Fed hike odds hit 52% as 30-year yields break above 5%

Fed hike odds have climbed to 52% while 30-year U.S. Treasury yields have pushed above 5%, tightening financial conditions and upping the pressure on risk assets from stocks to crypto. Market-based indicators show traders assigning a roughly 52% probability that… дальше »

8 +

Lummis says Clarity Act floor vote likely before August

Senator Lummis says a Clarity Act Senate floor vote could come before August, with passage odds at 75%. A Senate floor vote on the Clarity Act could come within 30 days, with Galaxy Research raising its 2026 passage probability to… дальше »

202 +

ChatGPT Predicts the Bitcoin Price If the Fed Cuts Rates in June

A June rate cut from the Federal Reserve is still possible, but traders are clearly not expecting it right now. Polymarket data shows a 97. 65% chance that rates stay unchanged, with only a 1. 35% probability of a 25 basis point cut. дальше »

358 +

Polymarket Odds Flash 73% on Clarity Act Becoming Law in 2026

Polymarket traders now assign a 73% probability to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026. This marks a sharp rise from 46% at the start of May. The increase comes days before a pivotal Senate Banking Committee markup. дальше »

62 +

Prediction Markets and Crypto Converge as Perpetuals Drive Always-On Trading

Key takeaways: The line between prediction markets and crypto derivatives is starting to disappear as both converge around continuous trading of price and probability. Polymarket and Kalshi are both introducing perpetual-style mechanics that transform event contracts from fixed, binary bets into continuous, leveraged trading systems that behave more like crypto derivatives venues than traditional forecasting […] The post Prediction Markets and Crypto Converge as Perpetuals Drive Always-On Trading appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

158 +

What Crypto Whales Are Buying Ahead of the April FOMC Meeting

The April 29 FOMC decision lands with a 99% probability of a rate hold, but on-chain data shows crypto whales are not waiting for Powell’s tone to start positioning. BeInCrypto analysts have identified three tokens seeing decisive whale accumulation in the hours before the meeting, each driven by a distinct logic. дальше »

431 +

Analyst Reveals The Chances Of Bitcoin Price Crashing Again

Bitcoin’s recent price behavior has kept traders split between those expecting another leg down and those calling that a bottom is already in. That tension is now feeding different technical analyses, with one analyst arguing that the probability of a deeper crash has dropped significantly based on long-term signals. Chance Of Bitcoin Making New Lows […] дальше »

242 +

Ethereum Has Nearly 60% Chance of Losing Second Spot

Ethereum is facing a 57% probability of losing its status as the world's second-largest cryptocurrency by the end of the year. дальше »

70 +

Hyperliquid price forms macro lower high, $22 downside target emerges

Hyperliquid price remains under corrective pressure after forming another macro lower high near key resistance, raising the probability of a move toward $22 support. дальше »

378 +

Bitcoin price risks drop to $60,000 as bearish market structure holds

Bitcoin price remains under pressure after rejection at range mid resistance near $68,000, increasing the probability of a corrective move toward $60,000 support. дальше »

194 +

Solana price risks a drop below $80 as bearish engulfing candles indicate weakness

Solana price is showing renewed downside risk after bearish engulfing candles rejected key resistance, with weakening market structure opening the probability of testing sub-$80 support levels. дальше »

408 +

Ripple CEO Sees Major Legal Victory Likely This Spring

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has predicted an 80% probability that the "CLARITY Act" will pass by the end of April. дальше »

95 +

WLFI price accumulates at $0.10 as oversold conditions hint at reversal

WLFI price is holding firm above the $0.10 support level as oversold indicators begin to unwind, increasing the probability of a relief bounce toward $0.13. дальше »

210 +

XRP price eyes $2.00 as failed auction confirms bullish shift

XRP price has formed a potential failed auction at $1.58, signaling demand at range lows and increasing the probability of a recovery move toward $2.00 upside. дальше »

185 +

Ethereum price faces sub-$1,000 risk as liquidity remains lower

Ethereum price action is showing growing downside risk as weakening liquidity and fragile rebounds increase the probability of a deeper rotation toward the $900 range low. дальше »

95 +

Ethereum price holds five-year range as breakdown risk points to $950

The current Ethereum price is within a long-term five-year range and positioned below key volume levels, increasing the probability of a rotation toward $950. дальше »

