На Polymarket и Kalshi оценили шансы биткоина достичь $100 000 к концу года

Участники рынков предсказаний Polymarket и Kalshi предположили, что шансы первой криптовалюты до 31 декабря преодолеть отметку $100 000 в среднем составляют всего 30%. дальше »

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Polymarket оценивает в 32% вероятность нового шатдауна в США с 31 января 2026 года

Платформы прогнозирования повышают оценки вероятности нового шатдауна в США с 31 января 2026 года, несмотря на недавнее завершение самого продолжительного правительственного кризиса в американской истории. дальше »

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CFTC Gives No-Action Leeway to Polymarket, Gemini, PredictIt, LedgerX Over Data Rules

The CFTC granted the operators of Polymarket, PredictIt, Gemini and LedgerX permission to skip certain recordkeeping requirements. дальше »

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$65M+ on Prediction Markets Backed the December Rate Cut

Over $65M poured into Kalshi and Polymarket as traders backed a December rate cut with near certainty. The Fed delivered its third consecutive drop, matching prediction-market expectations. The post $65M+ on Prediction Markets Backed the December Rate Cut appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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How a “Jellyfish UFO video” and PDF fueled a controversial 1,700% market explosion

A Polymarket contract asking whether President Donald Trump will declassify UFO files in 2025 sat at 5. 5% on Dec. 6. The next day, it rocketed toward 90%. The trigger wasn’t a White House announcement or a Pentagon press conference, but likely a resolution proposal filed with UMA Protocol, the decentralized oracle that settles Polymarket’s disputes. дальше »

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Polymarket faces major credibility crisis after whales forced a “YES” UFO vote without evidence

Polymarket just resolved “YES” on a $16 million market asking whether the Trump administration would declassify UFO files in 2025… even though no documents have been released. The outcome arrived after late-session buying near 99 to 99. дальше »

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Gondor Raises $2.5M to Bring Lending and Leverage to Prediction Markets

Gondor is betting it can build the missing financial layer for on-chain prediction markets—starting with lending against Polymarket positions. The post Gondor Raises $2.5M to Bring Lending and Leverage to Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Polymarket accused of alleged double-counted volume in most public data

Recent research shows Polymarket trades are double-counted on most public dashboards. The issue stems from redundant maker-taker events in smart contracts. According to the allegations, the actual volumes are roughly half of what dashboards report. дальше »

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Will the Fed Cut Rates? 94% Say Yes with $35 Million on the Line

Polymarket and Kalshi show near-unanimous consensus ahead of Wednesday's decision, with $14 million traded in the past 24 hours The post Will the Fed Cut Rates? 94% Say Yes with $35 Million on the Line appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Kalshi Nears $1.8 Billion Weekly Volume as Prediction Markets Top $2.3 Billion

Kalshi posted $1. 8 billion in weekly volume, up 15. 2%, capturing 78% of the market. Polymarket recorded $511 million, up 19. 7%. Combined volume hit $2. 3 billion. The post Kalshi Nears $1. дальше »

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Polymarket Builds Internal Market-Making Desk That Could Trade Against Its Users

Polymarket is recruiting staff for an internal market-making team that could trade against its users, Bloomberg reported. The report, which cited sources familiar with the [...] дальше »

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You can trade Polymarket in MetaMask now. But should you?

You can trade Polymarket in MetaMask now—but at 4% per trade, that convenience comes at a price The post You can trade Polymarket in MetaMask now. But should you? appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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A Google Insider? The Polymarket Trader Who Turned $10K Into $1M Overnight

Alleged insider nets $1 million profit on Polymarket in 24 hours.

The post A Google Insider? The Polymarket Trader Who Turned $10K Into $1M Overnight appeared first on DeFi Rate.

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Polymarket Traders Knew The Weeknd Was Going to Beat Drake on Spotify Wrapped

Hours before Spotify announced its 2025 Wrapped results, the odds on The Weeknd finishing third on Polymarket’s contract surged from 40% to 99%. Polymarket shared the news on X, framing it as proof that prediction markets work. дальше »

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Kalshi Rolls Out Tokenized Version of Event Contracts on Solana

With tokenized event contracts now live on Solana, Kalshi is stepping directly into territory dominated by Polymarket and other decentralized platforms. The race just got a lot more interesting. дальше »

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Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000 Price? 74% of Voters Say 'No'

There's a good chance that Bitcoin will not hit $100,000, according to the vote of investors on Polymarket. дальше »

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Polymarket Gains CFTC Approval For US Return As Robinhood Says Prediction Markets Are Fastest-Growing Business

Polymarket gained Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) approval to return to the US as Robinhood Markets said prediction markets are its fastest-growing businesses. Polymarket received [...] дальше »

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Американский регулятор разрешил Polymarket работать в США

Платформа прогнозирования событий Polymarket получила разрешение от Комиссии по торговле товарными фьючерсами США (CFTC) на работу посреднической торговой платформы в Соединенных Штатах. Это знаковое событие произошло спустя пять месяцев после закрытия расследования, в ходе которого ФБР провело обыски в доме основателя компании. дальше »

