Pentagon Drops First-Ever Alien Files, Polymarket Bets Hit $33 Million

Polymarket alien disclosure odds hit 21% on $33M volume as the Pentagon drops first UAP files via PURSUE. The post Pentagon Drops First-Ever Alien Files, Polymarket Bets Hit $33 Million appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »

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Hyperliquid Price Prediction Targets $100 While Pepeto Offers 140x HYPE Cannot Deliver From $43

This Hyperliquid price prediction arrives as the protocol launched HIP-4 prediction markets on mainnet on May 2, targeting Polymarket with zero-fee outcome contracts, per Bitcoin News. HYPE climbed from $20 in January to $43 by May 5, and CoinCodex projects a 2026 peak near $90. дальше »

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HYPE price prediction as Hyperliquid launches Polymarket competitor

HYPE price continued its recovery this week, helped by the ongoing crypto market rally and the recently launched prediction marketplace. Hyperliquid token was trading at $44 on Wednesday, its highest point since April 19 this year. дальше »

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Polymarket’s Panama HQ Is Reportedly a Shared Law Office That Also Worked With FTX

NPR found Polymarket's Panama HQ is a shared law office that hosts 15 crypto firms and once did work for FTX. The post Polymarket’s Panama HQ Is Reportedly a Shared Law Office That Also Worked With FTX appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »

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70% пользователей Polymarket потеряли свои деньги — исследование WSJ

70% пользователей блокчейн-платформы Polymarket потеряли вложенные деньги, а 67% прибыли уходит 0,1% аккаунтов, показало расследование газеты The Wall Street Journal (WSJ). дальше »

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Polymarket and Kalshi Open Trading on Chris Martin’s World Cup Final Halftime Show

Polymarket and Kalshi have opened markets on the World Cup Final halftime show. The volume won't match the Super Bowl, but the numbers won't be a footnote either. The post Polymarket and Kalshi Open Trading on Chris Martin’s World Cup Final Halftime Show appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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ICE Posts Record Earnings, Doubles Down on Polymarket Data and 24/7 Onchain Markets

Intercontinental Exchange, the company behind the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), reported its strongest quarter in company history on April 30. But buried in the prepared remarks was something more interesting than the record numbers: ICE founder, chair, and CEO Jeff Sprecher positioned prediction market data alongside other key macro indicators essential for managing risk. дальше »

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Bitcoin Price Just Reclaimed $80,000 for the First Time Since January, But Professional Traders Are Not Buying the Rally

Bitcoin reclaims $80,000 on ETF inflows and leveraged demand, but CryptoQuant data flags weak spot buying and Polymarket gives only 23% odds to $90K this month. The post Bitcoin Price Just Reclaimed $80,000 for the First Time Since January, But Professional Traders Are Not Buying the Rally appeared first on Coinspeaker. дальше »

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The Dark Web Is Losing Its Scare – For Better or Worse?

The dark web's scare factor is fading as Polymarket, Kraken and others keep debunking forum hack claims fast. The post The Dark Web Is Losing Its Scare – For Better or Worse? appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »

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Kalshi Widens Volume Lead Over Polymarket With Record $14.8B April

Kalshi pulls away with record April volume of $14. 81B (+13. 3% MoM) while Polymarket fell 14. 8%, widening the gap to $5. 8B. Sports-driven model proving more resilient for now with Kalshi’s ~85% Sports + Exotics mix sustaining volume even without Super Bowl or March Madness. дальше »

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Senate Bans Lawmakers from Prediction Markets in Win for Industry

The Senate moved swiftly on Thursday to put its own house in order on prediction markets, passing a resolution by unanimous consent that bars sitting senators, officers, and staff from trading on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, effective immediately. дальше »

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How Prediction Markets Saw the Platner Surge and Mills Exit in Maine Ahead of Polls

Maine Gov. Janet Mills’ suspension of her Senate campaign this week is one of the cleanest demonstrations that prediction markets can see around the corner pretty well.  Long before Mills’ abrupt exit, Kalshi and Polymarket were already pricing Graham Platner as the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic Senate primary and the general election as […] The post How Prediction Markets Saw the Platner Surge and Mills Exit in Maine Ahead of Polls appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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US Senate Passes Resolution Banning Senators From Prediction Market Trading