423 +

BNB price signals potential reversal, bullish divergence develops

BNB’s price is stabilizing at a key high-time-frame support level as bullish divergence emerges, raising the probability of a relief rally if buyers regain control. BNB (BNB) price action is approaching a critical inflection point after an impulsive move lower… дальше »

400 +

Bitcoin price risks drop to $65,000 as weekly trend shifts bearish

Bitcoin price is losing weekly structure after a sharp rejection at channel resistance, raising the probability of a deeper corrective move toward $65,000 support. дальше »

202 +

Cardano price shows bullish shift as three-drive fractal forms

Cardano price is consolidating above $0.33 support as a familiar three-drive fractal re-emerges, raising the probability of another bullish rotation toward higher resistance. дальше »

205 +

Sonic price struggles at $0.07 as low volume signals breakdown risk

Sonic price is grinding at $0.07 high-time-frame support with weak volume, increasing breakdown risk, and raising the probability of a fresh yearly low if demand doesn’t step in. дальше »

164 +

Dogecoin price solidifies descending channel

Dogecoin price is trading in a defined descending channel after losing the Point of Control, with weak bounces increasing the probability of a deeper pullback toward lower channel support. дальше »

95 +

Ethereum price hits $3,400 ceiling, $2,800 reality check

Ethereum price has confirmed bearish divergence at $3,400 resistance, triggering an impulsive drop and increasing the probability of a corrective rotation toward $2,800 high-time-frame support. дальше »

202 +

PEPE price holds the 21 EMA as bullish retest signals reversal potential

PEPE price is holding the 21 EMA as support after a key flip, signaling early reversal conditions and increasing the probability of a bullish continuation if volume confirms the breakout. дальше »

339 +

Is Ethereum price topping out? daily bearish divergence signals reversal

Ethereum price is rejecting near $3,400 as daily bearish divergence forms and volume fades, increasing the probability of a corrective move toward $2,800 high-time-frame support. дальше »

299 +

Bitcoin price shows failed auction traits as breakout volume weakens, rejection next?

Bitcoin price has broken above range-high resistance, but weak follow-through volume is raising failed auction risk and increasing the probability of rejection back toward range support. дальше »

337 +

Solana price shows bearish divergence at $146 as breakdown risk builds

Solana price is flashing bearish divergence at $146 range-high resistance, signaling weakening momentum and increasing the probability of a pullback toward lower range support levels. дальше »

80 +

Bitcoin price rally stalls at $97,600 as fibonacci level triggers rejection risk

Bitcoin price is stalling near $97,600 as price hits 0.618 Fibonacci resistance, raising rejection risk and increasing the probability of a corrective rotation back toward channel support. дальше »

172 +

Ethereum price runs into $3,400 wall, breakout or pullback next?

Ethereum price rally has reached a major $3,400 resistance zone, where multiple technical confluence levels raise the probability of rejection unless buyers reclaim the area with volume. дальше »

221 +

Solana price builds bullish volume under $143 resistance as breakout nears

Solana price is consolidating beneath major resistance with rising bullish volume, signaling strength and increasing the probability of an upside breakout toward higher targets. дальше »

97 +

HBAR price retests fibonacci support as bullish volume builds

HBAR price is holding key Fibonacci support as volume builds, signaling potential accumulation and increasing the probability of a bullish rotation toward higher resistance. дальше »

101 +

WIF price short squeezes into Fibonacci resistance at $0.50

WIF price has surged into the $0.50 Fibonacci resistance after a sharp short squeeze, raising the probability of rejection and a rotation back into its broader trading range. дальше »

208 +

Dogecoin price reclaims $0.12 as failed auction hints at trend reversal

Dogecoin price has reclaimed the $0.12 level after a failed auction, signaling strong demand and raising the probability of a short-term trend reversal. Dogecoin (DOGE) price is showing early signs of a potential trend shift after reclaiming the key $0.12… дальше »

97 +

XRP holds $1.74 confluence zone as bullish accumulation emerges

As long as XRP continues to hold above the $1.74 Fibonacci support, the probability of a short-term bounce remains elevated. дальше »

118 +

HBAR price targets new yearly low, bearish momentum continues

As long as HBAR remains below the $0.11 high-time-frame support, downside risk remains elevated. Continued weakness increases the probability of a move toward the $0.07 yearly low. дальше »

