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Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats
Prediction markets are pricing Democrat Rob Sand as a real favorite in deep-red Iowa in the 2026 governor race. The post Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-9 22:08 | |
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Pentagon Drops First-Ever Alien Files, Polymarket Bets Hit $33 Million
Polymarket alien disclosure odds hit 21% on $33M volume as the Pentagon drops first UAP files via PURSUE. The post Pentagon Drops First-Ever Alien Files, Polymarket Bets Hit $33 Million appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2026-5-9 19:06 | |
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Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds
The assassination may destabilize Iran's political landscape, increasing uncertainty and impacting regional security and global markets. The post Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-5-8 11:28 | |
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Will Congress Ban Its Members from Trading Stocks? Prediction Markets Are Skeptical
The Senate banned its own members from trading on prediction markets in less than a week. A ban on stock trading has been stalled for years. And the very prediction markets now being restricted are pricing in long odds that lawmakers will ever impose the more meaningful limits on themselves. дальше »
2026-5-7 17:16 | |
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Becerra Surges in California Governor Odds as Ballots Hit Mailboxes
The California governor race has a new leader on prediction markets as ballots go out to residents, and the candidates are teed up for debates this week. Former state Attorney General and Biden-era Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra has surged into the lead on Kalshi, his California Governor Winner odds spiking above the […] The post Becerra Surges in California Governor Odds as Ballots Hit Mailboxes appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-6 22:03 | |
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Litecoin Price Prediction Faces $88 Ceiling in 2026 While Pepeto Presale at $9.89 Million Could Be the Fastest Path to 100x
The litecoin price prediction added a fresh catalyst after Grayscale and CoinShares both filed for spot ETFs, pushing approval odds to 90%, yet LTC sits at $55. 28 and a $4. 2 billion market cap that barely moves even on good news. дальше »
2026-5-6 20:30 | |
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Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag
Prediction markets favor Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson in Georgia’s governor primaries, even as polls show more uncertainty on the GOP side. The post Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-6 19:01 | |
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Bitcoin Price Just Reclaimed $80,000 for the First Time Since January, But Professional Traders Are Not Buying the Rally
Bitcoin reclaims $80,000 on ETF inflows and leveraged demand, but CryptoQuant data flags weak spot buying and Polymarket gives only 23% odds to $90K this month. The post Bitcoin Price Just Reclaimed $80,000 for the First Time Since January, But Professional Traders Are Not Buying the Rally appeared first on Coinspeaker. дальше »
2026-5-8 14:36 | |
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California Billionaire Tax Nears Ballot as Odds Still Lean ‘No’
A proposed one-time California billionaire tax has reportedly cleared the signature hurdle and is moving toward the November ballot, but prediction markets are still trending toward its ultimate failure. дальше »
2026-4-29 22:33 | |
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Will Trump Fire Kash Patel? Polymarket, Kalshi Odds Signal Growing Exit Risk
Prediction markets are pricing Kash Patel's exit as more likely than not. Our aggregated data shows Patel with a 79% chance to leave the Trump administration this year. The post Will Trump Fire Kash Patel? Polymarket, Kalshi Odds Signal Growing Exit Risk appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-29 21:59 | |
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Vitalik Buterin Reveals the Easy Money Strategy for Prediction Markets
Prediction markets are supposed to be the internet’s truth machine. They offer a place where real money forces honest thinking. Yet, they have a structural vulnerability. Hype, fear, and confirmation routinely push the odds of absurd outcomes far higher than reality warrants. дальше »
2026-4-28 03:00 | |
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CLARITY Act Gets an Industry Ultimatum as 120 Firms Including Coinbase and Ripple Demand Senate Action
More than 120 crypto organizations including Coinbase, Ripple, Kraken, and Andreessen Horowitz sent a joint letter to the Senate Banking Committee on April 23 demanding an immediate CLARITY Act markup, as the bill’s end-of-May deadline tightens and prediction market odds… дальше »
2026-4-28 22:10 | |
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Polymarket odds for Waller Fed chair confirmation surge on Powell probe U-turn
Polymarket catapulted Waller’s Fed chair odds from 27% to 85% after reports the DOJ will drop its criminal probe into Jerome Powell, clearing a key Senate roadblock. Prediction markets have dramatically repriced the odds that Christopher Waller will become the… дальше »
2026-4-25 18:27 | |
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Markets Anticipate Political Trouble for Trump As Impeachment Odds Rise to 70%
Kalshi traders price a 68% chance Trump faces impeachment before 2028 as midterm and geopolitical risks rise. The post Markets Anticipate Political Trouble for Trump As Impeachment Odds Rise to 70% appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2026-4-23 21:00 | |
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Iran issues military threats amid US negotiations, impacting ceasefire prospects
Iran's military threats during US talks heighten uncertainty, reducing ceasefire odds and complicating prospects for a swift resolution. The post Iran issues military threats amid US negotiations, impacting ceasefire prospects appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-18 11:41 | |
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Pakistan mediates US-Iran talks, Trump oil sanction relief odds rise
Pakistan's mediation could stabilize US-Iran relations, potentially easing oil sanctions and impacting global energy markets significantly. The post Pakistan mediates US-Iran talks, Trump oil sanction relief odds rise appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-18 10:47 | |
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Vance Leads GOP 2028 Odds as Markets Price Trump Risk