Senate passes Moreno resolution to ban senators from trading on Polymarket, Kalshi, and other prediction markets. The post US Senate Passes Resolution Banning Senators From Prediction Market Trading appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »

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Polymarket taps blockchain data firm Chainalysis to curb insider trading

Polymarket is moving to tighten oversight on its fast-growing prediction market platform through a new partnership with blockchain analytics company Chainalysis. The move comes as the firm seeks to strengthen market integrity while pursuing a reported $15 billion valuation. дальше »

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Polymarket rolls out on-chain integrity monitor in Chainalysis tie-up

Polymarket is rolling out an onchain integrity monitor with Chainalysis to detect insider trading and manipulation across its prediction markets and reassure regulators and institutions. Polymarket has unveiled a comprehensive on-chain market integrity monitoring solution designed to track trading behavior… дальше »

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ECB signals growing rate hike inclination as Lagarde stresses rising risks

Polymarket partners with Chainalysis to deploy on-chain surveillance targeting insider trading and manipulation as volumes hit $7B monthly and regulation intensifies. The European Central Bank maintained interest rates unchanged at its April 30 meeting, but ECB President Christine Lagarde’s press conference remarks… дальше »

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Gemini eyes prediction market challenge to Kalshi, Polymarket, secures derivatives license; shares surge

Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss' crypto exchange now holds licenses allowing it to expand into regulated derivatives and prediction markets, the fastest-growing sectors in crypto. дальше »

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Polymarket taps Chainalysis for on-chain surveillance to hunt insider trades

Polymarket partners with Chainalysis to deploy on-chain surveillance targeting insider trading and manipulation as volumes hit $7B monthly and regulation intensifies. Polymarket has partnered with Chainalysis to deploy what it calls “a first-of-its-kind on-chain solution to monitor trading activity and… дальше »

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Polymarket taps Chainalysis to bring Wall Street-level oversight to crypto prediction markets

By partnering with Chainalysis to monitor its blockchain data in real-time, Polymarket is signaling to both users and regulators that it is serious about eliminating insider trading and market manipulation. дальше »

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Prediction Markets and Crypto Converge as Perpetuals Drive Always-On Trading

Key takeaways: The line between prediction markets and crypto derivatives is starting to disappear as both converge around continuous trading of price and probability. Polymarket and Kalshi are both introducing perpetual-style mechanics that transform event contracts from fixed, binary bets into continuous, leveraged trading systems that behave more like crypto derivatives venues than traditional forecasting […] The post Prediction Markets and Crypto Converge as Perpetuals Drive Always-On Trading appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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100,000 трейдеров Polymarket потеряли более $1000 с января

Рынки прогнозов позволяют розничным пользователям делать ставки на реальные результаты, однако, по новым данным, прибыль сосредоточена в руках небольшой группы трейдеров. 29 апреля 2026 года Bloomberg опубликовал статью о том, что с января 2025 года более 100,000 счетов на Polymarket понесли убытки в размере нескольких тысяч долларов, что почти вдвое превышает количество кошельков, зафиксировавших аналогичную […] дальше »

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The Green Beret was just the start: New data suggests military insider trading crisis on Polymarket

New data shows unusually high win rates in defense bets, building on research that 3% of traders drive prices and under 1% capture most profits. дальше »

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Премудрые киты

Маркетологи прекрасно научились заманивать пользователей на рынки предсказаний вроде Polymarket или Kalshi нарративами о «мудрости толпы», к которой может принадлежать каждый. Но так ли это на самом деле? ForkLog разобрал лишь два недавних случая на Polymarket, когда китам удалось добиться желаемого результата вопреки объективной реальности и исходам событий, на которые делались крупные ставки. дальше »

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XO Market bets on user-generated prediction markets to rival Polymarket and Kalshi