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Polymarket вернула разрешение на работу в США

Комиссия по торговле товарными фьючерсами США (CFTC) официально разрешила блокчейн-платформе прогнозов Polymarket работать на американском рынке. Запрет обслуживать жителей страны действовал почти четыре года. дальше »

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Galaxy Digital Eyes Liquidity Role On Polymarket And Kalshi As Prediction Markets Boom

Digital asset investment manager Galaxy Digital is in discussions to provide liquidity to prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi. In an interview with Bloomberg, the firm’s [...] дальше »

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Galaxy Digital weighs market making role for Polymarket, Kalshi prediction markets

Prediction-market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi are in discussions with Galaxy Digital as institutional interest begins shifting toward event-driven trading. Galaxy Digital is in discussions to provide liquidity on Polymarket and Kalshi as prediction markets draw new attention from major trading… дальше »

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Kalshi Raises $1 Billion as Prediction Markets Hit $2.2 Billion Weekly

Kalshi built $1.2B in weekly volume with US users alone. Polymarket built $952M with everyone else, per Defi Rate analytics. The post Kalshi Raises $1 Billion as Prediction Markets Hit $2.2 Billion Weekly appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Asia Morning Briefing: Market Turns Defensive as Bitcoin Loses Its Bid

With CryptoQuant flagging an exhausted demand wave and Polymarket traders clustering around an 85,000 retest, the market is trading without the catalysts that drove last year’s gains. дальше »

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Polymarket shows 50% odds of Bitcoin reaching $85K in November

Polymarket gives 50% odds of Bitcoin hitting $85K in November as BTC falls below $90K amid broader market weakness. The post Polymarket shows 50% odds of Bitcoin reaching $85K in November appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Polymarket CEO Slams DraftKings and FanDuel, Calls Regulatory System a Scam

Polymarket Founder and CEO Shayne Coplan attacked sportsbooks on Tuesday, saying that regulated sports betting is a scam, and called DraftKings and FanDuel a “duopoly”. The post Polymarket CEO Slams DraftKings and FanDuel, Calls Regulatory System a Scam appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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PrizePicks Adds Kalshi Deal To Just-Announced Polymarket Partnership

Just days after announcing a deal with Polymarket, PrizePicks has launched prediction markets through a partnership with Kalshi, Polymarket’s main adversary. Kalshi prediction markets are now available on the PrizePicks app. дальше »

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Polymarket To Provide UFC, Zuffa Boxing With Real-Time Fan Predictions

Polymarket is partnering with TKO Group Holdings to bring real-time forecasting into live fight broadcasts for the UFC (Ultimate Fighting Championship) and Zuffa Boxing.  Polymarket [...] дальше »

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Polymarket Returns to U.S. with Beta Launch for Select Users

Polymarket has relaunched in a limited beta in the U. S. , announcing that it is letting a small number of American users trade contracts on outcomes for sports, politics, pop culture, and more. Founder Shayne Coplan confirmed the news at Cantor Fitzgerald’s Crypto and AI Infrastructure Conference in Miami, calling the U. дальше »

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Polymarket gives Solana 7% chance of a new ATH before 2026

Key Takeaways How bearish has market sentiment turned on Solana? Prediction market Polymarket now gives SOL only a 7% chance of hitting a new all-time high before 2026, down from 60% probability in The post Polymarket gives Solana 7% chance of a new ATH before 2026 appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »

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Polymarket Secures Exclusive UFC Partnership, Reaching 700 Million Fans

TKO Group Holdings has partnered with Polymarket to bring crypto-powered predictions to UFC and Zuffa Boxing events, featuring broadcast integration and venue activations. The post Polymarket Secures Exclusive UFC Partnership, Reaching 700 Million Fans appeared first on Coinspeaker. дальше »

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UFC to Debut Fan Prediction Scoreboard in Polymarket Deal

TKO inks multi-year pact with Polymarket, bringing real-time sentiment tracking to UFC and Zuffa Boxing broadcasts. дальше »

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UFC’s parent company signs multiyear deal with Polymarket to bring real-time prediction markets to live fights

The deal could accelerate the mainstream adoption of crypto-integrated prediction markets in professional sports, influencing betting trends. The post UFC’s parent company signs multiyear deal with Polymarket to bring real-time prediction markets to live fights appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Polymarket goes live in the US for limited users as part of beta test

Polymarket has officially relaunched in the United States, but in beta mode, after almost three years of regulatory limbo and an extended stint operating offshore. Polymarket is currently operating quietly within a closed beta, with the platform open to select… дальше »

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Yahoo Finance Welcomes Polymarket: Exclusive Deal Brings Billions to Mainstream Investors

Key Takeaways: Polymarket becomes the sole prediction-market provider for Yahoo Finance, integrating live event-odds into Yahoo’s finance platform. Yahoo Finance readers will now access market-driven probabilities tied to macro events, The post Yahoo Finance Welcomes Polymarket: Exclusive Deal Brings Billions to Mainstream Investors appeared first on CryptoNinjas. дальше »

