Prediction Market Volume Holds at $5.25B as Kalshi Nears 50% Market Share

Weekly notional volume across prediction market platforms dipped 1. 4% to $5. 25 billion for Feb. 16–22. Kalshi jumped 6. 7% to $2. 59 billion as Polymarket slid 3. 2% WoW to $1. 83 billion. дальше »

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На Polymarket оценили вероятность падения биткоина ниже $55 000 в 75%

Курс первой криптовалюты рухнет до $55 000, считает 75% пользователей платформы предсказаний Polymarket. Объем ставок на этот исход достиг $1,2 млн. Источник: Polymarket. Трейдеры также ставят на падение ниже $50 000 и $45 000 с вероятностью 62% и 47%. дальше »

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Polymarket odds of Bitcoin under $55K at 72% as BTC market cap dives

Bitcoin’s market cap dropped to $1.31 trillion, slipping to 15th globally as prices dipped below $65,000, fueling rising bearish bets on Polymarket. дальше »

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Нидерланды заблокировали доступ к платформе прогнозов Polymarket

Нидерланды ограничили доступ жителей страны к блокчейн-платформе прогнозов Polymarket. Нидерландское управление по азартным играм (Kansspelautoriteit, KSA) посчитало, что сервис работает как нелицензированная площадка азартных игр. дальше »

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Dutch authorities call on Polymarket arm to cease activities

The prediction market's Dutch arm, Adventure One, allegedly offered illegal bets, including on elections in the Netherlands.

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Dutch regulator orders Polymarket to halt operations or face €840,000 penalty

Dutch regulator orders Polymarket to halt operations, calling prediction markets unlicensed gambling and threatening 840,000 in penalties. The post Dutch regulator orders Polymarket to halt operations or face €840,000 penalty appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Polymarket acquires Dome to expand prediction market developer tools

Polymarket has acquired Dome, a Y Combinator backed startup building unified infrastructure for prediction markets, marking its first acquisition focused on developer tools. Both companies confirmed the deal in posts on X on Feb. дальше »

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Polymarket acquires prediction market API startup Dome

Polymarket has acquired Dome, a Y Combinator-backed startup that is building a unified API solution for developers to access and build across multiple prediction market platforms. The acquisition was confirmed by both companies in a Feb. 19 post on X,… дальше »

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Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin 4x by 2028, Offering Polymarket Bet

Tim Draper expects Bitcoin to skyrocket above $268,000 less than two years from now. дальше »

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Polymarket Opens the Pipes: Public APIs and Permissionless Liquidity Mark a Structural Shift

Polymarket has rolled out two features that could change how prediction markets are built and traded. It launched public US APIs with production-ready SDKs, and permissionless liquidity rewards that allow anyone to sponsor depth on any market. дальше »

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Polymarket Opens the Pipes: Public APIs and Permissionless Liquidity Mark Structural Shift

Polymarket US is rolling out public APIs and permissionless liquidity rewards to encourage deeper liquidity, tighter spreads, and more institutional participation. But there are tradeoffs. The post Polymarket Opens the Pipes: Public APIs and Permissionless Liquidity Mark Structural Shift appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Bitcoin price outlook as CLARITY Act approval odds hit 90%

Bitcoin traded near $67,000 on Thursday, steadying after a session that coincided with sharp swings in prediction market odds for the CLARITY Act. On Polymarket, approval odds for the CLARITY Act briefly surged to 90% earlier in the day before… дальше »

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US CLARITY Act to pass ‘hopefully by April’: Senator Bernie Moreno

Odds of the US CLARITY Act passing in 2026 briefly spiked to 90% on Polymarket amid optimistic comments from US Senator Bernie Moreno. дальше »

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Monthly Active Addresses Hit 679,000 ATH on Polymarket as Prediction Markets Face Increased Regulatory Scrutiny

Data shows that monthly active addresses on Polymarket climbed to a new ATH, a major contributor to the increase in its monthly trading volume. дальше »

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Prediction Markets Cool to $5.3B After Super Bowl Surge as 6-Month Growth Hits 13x

Weekly volume fell 14. 8% to $5. 3B after Super Bowl Sunday’s $1. 34B spike, yet industry volume has grown 13x in six months. Kalshi continues to lead in sports, Polymarket dominates non-sports as the industry resets. дальше »

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Digital gold or tech stock? Bitcoin’s identity crisis deepens

Bitcoin’s growing correlation with tech stocks challenges its digital gold narrative, as Ether treasuries, BlackRock and Polymarket make bold moves. дальше »

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CFTC taps Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel for New Innovation Panel

CFTC Chair Selig taps 35 crypto, finance, and prediction market leaders for advisory committee. Coinbase, Robinhood, Nasdaq, CME Group, Uniswap, and Solana also among those named. The post CFTC taps Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel for New Innovation Panel appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Two Alleged Polymarket Insiders Arrested by Israeli Authorities

Israeli Traders Arrested for Polymarket Military Bets

The post Two Alleged Polymarket Insiders Arrested by Israeli Authorities appeared first on Coinspeaker.