Backed by 20VC, Picus Capital and Coinbase Ventures; XO lets users create and profit from their own prediction markets, and plans to rollout a new vault product to democratize market making. дальше »

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Hyperliquid’s HYPE token could be its prediction market weapon, Arthur Hayes says

HIP-4 could become a dominant prediction-market venue because Hyperliquid users can get economic exposure to platform usage through HYPE, unlike users of Polymarket or Kalshi. дальше »

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Hyperliquid Sets Outcome Token Fees as Prediction Market Race Heats Up

Hyperliquid has published a fee model for outcome tokens on its testnet. The disclosure follows HyperCore’s backing of HIP-4. The proposal brings outcome trading to the venue and sets up a challenge to leading prediction market players, Kalshi and Polymarket. дальше »

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Polymarket Eyes US Return as CFTC Weighs Regulatory Fit of Offshore Platform

Polymarket, one of the leading prediction market platforms worldwide, has been in discussions with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to reopen U. S. customer access to its primary offshore exchange, according to a new report from Bloomberg. дальше »

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Американский сержант заработал $410 000 на Polymarket, используя военные секреты — теперь ему грозит 60 лет

Американский солдат Кеннон Ван Дайк (Gannon Ken Van Dyke) заявил о своей невиновности в федеральном суде Манхэттена. Ему инкриминируют использование секретных военных данных для ставок на криптовалютной платформе ставок на события Polymarket. дальше »

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Polymarket: никакого взлома не было — наши данные открыты по умолчанию

Polymarket — одна из крупнейших платформ для ставок на события — отвергла обвинения во взломе после того, как неизвестный хакер заявил о краже данных сотен тысяч пользователей и попытался продать их на форуме в даркнете. дальше »

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Will Trump Fire Kash Patel? Polymarket, Kalshi Odds Signal Growing Exit Risk

Prediction markets are pricing Kash Patel's exit as more likely than not. Our aggregated data shows Patel with a 79% chance to leave the Trump administration this year. The post Will Trump Fire Kash Patel? Polymarket, Kalshi Odds Signal Growing Exit Risk appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Названы четыре самые популярные криптовалюты на Polymarket

Платформа Polymarket и Bitget Wallet проанализировали активность 1,29 млн аккаунтов на площадке прогнозов и назвали четыре самые популярные криптовалюты, на изменение цены которых чаще всего ставят пользователи. дальше »

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Kalshi Posts Record $3.9B Volume Week, Extends Lead Over Polymarket as Parlays Surge

Weekly notional volume bounced back sharply after last week’s post-Masters pullback, with the two leading prediction markets combining for $5. 9B in weekly notional volume for the week of April 20, according to DeFi Rate’s prediction markets volume tracker. дальше »

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Лишь 3,5% трейдеров Polymarket получают прибыль

Точность рынков предсказаний обеспечивается узкой группой информированных трейдеров, а не коллективным разумом толпы, — к такому выводу пришли исследователи из Лондонской школы бизнеса и Йельского университета. дальше »

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Polymarket’s “smart money” is just 3% of users, study finds

A study says only 3.14% of Polymarket accounts drive price discovery, while unskilled traders absorb the platform’s losses. дальше »

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Бразильские власти запретили плафтормы предсказаний Kalshi и Polymarket

Бразилия ввела полный запрет на работу 28 платформ для ставок и рынков прогнозов, включая блокчейн-проекты Polymarket и Kalshi — их сайты в этой латиноамериканской стране начали блокировать. дальше »

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DOJ Arrests US Soldier Over Alleged Use of Secret Intel in Polymarket Bet

DOJ Arrests US Soldier Over Polymarket Bet Using Secret Intel

The post DOJ Arrests US Soldier Over Alleged Use of Secret Intel in Polymarket Bet appeared first on Coinspeaker.