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Polymarket Quietly Re-Enters US Market In Beta Mode For Select Users: Bloomberg

Decentralized prediction markets platform Polymarket has quietly re-entered the US in beta mode after resolving an enforcement case with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission [...] дальше »

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Polymarket begins testing US exchange ahead of planned relaunch

Polymarket's US relaunch could significantly impact the prediction market landscape, attracting major investments and regulatory attention. The post Polymarket begins testing US exchange ahead of planned relaunch appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Polymarket to become exclusive partner for Yahoo Finance

Prediction markets are becoming a mainstream phenomenon across politics, sports, and business. Polymarket's latest move exemplifies this trend. дальше »

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Polymarket Becomes Yahoo Finance’s Exclusive Crypto Prediction Market Provider

Polymarket secures an exclusive partnership with Yahoo Finance to deliver prediction market data, strengthening its position as the leading crypto-native platform for event forecasting. The post Polymarket Becomes Yahoo Finance’s Exclusive Crypto Prediction Market Provider appeared first on Coinspeaker. дальше »

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PrizePicks Partners with Polymarket to Bring Prediction Markets to Fantasy Sports Users

Fantasy sports giant PrizePicks announced a major partnership with prediction market platform Polymarket on November 11, 2025. The deal will bring event-based prediction contracts to PrizePicks' millions of users, marking a significant shift in how Americans can engage with prediction markets. дальше »

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Polymarket finds US gateway through PrizePicks alliance

Polymarket is leveraging fantasy sports leader PrizePicks’ user base and regulatory standing as its gateway to re-entering the U.S. market. According to a prepared statement on Nov. 11, PrizePicks will integrate Polymarket’s event contracts into its own platform, offering its… дальше »

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Major fantasy sports operator enters prediction markets with Polymarket

PrizePicks has teamed up with Polymarket to let users wager on real-world outcomes, expanding beyond fantasy sports into the growing prediction-market space. дальше »

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PrizePicks Entering Prediction Markets with Polymarket Partnership

PrizePicks and Polymarket are teaming up to launch a new prediction markets platform. The news follows an announcement by PrizePicks in September that its Performance Predictions II subsidiary has secured registration as a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) by the National Futures Association (NFA), allowing the DFS operator to facilitate trades on futures contracts offered on […] The post PrizePicks Entering Prediction Markets with Polymarket Partnership appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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На Polymarket выявлена фишинговая схема — пользователи потеряли свыше $500 000

Платформа Polymarket, специализирующаяся на рынках предсказаний, оказалась в центре нового скандала. Пользователи сообщили о фишинговых ссылках, размещаемых в комментариях на сайте. По оценкам трейдеров, мошенники похитили более $500 000, используя поддельные страницы для кражи данных и доступа к кошелькам. дальше »

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Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI debuts? 5 craziest Polymarket bets

Polymarket and similar prediction markets brought gambling to non-sports spaces. The “degen” culture of decentralized finance has made some of the bets look really ridiculous. What are the five most absurd bets on Polymarket in 2025? Will the return of… дальше »

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До 25% объема торгов на Polymarket оказались фиктивными

За последние три года примерно 25% совокупного объема торгов на платформе предсказаний Polymarket приходилось на сделки, имевшие признаки фиктивных. Об этом говорится в исследовании Колумбийского университета. дальше »

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Polymarket rife with ‘artificial trading,’ Columbia University researchers find

A Columbia study found that up to 60% of Polymarket’s volume may stem from wash trading, raising new concerns about artificial activity in prediction markets. дальше »

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Polymarket volume inflated by ‘artificial’ activity: Columbia researchers

Artificial trading activity on platforms like Polymarket could undermine trust in blockchain markets, affecting their perceived reliability and growth. The post Polymarket volume inflated by ‘artificial’ activity: Columbia researchers appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Google добавит в поиск данные Polymarket и Kalshi

Корпорация Google добавит данные рынков предсказаний Kalshi и Polymarket в результаты поиска в рамках ИИ-обновления Google Finance. Сервис станет доступен в ближайшие недели. Пользователи смогут вводить вопрос вроде «каким будет рост ВВП в 2025 году?» и видеть рыночные коэффициенты, отражающие вероятность разных сценариев. дальше »

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Google To Integrate Prediction Market Data From Kalshi, Polymarket In AI-Powered Update

Google plans to integrate predictions market data from Kalshi and Polymarket into its search results as part of an AI-powered upgrade.  The prediction market data [...] дальше »

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Wash trading accounts for a quarter of Polymarket’s activity, Columbia study reveals

About 14% of wallets showed behaviour consistent with coordinated wash trading. Artificial trading peaked at 60% in December 2023 and dropped to 5% by May. ICE plans to invest up to $2 billion as Polymarket prepares for a regulated US return. дальше »

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