The Republican side of the 2028 presidential race on prediction markets looks much more structured than the Democratic one, because there is already a traditional heir apparent in Vice President JD Vance. дальше »
2026-4-17 19:55 | |
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Bitcoin Price Prediction Eyes $88K as ETF Inflows and Clarity Act Fuel BTC While Pepeto Goes Viral Before Binance Listing
The bitcoin price prediction just shifted higher. Analysts at CoinDesk flagged $88,000 as the next target for BTC, backed by $787 million in weekly ETF inflows, a rising Coinbase premium, and growing odds the Clarity Act passes this quarter. дальше »
2026-4-14 12:30 | |
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Swalwell Odds Plummet from 35% to 1% Before Dropping Out of CA Governor Race
The Rep. Eric Swalwell sex scandal firestorm hasn’t just rattled California politics, it has instantly rearranged the prediction markets odds boards on the state’s high-profile governor’s race. The Scandal has turned a political frontrunner into one of the most tradable fall-from-grace stories in the 2026 cycle. дальше »
2026-4-14 21:38 | |
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Swalwell Odds Plummet from 35% to 1% as Sex Scandal Reprices CA Governor Race
The Rep. Eric Swalwell sex scandal firestorm hasn’t just rattled California politics, it has instantly rearranged the prediction markets odds boards on the state’s high-profile governor’s race. The Scandal has turned a political frontrunner into one of the most tradable fall-from-grace stories in the 2026 cycle. дальше »
2026-4-13 21:38 | |
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Solo Bitcoin Miner With 70 TH/s Wins Full Block Against 1-in-100,000 Odds
A solo Bitcoin miner using a 70 TH/s S19 earned 3.128 BTC by mining block 944,306 against 1-in-100,000 daily odds. The post Solo Bitcoin Miner With 70 TH/s Wins Full Block Against 1-in-100,000 Odds appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2026-4-10 08:25 | |
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Clarity Act Odds Jump 15% as White House Backs Crypto in Yield Debate
Odds of Clarity Act legislation passing this year jumped around 15% following a new White House report that puts a major dent in banks' arguments against allowing stablecoin yield. The post Clarity Act Odds Jump 15% as White House Backs Crypto in Yield Debate appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-9 08:44 | |
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Iran leadership crisis as Khamenei reportedly unconscious, regime fall odds spike
Iran's leadership crisis could lead to increased instability, potential power struggles, and shifts in the political landscape. The post Iran leadership crisis as Khamenei reportedly unconscious, regime fall odds spike appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-7 10:43 | |
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US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as negotiation gaps widen ahead of deadline
Widening negotiation gaps could prolong regional instability, affecting global markets and diplomatic relations beyond the immediate deadline. The post US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as negotiation gaps widen ahead of deadline appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-7 10:43 | |
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US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as Trump’s deadline looms
The diminishing ceasefire prospects heighten the risk of military escalation, potentially destabilizing regional and global security. The post US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as Trump’s deadline looms appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-7 10:43 | |
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Mojtaba Khamenei unconscious, odds of Iran regime fall rise to 13.5% by June 30
The leadership uncertainty in Iran could lead to increased geopolitical instability and influence global markets and diplomatic relations. The post Mojtaba Khamenei unconscious, odds of Iran regime fall rise to 13. дальше »
2026-4-7 09:26 | |
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US-Iran ceasefire odds drop to 1.1% as military plans escalate tensions
Escalating military plans undermine diplomatic efforts, increasing regional instability and reducing prospects for a peaceful resolution. The post US-Iran ceasefire odds drop to 1.1% as military plans escalate tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-7 09:10 | |
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Iranian missile incident raises doubts about regime fall odds, now at 13.5%: FT
Iran's military prowess, highlighted by the missile incident, suggests regime stability, reducing the likelihood of imminent collapse. The post Iranian missile incident raises doubts about regime fall odds, now at 13.5%: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-7 07:01 | |
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Iran missile strike in Haifa raises regime stability odds to 13.5% by June 30
The missile strike underscores Iran's military prowess, reinforcing regime stability and reducing the likelihood of imminent political upheaval. The post Iran missile strike in Haifa raises regime stability odds to 13. дальше »
2026-4-7 07:01 | |
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Iran’s response seen as negotiating tactic; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1%
The declining ceasefire odds highlight skepticism about immediate diplomatic progress, reflecting broader geopolitical tensions and uncertainty. The post Iran’s response seen as negotiating tactic; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1% appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-7 05:50 | |
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Iran’s regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as superpower tensions escalate: FT
Iran's strategic role in global tensions underscores potential regional instability, yet immediate regime change remains unlikely without direct intervention. The post Iran’s regime collapse odds rise to 13. дальше »
2026-4-7 04:19 | |
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Iran regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as geopolitical tensions escalate: FT
Rising odds of Iran's regime collapse highlight increasing geopolitical instability, impacting global markets and strategic alliances. The post Iran regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as geopolitical tensions escalate: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-7 04:19 | |
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Trump targets Iranian power plants over Hormuz blockade, invasion odds surge on Polymarket
United States President Donald Trump has again warned that the U. S. army will target Iran’s infrastructure next if Tehran doesn’t comply by April 7. After attacking Iran’s Ghadir Bridge last week, the U. дальше »