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MLB Eyes Prediction Market Partnerships as Integrity Takes Center Stage

MLB is changing its tune toward prediction markets and data-sharing deals for integrity monitoring would be central to any possible partnership with Kalshi or Polymarket. The post MLB Eyes Prediction Market Partnerships as Integrity Takes Center Stage appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Israel arrests two over Polymarket trades on military operations

Israeli authorities said a military reservist and a civilian were arrested after allegedly using classified information to place bets related to military strikes on Iran. дальше »

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Военный резервист использовал знакомства в армии для ставок на Polymarket

Резервиста израильской армии и израильтянина из числа гражданских обвинили в использовании секретной военной информации для ставок на блокчейн-платформе Polymarket. дальше »

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Israel indicts IDF reservist for using classified military data on Polymarket

Israeli authorities have indicted an Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reservist and a civilian for allegedly using classified military information to place wagers on the decentralized prediction market Polymarket. дальше »

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Polymarket and Kaito Roll Out Attention Markets for ‘Mindshare’ Trading: What It Means

Can you trade attention? Polymarket thinks so. Two new markets resolve based on Kaito AI's sentiment scores, raising immediate questions about who controls the data and integrity. The post Polymarket and Kaito Roll Out Attention Markets for ‘Mindshare’ Trading: What It Means appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Polymarket Traders Assign 78% Odds to Arrest in Nancy Guthrie Case as New Clues Emerge

A Bitcoin (BTC) wallet referenced in the ransom note sent to media outlets after Nancy Guthrie’s disappearance has shown activity for the first time. As new details continue to emerge, attention surrounding the case has expanded beyond law enforcement efforts. дальше »

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Kalshi Loses in Massachusetts, Polymarket Sues — Will the CFTC Intervene?

Kalshi must geofence Massachusetts within 30 days; Polymarket sued to avoid the same fate. A legal expert explains why this won't be resolved anytime soon. The post Kalshi Loses in Massachusetts, Polymarket Sues — Will the CFTC Intervene? appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Logan Paul’s $1m bogus ‘bet’: Crypto sleuths call out Super Bowl stunt

Polymarket shared a clip of Logan Paul “checking Polymarket at the Big Game,” but observers quickly noticed that the YouTube star's account had no funds. дальше »

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China Bitcoin legalization is priced at 5% but Beijing’s February 2026 Ban 2.0 made one detail brutal

Polymarket traders are pricing the prospect of China legalizing onshore Bitcoin purchases at roughly 5%. At first glance, the number appears dismissive. Still, it raises the question of whether the Chinese government will explicitly permit citizens to convert renminbi into Bitcoin within mainland China by the end of 2026. дальше »

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Equity for Liquidity: Jump Trading Set to Take Stakes in Kalshi and Polymarket

Liquidity partnerships and margin trading push signal prediction markets’ shift toward mainstream financial market structures. The post Equity for Liquidity: Jump Trading Set to Take Stakes in Kalshi and Polymarket appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Polymarket And Kaito AI Launch Attention Markets

Polymarket has announced a new partnership with Kaito AI to launch Attention Markets, a new class of prediction markets designed to measure and trade on public mindshare and sentiment across the internet. дальше »

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Polymarket и Kaito AI анонсировали «рынки внимания»

Платформа предсказаний Polymarket заключила партнерство с аналитическим сервисом Kaito AI. Компании запустят «рынки внимания», позволяющие делать ставки на тренды в соцсетях, пишет Forbes. дальше »

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Polymarket Sues Massachusetts Over Sports Prediction Ban

Polymarket Sues Massachusetts Over Sports Prediction Ban

The post Polymarket Sues Massachusetts Over Sports Prediction Ban appeared first on Coinspeaker.

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Polymarket sues Massachusetts to block state action on prediction markets

Polymarket has moved to head off state-level restrictions by filing a federal lawsuit against Massachusetts officials, arguing that its prediction markets fall under national oversight rather than local gambling laws. дальше »

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Polymarket files lawsuit against Massachusetts over prediction market regulations

Polymarket has taken legal action against Massachusetts officials, seeking to block the state from restricting its prediction markets. The move comes as U.S. regulators and courts step up scrutiny of platforms that allow users to trade on real-world events, especially… дальше »

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Polymarket sues Massachusetts, claims states can’t regulate prediction markets

Polymarket is challenging Massachusetts in federal court, arguing that states lack the authority to regulate CFTC-approved prediction markets. дальше »

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Kch123 Trader Earns $11 Million Profit on Polymarket Bets. What Did He Know Beforehand or Insider Trading?

