Will Congress Ban Its Members from Trading Stocks? Prediction Markets Are Skeptical

2026-5-7 17:16

The Senate banned its own members from trading on prediction markets in less than a week. A ban on stock trading has been stalled for years. And the very prediction markets now being restricted are pricing in long odds that lawmakers will ever impose the more meaningful limits on themselves. origin »

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Gemini Secures CFTC clearing license, gains full derivatives infrastructure

Gemini’s Olympus unit won CFTC clearing license enabling in-house derivatives infrastructure for futures, options, perpetuals, and prediction markets. Gemini announced April 30 that its affiliate Gemini Olympus received a Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, positioning the exchange…

2026-5-1 18:41


Prediction Markets and Crypto Converge as Perpetuals Drive Always-On Trading

Key takeaways: The line between prediction markets and crypto derivatives is starting to disappear as both converge around continuous trading of price and probability. Polymarket and Kalshi are both introducing perpetual-style mechanics that transform event contracts from fixed, binary bets into continuous, leveraged trading systems that behave more like crypto derivatives venues than traditional forecasting […] The post Prediction Markets and Crypto Converge as Perpetuals Drive Always-On Trading appeared first on DeFi Rate.

2026-5-1 17:52


Federal Agency Sues New York Over Prediction Market Ban

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission sued New York to block the state from enforcing its gambling laws against federally registered prediction market exchanges. The complaint filed in the Southern District of New York seeks a declaratory judgment confirming federal preemption, plus a permanent injunction barring state action against CFTC-registered designated contract markets.

2026-4-25 16:00