2026-4-6 07:55 | |
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DeepSeek AI Predicts XRP and Bitcoin Prices if Trump Leaves Office Early
There’s an interesting scenario making the rounds in crypto right now: what if Donald Trump isn’t in office before 2027? It’s not the most likely outcome, but prediction markets put the odds at around 14%. дальше »
2026-4-4 23:00 | |
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Iran boosts defenses as US troop deployment raises odds for ground operations
Rising tensions and military posturing could destabilize the region, impacting global markets and geopolitical alliances significantly. The post Iran boosts defenses as US troop deployment raises odds for ground operations appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 12:20 | |
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US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid airstrikes and threats: 2% for April 7
Escalating tensions and market volatility highlight the fragile geopolitical landscape, complicating diplomatic efforts and economic stability. The post US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid airstrikes and threats: 2% for April 7 appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 09:47 | |
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Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid US-Israel airstrikes and Iran threats: FT
Rising tensions and market skepticism highlight the potential for prolonged instability and the need for urgent diplomatic interventions. The post Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid US-Israel airstrikes and Iran threats: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 09:46 | |
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US informs Israel of deadlocked Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds plummet
Stalled US-Iran talks heighten geopolitical tensions, diminishing hopes for a ceasefire and increasing the likelihood of military escalation. The post US informs Israel of deadlocked Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds plummet appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 08:02 | |
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Ceasefire odds drop to 1.8% as Iran continues missile attacks on Israel
The prolonged conflict and low ceasefire odds suggest escalating regional instability and potential for broader geopolitical tensions. The post Ceasefire odds drop to 1.8% as Iran continues missile attacks on Israel appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 07:07 | |
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Ceasefire odds plummet amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and military escalation: FT
The escalating US-Iran tensions and military actions suggest prolonged instability, impacting global markets and diplomatic relations. The post Ceasefire odds plummet amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and military escalation: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 07:07 | |
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Trump weighs sending US special forces to Iran as April 30 odds rise to 66%
Potential US ground operations in Iran could escalate conflict dynamics, impacting geopolitical stability and market speculation significantly. The post Trump weighs sending US special forces to Iran as April 30 odds rise to 66% appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 06:47 | |
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Iran lists Gulf bridge targets after coalition strike, US ceasefire odds plummet
The escalation reduces diplomatic prospects, impacting market confidence and highlighting the need for strategic peace interventions. The post Iran lists Gulf bridge targets after coalition strike, US ceasefire odds plummet appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 05:46 | |
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Iran reveals Gulf bridge targets as US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet to 2%
Increased tensions and military posturing could lead to further instability in the Gulf region, impacting global economic and security dynamics. The post Iran reveals Gulf bridge targets as US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet to 2% appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 05:46 | |
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US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 66% after Isfahan strike
Rising odds of U.S. forces entering Iran signal heightened geopolitical tensions and potential for increased military conflict in the region. The post US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 66% after Isfahan strike appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 05:39 | |
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US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 65.5% amid military buildup
Increased military presence and market speculation suggest a potential shift in US-Iran relations, impacting geopolitical stability. The post US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 65. дальше »
2026-4-3 05:39 | |
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Explosions near Revolutionary Guard base raise odds of regime fall to 14% by June 30
The explosions highlight potential instability, but significant regime change remains speculative without further destabilizing events. The post Explosions near Revolutionary Guard base raise odds of regime fall to 14% by June 30 appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 04:07 | |
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Trump’s efforts to end Iran conflict see ceasefire odds drop to 23.5% by April 30
Market skepticism highlights challenges in achieving a US-Iran ceasefire, but potential diplomatic breakthroughs could emerge by late May. The post Trump’s efforts to end Iran conflict see ceasefire odds drop to 23. дальше »
2026-4-3 01:57 | |
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Ceasefire odds drop to 2% as US-Iran tensions escalate
Escalating US-Iran tensions suggest prolonged conflict, diminishing hopes for immediate diplomatic solutions and impacting global stability. The post Ceasefire odds drop to 2% as US-Iran tensions escalate appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 01:51 | |
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US strike on Iranian bridge signals military escalation, ceasefire odds plummet
The military escalation diminishes diplomatic efforts, increasing uncertainty and reducing the likelihood of a near-term ceasefire. The post US strike on Iranian bridge signals military escalation, ceasefire odds plummet appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 01:50 | |
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