prediction / Заголовки новостей 
New York sues Kalshi, seeks $36B in penalties over prediction markets
New York has sued Kalshi, seeking to block its prediction markets and recover at least $36 billion in penalties and restitution over alleged violations of the state’s gambling laws. According to the New York Attorney General’s Office, Attorney General Letitia… дальше »
2026-7-31 11:58
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World Cup prediction markets reached $20B
Chainalysis says the World Cup generated $20 billion in prediction-market volume, involving 400,000 wallets and $24 million in NFT trades. дальше »
2026-7-31 08:58
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What happens to your position if a market Is delisted?
Prediction market guides explain how contracts resolve and pay. Almost none explain what happens when a market never gets that far, because it was voided, suspended by a court, renamed mid-life, or pulled by the exchange. The answers live in… дальше »
2026-7-30 02:10
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CFTC loses Wisconsin bid to shield prediction markets
A federal judge has rejected the CFTC’s request to stop Wisconsin from enforcing state gambling laws against federally regulated prediction market platforms. Wisconsin court rejects CFTC injunction Judge William Griesbach of the U. дальше »
2026-7-30 00:12
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CFTC faces challenge from 44 states over prediction market rule
44 state attorneys general have urged the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to withdraw and rewrite its proposed prediction market rule, arguing that it exceeds the agency’s authority and intrudes into an area traditionally regulated by states. According to a… дальше »
2026-7-30 13:12
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Trump speech betting case sees White House teleprompter operator exit government
A White House teleprompter operator accused of using advance access to President Donald Trump’s speeches to profit from Kalshi prediction market bets has left the federal government while a regulatory investigation into the trades continues. According to the Associated Press,… дальше »
2026-7-30 12:29
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The third sovereign: Tribes take on prediction markets
Everyone covering the prediction market legal war has been watching states. The more dangerous case is being argued in the Ninth Circuit by three California tribes under a different statute entirely, and at oral argument this month a judge told… дальше »
2026-7-29 17:50
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The integrity build: Inside prediction markets’ new police
In eighteen months, the prediction market industry has assembled the surveillance apparatus that took stock exchanges decades: named detection engines, encrypted prohibited-person lists, league partnerships, forensic academics, and employment disclosure for high-risk traders. дальше »
2026-7-29 16:00
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Pennsylvania prediction markets bill could block sportsbooks from market making
Pennsylvania lawmakers have introduced a bipartisan bill that has proposed insider-trading rules for prediction markets while preventing sportsbooks and other gambling companies from supplying liquidity or acting as market makers for those platforms. дальше »
2026-7-28 10:29
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Fanatics to acquire BGC prediction market exchange
Fanatics agreed to buy BGC’s regulated exchange and clearinghouse, giving it direct control of its prediction market infrastructure. дальше »
2026-7-28 10:07
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NFL asks CFTC to curb high risk sports prediction contracts
The National Football League has urged the U. S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to tighten its proposed prediction market rules, arguing that stronger safeguards are needed to protect game integrity and consumers. дальше »
2026-7-28 09:56
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Hyperliquid, Multicoin back CFTC prediction market rules
Hyperliquid Policy Center and Multicoin back CFTC prediction-market rules, seeking federal oversight and public reason for contract reviews. дальше »
2026-7-28 16:23
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The exchanges bought the bookies. Now comes the data war
The New York Stock Exchange’s parent just completed a $2 billion bet on Polymarket. Kalshi raised a billion at $22 billion while generating fee revenue most exchanges would envy. Seven bills in Congress want the whole category banned. Wall Street… дальше »
2026-7-26 16:58
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Coinbase CEO responds to criticism over betting prompts in app
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong answered Zooko’s criticism over betting prompts, saying high-risk products need careful in-app placement rules. дальше »
2026-6-29 13:05
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Kalshi lands FIFA World Cup spotlight through ADI Predictstreet deal
Kalshi has secured World Cup branding exposure through a strategic partnership with ADI Predictstreet, FIFA’s official prediction market partner for the 2026 tournament. According to Kalshi, the agreement will place the company’s branding alongside ADI Predictstreet across stadium, television, and… дальше »
2026-6-27 11:19
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Morgan Stanley identifies two triggers that could force a Fed rate hike
Morgan Stanley has warned that the Federal Reserve could still be forced to raise interest rates this year under certain economic conditions, even as it maintains its forecast for unchanged policy. According to Morgan Stanley, its base-case forecast remains that… дальше »
2026-6-27 21:55
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Hyperliquid price prediction: can HYPE reach $100 in 2026?