154 +

Bank of Japan Rate Hike Could Trigger 20-30% Bitcoin Decline as Markets Price 98% Probability

Markets are bracing for a potentially pivotal week for Bitcoin as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) heads into its December 18–19 policy meeting. Expectations point to a near-certain rate hike. Prediction markets and macro analysts alike are converging on the same conclusion: Japan is poised to raise rates by 25 basis points. дальше »

507 +

Fed December Rate Cut Odds Collapse to 30%

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has decreased significantly, now standing at 30%. дальше »

341 +

Ethereum price dips into Fibonacci Golden Pocket as bullish momentum builds

Ethereum price dipped into the Fibonacci Golden Pocket near $2,950, raising the probability of a rebound toward $3,880. дальше »

263 +

Tokenizing belief: Prediction markets are turning probability into the next asset class | Opinion

Prediction markets now price what we believe. That’s a structural shift in how capital and information interact. дальше »

199 +

Polymarket gives Solana 7% chance of a new ATH before 2026

Key Takeaways How bearish has market sentiment turned on Solana? Prediction market Polymarket now gives SOL only a 7% chance of hitting a new all-time high before 2026, down from 60% probability in The post Polymarket gives Solana 7% chance of a new ATH before 2026 appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »

419 +

Fed Rate Cut Probability at 98% as Fresh Stimulus to Take Bitcoin to new All-Time High

276 +

Aster price weakness persists at $1.00, raising risk of another capitulation

Aster price remains under pressure near the $1 level as persistent weakness below key technical zones increases the probability of another capitulation move toward $0.89. Aster’s (ASTER) price continues to exhibit clear weakness, with the market struggling to reclaim the… дальше »

397 +

XRP price struggles at the 200-Day Moving Average as rejection risks grow

XRP price is struggling to reclaim the 200-day moving average, raising the probability of a potential rejection toward the $2 high time frame support if resistance continues to hold. After a volatile series of moves across the broader market, the… дальше »

417 +

DOGE’s rally proves retail is back, and they’re about to discover Digitap ($TAP)

Bitcoin is igniting animal spirits after setting a new all-time high, and according to simulations run by Timothy Peterson, there is a 50% probability that Bitcoin crosses $140,000 before the month ends. дальше »

164 +

Can the government shutdown have a significant effect on the crypto space?

The U.S. government is facing a shutdown due to the inability of Republicans and Democrats to agree on the budget. Various sources evaluate the probability of a shutdown as high. If it happens, a shutdown may have multiple repercussions. Among… дальше »

508 +

AI Reveals The Probability Of SWIFT Integrating Ripple’s XRP Ledger 

SWIFT is testing XRP Ledger in cross-border trials, but full integration remains uncertain as Ripple builds institutional momentum. The post AI Reveals The Probability Of SWIFT Integrating Ripple’s XRP Ledger  appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »

460 +

DOGE 50/50 chance of hitting $1 in 2026 as experts suggest Layer Brett could go from $0.0058 to $0.35

With Dogecoin’s future becoming uncertain, its price rise is a probability. At the same time, DOGE holders are searching for newer and more rewarding opportunities. Layer Brett ($LBRETT), a new Layer 2 meme coin, is making headlines with its presale surpassing $3. дальше »

257 +

Pump.fun’s PUMP extends rally as South Korean liquidity boosts momentum

Digital tokens performed well on Thursday after the United States PPI data increased the probability of a rate cut during the Fed’s meeting next week. The global cryptocurrency market cap increased by 2% in the past 24 hours to $3. дальше »

186 +

Sonic crypto price finds support at $0.29: is a reversal to $0.40 next?

Sonic price conintues to find support a key level, increasing the probability go a bullish expansion дальше »

228 +

Dogecoin update: Has DOGE’s correction set up a rally back to $0.30, or will it test $0.18?

Key Takeaways Dogecoin continues consolidating between $0. 18 and $0. 30 as sentiment declines. Network activity remains muted, increasing the probability of a retest of the $0. 18 support level. дальше »

231 +

ADA surges 16% on ETF optimism; can this new crypto be next to explode?

Cardano ADA is experiencing a dramatic 16% price surge. This jump follows news of a potential Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) filing for the altcoin. Optimism is flooding the crypto market as analysts now estimate an 80% probability of approval. дальше »

284 +