The analyst identified a trader who recently earned over $11 million in profit on Polymarket, pointing out the huge profit capability from prediction markets. дальше »

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Jump Trading eyes Kalshi, Polymarket stakes as institutional interest grows: Report

Wall Street–style liquidity is reportedly moving into prediction markets, signaling a shift toward deeper markets, higher volumes and greater institutional participation. дальше »

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Super Bowl Fuels Kalshi to Record $2.8B Week as Prediction Markets Hold Near $6.3B

Kalshi hit a record $2. 80B week with the Super Bowl surge as Polymarket slipped to $1. 92B; Weekly transactions jumped 21. 8% WoW to 34. 6 million. The post Super Bowl Fuels Kalshi to Record $2. дальше »

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Jump Trading to acquire stakes in Kalshi and Polymarket

Jump Trading's stake acquisitions in prediction markets may accelerate the integration of traditional finance with blockchain-based platforms. The post Jump Trading to acquire stakes in Kalshi and Polymarket appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Trump crypto move? Polymarket sees 27% chance of new ‘token’ by year-end

Trump crypto move sparks speculation a new coin as Polymarket prices 27% odds and ethics alarms grow. Donald Trump’s orbit is edging closer to launching another crypto token, and prediction markets are already placing odds on it. Polymarket odds and… дальше »

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Kalshi Super Bowl Odds: Bad Bunny, Seahawks, MVP and Halftime Right Now

Prediction markets have taken in over $1 billion in Super Bowl volume, with more than $230 million trading on the Kalshi game-winner contract alone. With kickoff at Levi’s Stadium in two hours, we’ve put together a snapshot of our tracked Super Bowl odds markets on Kalshi and Polymarket. дальше »

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Circle Partners With Polymarket to Bring Native USDC Settlement

The partnership anchors Polymarket’s collateral to a fully reserved, regulated stablecoin. The post Circle Partners With Polymarket to Bring Native USDC Settlement appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Прогнозы по биткоину на Polymarket резко ухудшились

Биткоин в четверг утром на азиатской сессии ненадолго опускался ниже $72 000 — такой отметки не было почти 16 месяцев. Пока распродажа усиливается, трейдеры на Polymarket пересматривают прогнозы: данные показывают мрачную перспективу в ближайшие недели, несмотря на сохраняющийся оптимизм по долгосрочным курсам. дальше »

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Circle Partners Polymarket to Integrate Native USDC, Eliminating Bridge Risk

Circle and Polymarket announced native USDC integration for the prediction market platform, removing bridging dependencies and settlement friction. The post Circle Partners Polymarket to Integrate Native USDC, Eliminating Bridge Risk appeared first on Coinspeaker. дальше »

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Circle partners with Polymarket to enhance prediction market settlement

This partnership signifies a pivotal shift towards more robust, scalable, and institution-friendly onchain financial markets. The post Circle partners with Polymarket to enhance prediction market settlement appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Circle Partners With Polymarket To Power The Next Generation Of Onchain Prediction Markets

Circle has entered a strategic partnership with Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, in a move that strengthens the infrastructure behind onchain financial markets and signals growing confidence in regulated stablecoins as core settlement tools. дальше »

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Opinion Raises $20M to Scale Onchain Prediction Market Settlement

Opinion blockchain based prediction exchange just raised $20M to help scale onchain settlement infrastructure as the platform rivals Kalshi and Polymarket in weekly notional volume. The post Opinion Raises $20M to Scale Onchain Prediction Market Settlement appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Polymarket Prices In a $70K February for Bitcoin

Bitcoin briefly dipped below $72,000 on Thursday morning in early Asian trading hours, hitting its lowest level in nearly 16 months. As the selloff deepens, prediction market traders on Polymarket are rapidly repricing their expectations — and the data paints a sobering picture for the short term, even as longer-term optimism persists. дальше »

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Yahoo Finance Embeds Polymarket Hub Fueling 18% Weekly Surge

Yahoo! Finance now has Polymarket prediction markets embedded into its platform, extending the platform's visibility to 150 million monthly users. The post Yahoo Finance Embeds Polymarket Hub Fueling 18% Weekly Surge appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Prediction Markets Fight Back With Free Groceries as New York Regulators Close In

Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket mount dueling PR offensives with grocery giveaways in New York City as NY regulatory pressure intensifies. The post Prediction Markets Fight Back With Free Groceries as New York Regulators Close In appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Платформы Polymarket и Kalshi раздают бесплатные продукты в борьбе за пользователей

Две ведущие криптовалютные платформы для прогнозирования событий, Polymarket и Kalshi, развернули настоящую битву за доминирование в растущей отрасли, используя неожиданное оружие — бесплатные продукты. дальше »

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