Hyperliquid price prediction 2026: HYPE hit a record near $77, but buybacks, unlocks, ETF demand and regulation decide if $100 is realistic. дальше »
2026-6-25 12:58
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Kalshi restricts Indian users after regulatory pressure on prediction markets
Kalshi has added India to its list of restricted jurisdictions, preventing residents from accessing the U. S. -based prediction market platform, based on an updated members’ agreement published on Wednesday. дальше »
2026-6-23 17:27
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Prediction markets are turning on the CLARITY Act. Why the odds just dropped
The narrative says CLARITY is closer to law than ever. Prediction markets disagree, with 2026 odds near 55%. Why the money is skeptical. дальше »
2026-6-23 12:30
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Bitcoin reclaims $63K as Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire revives U.S.-Iran talks hopes
Bitcoin has climbed back above $63,000 after reports of an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire have renewed expectations that stalled diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran could resume before the end of June. дальше »
2026-6-21 22:31
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Charles Schwab challenges Kalshi with new S&P 500 prediction market
Charles Schwab has entered the prediction markets business through a partnership with Cboe Global Markets, introducing new contracts tied to the performance of the S&P 500. According to a Wall Street Journal report, the brokerage firm is working with Cboe… дальше »
2026-6-21 21:07
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Kalshi assigns AI agent to pick markets as volume tops $5B
Kalshi has deployed an artificial intelligence agent to help decide which prediction markets to launch as trading activity on the platform has climbed to more than $5 billion in a single week. According to a Bloomberg report, the prediction market… дальше »
2026-6-16 19:46
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Kalshi dispute reaches New Mexico as CFTC defends federal oversight claim
New Mexico has become the eighth U.S. state drawn into the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s court battle over prediction markets after the regulator filed a lawsuit seeking to block state enforcement against federally regulated exchanges. The CFTC said on Friday… дальше »
2026-6-15 09:47
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Gary Gensler says sports prediction markets fall outside CFTC swap rules
Former U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Gary Gensler has joined a growing list of groups challenging sports prediction markets, arguing in a new court filing that Congress never intended federal derivatives laws to cover sports betting contracts. According to… дальше »
2026-6-12 10:28
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Coinbase emerges as World Cup winner in prediction market race
The 2026 FIFA World Cup has already positioned Coinbase to capture part of an estimated $5 billion to $10 billion increase in prediction market activity tied to the tournament, according to Bernstein. дальше »
2026-6-12 03:16
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Could insider trading bans hurt Polymarket and Kalshi market accuracy?
Prediction market accuracy has suffered under both weak and excessive insider trading enforcement, according to a new academic study that argued a complete ban could leave markets less informative. According to a June 2 research paper by Balbinder Singh Gill,… дальше »
2026-6-10 10:22
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Kalshi rolls out mandatory employer disclosures to curb insider trading
Kalshi has introduced mandatory employer disclosures for certain traders and expanded its market surveillance program after reporting more than 150 investigations, over 100 blocked insider-trading attempts, and 20 law-enforcement referrals during the first quarter of 2026. According to a company… дальше »
2026-6-10 09:42
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Kalshi targets Hyperliquid with HYPE perpetual futures filing
Kalshi has filed with the U. S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to list perpetual futures tied to Hyperliquid’s HYPE token, adding the asset to a growing roster of crypto derivatives products under review. дальше »
2026-6-10 17:57
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Polymarket upholds ‘No’ ruling in disputed Strategy Bitcoin sale market
Polymarket has finalized a disputed prediction market with a “No” outcome after 98.6% of voting power backed the decision in a final UMA review, despite Strategy disclosing that it sold 32 Bitcoin before the market’s May 31 deadline. According to… дальше »
2026-6-4 09:55
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Galaxy Digital enters prediction markets as Arca places $10M trade
Galaxy Digital has launched an institutional over-the-counter prediction-markets desk, opening the service with a $10 million event swap tied to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. Galaxy said Tuesday that the desk operates within its Global Markets unit and serves… дальше »
2026-6-3 23:59
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Robert Kiyosaki warns Bitcoin dip can still trap hype-driven buyers
Robert Kiyosaki urges investors to think beyond hype as Bitcoin corrects, warning education matters more than asset labels in market swings. дальше »
2026-5-31 14:32
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Gemini turns to Grok as crypto exchanges chase prediction markets
Gemini launched a Grok-powered Command Center for prediction markets, using positions and watchlists to personalize market feeds. дальше »
2026-5-29 08:59
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Kalshi sues Minnesota over prediction market ban
