S. democrats urge crackdown on potential insider trading in prediction markets
More than 40 Democratic lawmakers have pressed U.S. regulators to step in as concerns mount over potential misuse of sensitive government information in prediction markets. In a letter sent to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Office of Government… дальше »
2026-3-31 12:22
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Prediction market activity jumps 2,800% as geopolitical bets dominate
Prediction market usage hit record levels in March, supported by improved accessibility and favourable regulatory developments amid rising interest in political and geopolitical event contracts. According to a report published by TRM Labs, the prediction market sector has expanded rapidly… дальше »
2026-3-30 09:11
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ARK invest uses Kalshi to track market expectations
ARK Invest integrates Kalshi prediction market data to track expectations, support research, and enhance risk management and hedging strategies. дальше »
2026-3-27 10:36
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