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Robin Markets raises $475,000 as VC backs Polymarket yield infrastructure

Robin Markets raised $475k to launch a staking product that turns Polymarket positions into yield, a targeted crypto VC bet in a funding cycle otherwise dominated by AI. Robin Markets has closed a $475,000 angel financing round led by Fabric… дальше »

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Polymarket odds for Waller Fed chair confirmation surge on Powell probe U-turn

Polymarket catapulted Waller’s Fed chair odds from 27% to 85% after reports the DOJ will drop its criminal probe into Jerome Powell, clearing a key Senate roadblock. Prediction markets have dramatically repriced the odds that Christopher Waller will become the… дальше »

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Wisconsin sues Kalshi, Coinbase, Polymarket, calls prediction markets illegal bets

Wisconsin has escalated its challenge against prediction market platforms, widening a legal fight already taking shape across several U.S. states over how these products should be classified. Fresh complaints filed in Dane County name Crypto.com and its derivatives arm, Polymarket,… дальше »

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Американского солдата обвинили в инсайдерских ставках на блокчейн-платформе Polymarket

Федеральные власти предъявили обвинения действующему военнослужащему армии США в использовании секретной информации для инсайдерской торговли на блокчейн-платформе Polymarket. Дело стало первым крупным уголовным преследованием за инсайдерские ставки на децентрализованной площадке. дальше »

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Wisconsin DOJ Targets Kalshi and Polymarket in Sweeping Prediction Market Crackdown

Wisconsin filed three lawsuits against Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase, Polymarket, and Crypto. com.   According to the announcement, authorities are moving to shut down the platforms’ alleged facilitation of sports betting activity that Wisconsin treats as illegal commercial gambling. дальше »

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Phemex Taps Polymarket to Unveil Prediction Market Offering Weekly Rewards

Phemex has partnered with Polymarket decentralized prediction market. The partnership aims to bridge real-world event prediction with crypto trading. дальше »

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Army Soldier Used Classified Maduro Intel to Win Over $400,000 on Polymarket, DOJ Says

The Department of Justice has charged a US Army soldier in a Polymarket insider trading case.   He allegedly used classified intelligence to win roughly $409,881 by betting on the January capture of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro. дальше »

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Американский военнослужащий обвинен в инсайдерской торговле на $400K на Polymarket по информации об отстранении Мадуро

Солдат армии США, дислоцированный в Форт-Брэгг (Северная Каролина), обвинён в использовании секретных военных разведданных для торговли на Polymarket в связи с отстранением президента Венесуэлы Ник... дальше »

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Wisconsin Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com Over Sports Contracts in ‘Race to the Courthouse’

The Wisconsin Department of Justice has filed a series of lawsuits against major prediction market operators and their distribution partners, alleging that sports event contracts offered by Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto. дальше »

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Paris Weather Glitch Sparks $37K Win on Polymarket

Polymarket faces scrutiny after two traders won $37K on Paris weather bets tied to unusual temperature spikes at Charles de Gaulle Airport. дальше »

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Bitget Wallet интегрировал Polymarket для доступа к рынкам прогнозов

Bitget Wallet интегрировал Polymarket — платформу для торговли прогнозами на реальные события. Благодаря интеграции пользователи смогут получать доступ к рынкам прогнозов через мобильное приложение Bitget Wallet. дальше »

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Silicon Valley’s ‘monitoring the situation’ MTS meme becomes a 24/7 news machine delivered by a16z

a16z is backing “Monitoring the Situation,” a 24/7 X livestream born from Polymarket meme culture, as tech VCs build their own news-industrial complex. Andreessen Horowitz, also known as a16z, the Silicon Valley venture firm that has raised more than $15… дальше »

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Warsh Pledges to Sell His Full Crypto and Venture Portfolio Worth at Least $192 Million

Kevin Warsh crypto holdings disclosed in his 69-page OGE Form 278e financial filing include indirect stakes in more than 20 blockchain and digital asset companies spanning Solana, dYdX, Polymarket, Dapper Labs, and Lightning Network infrastructure, with combined assets alongside his… дальше »

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Polymarket Unveils Perpetual Futures In Time To Beat Kalshi’s Crypto Launch

Polymarket announced perpetual futures trading, beating Kalshi's planned April 27 perps launch in the prediction market race. The post Polymarket Unveils Perpetual Futures In Time To Beat Kalshi’s Crypto Launch appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »

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