Kalshi has sued Minnesota to block the state’s prediction market ban set to take effect on August 1. Kalshi has filed a federal lawsuit against Minnesota to block the state’s new prediction market ban. The law would make running an… дальше »
2026-5-29 03:00
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Myriad’s Farokh Sarmad launches $100K World Cup contest
Prediction market Myriad has launched a World Cup contest with a $100,000 prize pool ahead of the 2026 tournament Prediction market Myriad has opened a trading competition built around football’s 2026 World Cup, putting $100,000 on the line. The contest… дальше »
2026-5-28 20:05
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Prediction markets battle escalates after president Donald Trump sides with CFTC
The CFTC has moved a proposed rule on prediction-markets event contracts into White House review as federal and state officials fight over who should police the fast-growing sector. Bloomberg first reported that the proposal is now before the White House… дальше »
2026-5-28 00:49
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Cathie Wood doubles down on Bitcoin with bold $1.25M prediction
Cathie Wood has raised her long-term Bitcoin forecast to as high as $1.25 million, even as the cryptocurrency trades below key resistance levels during another period of macro uncertainty. Speaking in a recent interview with Fox Business, the ARK Invest… дальше »
2026-5-27 19:14
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Polymarket blocked in Indonesia as Prabowo exit bets spark heat
Indonesia blocked Polymarket after Prabowo exit bets, citing gambling rules as prediction markets face wider global scrutiny. дальше »
2026-5-26 14:54
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Kalshi backs prediction markets lobby group with former Trump official
Kalshi backs Americans for Fair Markets with ex-Trump aide as House probe and state gambling cases raise pressure on prediction markets now. дальше »
2026-5-25 08:25
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CFTC crypto oversight questioned after officials were pushed out
NYT says CFTC officials who questioned prediction market firms were suspended as crypto enforcement fell and state legal fights widened. дальше »
2026-5-25 14:52
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Polymarket UMA alert: are user funds safe after $520K loss?
Polymarket’s UMA CTF Adapter on Polygon was reportedly exploited for over $520K, with stolen funds partly sent to ChangeNOW, analysts say. дальше »
2026-5-23 12:37
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Polymarket targets approval in Japan as global scrutiny intensifies
Polymarket has reportedly appointed a Japanese representative as the prediction market platform moves toward securing approval to operate legally in the country by 2030. According to a Friday Bloomberg report citing people familiar with the matter, Polymarket sees Japan as… дальше »
2026-5-22 11:10
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Polymarket goes offline in India after government enforcement order
Polymarket has been blocked in India after authorities tightened enforcement against what they classify as illegal online money gaming platforms. According to an April 25 advisory issued by the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY), internet service providers and… дальше »
2026-5-22 10:07
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Kalshi denies prediction markets are gambling products
Prediction markets closed out Consensus Miami 2026 as the subject of a live debate on whether they are regulated financial derivatives or gambling products operating outside state law. Prediction markets closed out Consensus Miami 2026 on Thursday as the subject… дальше »
2026-5-8 01:35
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Prediction markets enter institutional era after first Kalshi block trade
Bernstein says prediction markets are drawing institutions after Kalshi’s first block trade, with custom contracts and retail volume rising. дальше »
2026-5-5 08:32
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Hyperliquid’s $6m HIP-4 debut sparks HYPE rally, what’s next?
Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 event contracts opened with $6.05m volume as HYPE held near $41.64, with traders watching $44 resistance for a break now дальше »
2026-5-4 12:35
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Coinbase urges CFTC to keep prediction markets under rules
Coinbase has urged U.S. derivatives regulators to keep prediction markets under existing rules, filing a formal response as legal pressure builds around event-based contracts. According to a letter submitted to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and addressed to Secretary Christopher… дальше »
2026-5-4 10:16
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CFTC prediction market rules spark industry debate
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has received more than 1,500 public responses on its proposed rule for prediction market event contracts. According to the CFTC, the comment period for its March proposal closed Thursday after drawing submissions from prediction… дальше »
2026-5-4 08:22
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Paris Weather Glitch Sparks $37K Win on Polymarket
Polymarket faces scrutiny after two traders won $37K on Paris weather bets tied to unusual temperature spikes at Charles de Gaulle Airport. дальше »
2026-4-23 12:00
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New York, Illinois ban state staff from prediction markets
New York and Illinois banned state employees from prediction markets, citing insider trading risks and ethics concerns. дальше »
2026-4-23 09:50
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New Kalshi safeguards catch three political insider trading cases
Kalshi suspended three political candidates after finding they bet on their own races, citing exchange rule breaches and fines after review. дальше »
2026-4-23 08:08
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