На Polymarket активно делают ставки на «падение режима» в Иране

Объем торгов криптовалютными ставками на рынке прогнозов Polymarket «Падет ли иранский режим до 2027 года?» превысил $25 млн. Трейдеры делают ставки с тремя датами исполнения прогноза — до 31 марта, до 30 июня и до 31 декабря. дальше »

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Ставки на конфликт США и Ирана вывели Polymarket в топ по обороту

Polymarket за сутки превратил военный конфликт в один из крупнейших рынков в своей истории. Контракты на удары США по Ирану и возможную смену власти в Тегеране собрали сотни миллионов долларов. По объему торгов они встали в один ряд с выборами президента США. дальше »

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Несколько аккаунтов на Polymarket заработали $1 млн на военных ставках

Шесть кошельков на блокчейн-платформе прогнозов Polymarket заработали в совокупности около $1 млн на ставках о военном ударе США и Израиля по Ирану. Большинство аккаунтов были созданы всего за сутки до атаки, сообщили аналитики компании Bubblemaps. дальше »

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Senators target death-linked markets on Kalshi, Polymarket after Iran

Polymarket and Kalshi face backlash as Iran strike, Khamenei death bets trigger insider trading and ethical scrutiny. Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are facing increased scrutiny over contracts tied to U. дальше »

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Record trading on Polymarket amid Iran strikes; Six wallets net $1.2M

Polymarket recorded historic trading activity on the day of the joint U. S. –Israel strike on Iran, with single-day nominal trading volume reaching $478 million, according to an analyst tracking platform data. дальше »

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Kalshi Halts Khamenei Market, Polymarket’s Contract Enters Second Dispute

When U. S. and Israeli strikes hit Iran early Saturday morning, prediction markets faced the scenario critics and regulators had warned about days earlier. Kalshi’s Ali Khamenei ‘out of office’ contracts saw $21. дальше »

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U.S.-Iran war attracts $600 million bets on Polymarket

The prediction market has spun up over a dozen Iran-related contracts since Saturday's strikes, with the Khamenei removal market alone pulling in $45 million in volume. дальше »

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Polymarket attracts record trading 'world' volumes as U.S.-Iran bets top $529 million

A prediction market about military strikes on a sovereign nation now sits alongside presidential election bets as one of the most-traded contracts the platform has ever hosted. дальше »

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BlockDAG Price Prediction Collapses Under Scrutiny as Bitcoin Falls 47% From ATH, Pepeto Targets 250x and Toncoin Fights for Recovery

Bitcoin is now down 47% from its all time high and trading near $63,700, with Polymarket giving just 3% odds of BTC reaching $150,000 by June. CoinDesk called this a “structural regime shift” as the market posts its fifth straight monthly loss. дальше »

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Suspected insiders make over $1.2 million on Polymarket by betting on U.S.'s Iran strike

The strikes caused bitcoin’s price to fall and oil futures on Hyperliquid to rise over the regional conflict’s consequences. дальше »

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Polymarket Axiom Investigation: How Insider-Linked Wallets Captured Over $1.2M In Profits

A fresh wave of scrutiny has hit prediction markets after an investigation into the ZachXBT insider probe event revealed striking profit patterns on Polymarket. Data shows that more than 3,630 unique wallet addresses participated in betting on the “Axiom” market, with a surprisingly high 56. дальше »

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Polymarket оказался в центре спора об инсайдерских ставках

Контракт на Polymarket, который должен был показать, кого назовет ZachXBT в своем расследовании, собрал около $40 млн оборота за несколько дней. Уже после раскрытия имени Axiom ончейн-аналитики обратили внимание на группу свежих кошельков, которые заняли крупные позиции заранее и в сумме заработали более $1 млн. дальше »

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Polymarket bettors appear to have insider-traded on a market designed to catch insider traders

At least 12 wallets collectively made over $1 million betting on the outcome of ZachXBT's investigation before the findings went public, with one trader turning a $0.14 average entry on shares into $411,000 in profit. дальше »

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Polymarket user gains $400K betting on ZachXBT investigation

As US policymakers scrutinize prediction market platforms, Polymarket users placed bets on which company crypto sleuth ZachXBT would expose for insider trading. дальше »

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ZachXBT accuses Axiom employees of insider trading, Polymarket bettors net in millions

A new investigation claims that employees at crypto trading platform Axiom abused internal tools to access private user data and profit from insider trading. On Feb. 26, blockchain investigator ZachXBT published a detailed report on X accusing staff at Axiom… дальше »

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Polymarket under fire as ZachXBT insider probe fuels bets

Polymarket market on ZachXBT insider probe sees Meteora odds spike 44% in 24 hours as traders eye possible informed positioning, not yet proven. A Polymarket prediction market launched Feb. 23 asking traders to forecast which cryptocurrency company on-chain investigator ZachXBT… дальше »

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Polymarket Traders Allege Settlement Exploit Targeting Liquidity Providers

Polymarket posted a disclaimer about a "technical exploit that may be artificially distorting prices," highlighting risks in hybrid central limit order book (CLOB) and on-chain settlement design. дальше »

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DimeTrades Files for CFTC Exchange Status, Backed by Kalshi Attorneys

DimeTrades applied for CFTC designation as a regulated prediction market exchange with Polymarket's clearing, backed by a team with deep experience in derivatives regulation and market surveillance. дальше »

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SOTU Odds: Mentions, Attendance, Trump’s Speech at Kalshi and Polymarket

Kalshi and Polymarket International have more than $17 million in combined SOTU volume across mentions, attendance, Trump's speech duration, handshakes, and more. Here's everything you can trade tonight. дальше »

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State of the Union Odds: Mentions, Attendance, Speech Length at Kalshi and Polymarket

Kalshi and Polymarket have more than $17 million in combined SOTU volume across mentions, attendance, speech duration, handshakes, and more. Here's everything you can trade tonight. The post State of the Union Odds: Mentions, Attendance, Speech Length at Kalshi and Polymarket appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Bitcoin slips toward $62K as Polymarket odds fade on a February rebound

Bitcoin dipped toward the $62,000 level during Tuesday’s trading session, extending a broader pullback that has weighed on the crypto market through late February.  The move came as prediction mThe post Bitcoin slips toward $62K as Polymarket odds fade on a February rebound appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »

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Polymarket users favor Meteora in bets over ZachXBT crypto takedown

Users placed more than $7 million betting on the outcome of the crypto sleuth's investigation, expected to be announced on Thursday. дальше »

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Polymarket Odds Point To Meteora As Lead Suspect Ahead Of ZachXBT Insider Trading Reveal

Speculation is intensifying across the crypto industry as prediction market traders increasingly converge on Meteora as the most likely target of an upcoming insider-trading investigation teased by on-chain investigator ZachXBT. дальше »

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На Polymarket оценили вероятность падения BTC ниже $55 000

Курс первой криптовалюты рухнет до $55 000, считает 75% пользователей платформы предсказаний Polymarket . Объем ставок на этот исход достиг $1,2 млн. Трейдеры также ставят на падение ниже $50 000 и $45 000 с вероятностью 62% и 47%. дальше »

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Prediction Market Volume Holds at $5.25B as Kalshi Nears 50% Market Share

Weekly notional volume across prediction market platforms dipped 1. 4% to $5. 25 billion for Feb. 16–22. Kalshi jumped 6. 7% to $2. 59 billion as Polymarket slid 3. 2% WoW to $1. 83 billion. дальше »

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На Polymarket оценили вероятность падения биткоина ниже $55 000 в 75%

Курс первой криптовалюты рухнет до $55 000, считает 75% пользователей платформы предсказаний Polymarket. Объем ставок на этот исход достиг $1,2 млн. Источник: Polymarket. Трейдеры также ставят на падение ниже $50 000 и $45 000 с вероятностью 62% и 47%. дальше »

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Polymarket odds of Bitcoin under $55K at 72% as BTC market cap dives

Bitcoin’s market cap dropped to $1.31 trillion, slipping to 15th globally as prices dipped below $65,000, fueling rising bearish bets on Polymarket. дальше »

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Нидерланды заблокировали доступ к платформе прогнозов Polymarket

Нидерланды ограничили доступ жителей страны к блокчейн-платформе прогнозов Polymarket. Нидерландское управление по азартным играм (Kansspelautoriteit, KSA) посчитало, что сервис работает как нелицензированная площадка азартных игр. дальше »

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Dutch authorities call on Polymarket arm to cease activities

The prediction market's Dutch arm, Adventure One, allegedly offered illegal bets, including on elections in the Netherlands.

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Dutch regulator orders Polymarket to halt operations or face €840,000 penalty

Dutch regulator orders Polymarket to halt operations, calling prediction markets unlicensed gambling and threatening 840,000 in penalties. The post Dutch regulator orders Polymarket to halt operations or face €840,000 penalty appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Polymarket acquires Dome to expand prediction market developer tools

Polymarket has acquired Dome, a Y Combinator backed startup building unified infrastructure for prediction markets, marking its first acquisition focused on developer tools. Both companies confirmed the deal in posts on X on Feb. дальше »

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Polymarket acquires prediction market API startup Dome

Polymarket has acquired Dome, a Y Combinator-backed startup that is building a unified API solution for developers to access and build across multiple prediction market platforms. The acquisition was confirmed by both companies in a Feb. 19 post on X,… дальше »

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Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin 4x by 2028, Offering Polymarket Bet

Tim Draper expects Bitcoin to skyrocket above $268,000 less than two years from now. дальше »

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Polymarket Opens the Pipes: Public APIs and Permissionless Liquidity Mark a Structural Shift

Polymarket has rolled out two features that could change how prediction markets are built and traded. It launched public US APIs with production-ready SDKs, and permissionless liquidity rewards that allow anyone to sponsor depth on any market. дальше »

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Polymarket Opens the Pipes: Public APIs and Permissionless Liquidity Mark Structural Shift

Polymarket US is rolling out public APIs and permissionless liquidity rewards to encourage deeper liquidity, tighter spreads, and more institutional participation. But there are tradeoffs. The post Polymarket Opens the Pipes: Public APIs and Permissionless Liquidity Mark Structural Shift appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Bitcoin price outlook as CLARITY Act approval odds hit 90%

Bitcoin traded near $67,000 on Thursday, steadying after a session that coincided with sharp swings in prediction market odds for the CLARITY Act. On Polymarket, approval odds for the CLARITY Act briefly surged to 90% earlier in the day before… дальше »

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US CLARITY Act to pass ‘hopefully by April’: Senator Bernie Moreno

Odds of the US CLARITY Act passing in 2026 briefly spiked to 90% on Polymarket amid optimistic comments from US Senator Bernie Moreno. дальше »

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Monthly Active Addresses Hit 679,000 ATH on Polymarket as Prediction Markets Face Increased Regulatory Scrutiny

Data shows that monthly active addresses on Polymarket climbed to a new ATH, a major contributor to the increase in its monthly trading volume. дальше »

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Prediction Markets Cool to $5.3B After Super Bowl Surge as 6-Month Growth Hits 13x

Weekly volume fell 14. 8% to $5. 3B after Super Bowl Sunday’s $1. 34B spike, yet industry volume has grown 13x in six months. Kalshi continues to lead in sports, Polymarket dominates non-sports as the industry resets. дальше »

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Digital gold or tech stock? Bitcoin’s identity crisis deepens

Bitcoin’s growing correlation with tech stocks challenges its digital gold narrative, as Ether treasuries, BlackRock and Polymarket make bold moves. дальше »

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CFTC taps Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel for New Innovation Panel

CFTC Chair Selig taps 35 crypto, finance, and prediction market leaders for advisory committee. Coinbase, Robinhood, Nasdaq, CME Group, Uniswap, and Solana also among those named. The post CFTC taps Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel for New Innovation Panel appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Two Alleged Polymarket Insiders Arrested by Israeli Authorities

Israeli Traders Arrested for Polymarket Military Bets

The post Two Alleged Polymarket Insiders Arrested by Israeli Authorities appeared first on Coinspeaker.

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MLB Eyes Prediction Market Partnerships as Integrity Takes Center Stage

MLB is changing its tune toward prediction markets and data-sharing deals for integrity monitoring would be central to any possible partnership with Kalshi or Polymarket. The post MLB Eyes Prediction Market Partnerships as Integrity Takes Center Stage appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Israel arrests two over Polymarket trades on military operations

Israeli authorities said a military reservist and a civilian were arrested after allegedly using classified information to place bets related to military strikes on Iran. дальше »

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Военный резервист использовал знакомства в армии для ставок на Polymarket

Резервиста израильской армии и израильтянина из числа гражданских обвинили в использовании секретной военной информации для ставок на блокчейн-платформе Polymarket. дальше »

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Israel indicts IDF reservist for using classified military data on Polymarket

Israeli authorities have indicted an Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reservist and a civilian for allegedly using classified military information to place wagers on the decentralized prediction market Polymarket. дальше »

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Polymarket and Kaito Roll Out Attention Markets for ‘Mindshare’ Trading: What It Means

Can you trade attention? Polymarket thinks so. Two new markets resolve based on Kaito AI's sentiment scores, raising immediate questions about who controls the data and integrity. The post Polymarket and Kaito Roll Out Attention Markets for ‘Mindshare’ Trading: What It Means appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Polymarket Traders Assign 78% Odds to Arrest in Nancy Guthrie Case as New Clues Emerge

A Bitcoin (BTC) wallet referenced in the ransom note sent to media outlets after Nancy Guthrie’s disappearance has shown activity for the first time. As new details continue to emerge, attention surrounding the case has expanded beyond law enforcement efforts. дальше »

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Kalshi Loses in Massachusetts, Polymarket Sues — Will the CFTC Intervene?

Kalshi must geofence Massachusetts within 30 days; Polymarket sued to avoid the same fate. A legal expert explains why this won't be resolved anytime soon. The post Kalshi Loses in Massachusetts, Polymarket Sues — Will the CFTC Intervene? appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Logan Paul’s $1m bogus ‘bet’: Crypto sleuths call out Super Bowl stunt

Polymarket shared a clip of Logan Paul “checking Polymarket at the Big Game,” but observers quickly noticed that the YouTube star's account had no funds. дальше »

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