What Are On-Chain Cycle Indicators Telling Us About The Bitcoin Market?

2022-2-18 06:30

Looking at current bitcoin market values over historical percentiles to show when the market is bottomed, topped or neutral.

The below is from a recent edition of the Deep Dive, Bitcoin Magazine's premium markets newsletter. To be among the first to receive these insights and other on-chain bitcoin market analysis straight to your inbox, subscribe now.

In today’s Daily Dive, we will cover some of the key on-chain cycle indicators and what they tell us about where we are at in the market. All of the indicators today leverage a percentile analysis, looking at current values over historical percentiles, to show when indicators suggest when the market is bottomed, topped, neutral or in between.

Across the approximately 20 on-chain cycle indicators we track, on-chain shows a neutral to bullish market setup. Yet, we know that on-chain, macro and derivatives all play a role in bitcoin’s growth trajectory, especially with high bitcoin risk-on equities correlations right now.

The Market Value To Realized Value Ratio (MVRV) is a metric we cover extensively as it incorporates the current state of price relative to bitcoin’s on-chain cost basis or “fair value.” The MVRV Z-Score incorporates the standard deviation of market cap to produce a more quality signal.

At the previous 2021 bitcoin highs, we didn’t see the cycle blow-off tops play out like previous cycles. But with less upside, also likely brings less extended downside. Currently, bitcoin’s MVRV Z-Score points to a neutral market state after the price has rallied from the $30,000 range multiple times. Another move down to an “over-cooled” dark green state, where the value is below its 15th percentile, looks unlikely barring a black swan sell-off type event.

The bitcoin price, weighted by MVRV Z-score The bitcoin price as an MVRV Z-score percentile

A cumulative view of 90-Day Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) is another key indicator that helps show the activity of long-term holders. Although we saw a rise in coin days destroyed during the May 2021 top, we didn’t see much spending activity at all during the November 2021 top. The last few months have seen little movement in older coins moving, suggesting that most “smart money” holders are sitting tight right now.

Similar to Notcoin - Blum - Airdrops In 2024

origin »

Market.space (MASP) на Currencies.ru

$ 0 (+0.00%)
Объем 24H $0
Изменеия 24h: 0.00 %, 7d: 0.00 %
Cегодня L: $0 - H: $0
Капитализация $0 Rank 99999
Доступно / Всего 0 MASP

market bitcoin historical percentiles show when neutral

Источник: bitcoinmagazine.com

market bitcoin → Результатов: 126


BlockDAG Leads with $150M Presale as Crypto Market Tops $3.1T, Bitcoin ETFs and Ethereum Price Grow

The cryptocurrency market has soared, reaching a new pinnacle with a total market capitalization of $3. 13 trillion, establishing the sector as a formidable economic force. This surge reflects in the growing appeal of Bitcoin ETFs, which have seen unprecedented inflows, while Ethereum (ETH) sets its sights on managing $10 billion in assets.

2024-11-25 04:00


Bitcoin’s Big Week: Election, FOMC Meeting, And Strong Signs Of A Bull Market

As the market faces one of its most volatile weeks—amid the U.S. election and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting—Bitcoin appears primed for a lasting rally. Historically, major bull runs have followed post-election periods, and analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin’s potential, forecasting it could hit $100,000 by year’s end, […]

2024-11-5 08:22


Bitcoin’s (BTC) Bullish Patterns Emerge: Is a Market Super Cycle on the Horizon? Pay Attention to These Metrics

Bitcoin’s trading pattern lately reveals a consistent sideways movement, with fluctuations between $60,000 and $72,000. This trend, as highlighted by top cryptocurrency analyst Doctor Profit via a tweet on X, mirrors historical market behaviors that have typically preceded significant price increases.

2024-4-29 09:30


Ethena’s (ENA) Crucial Role In Bitcoin Bull Market: Expert Identifies Critical Factors For Sustainable Growth

The recent volatility in the Bitcoin (BTC) price and its struggle to consolidate above the $70,000 mark has raised questions about the sustainability of its ongoing bull run. However, market expert Charles Edwards, co-founder of Capriole Invest, believes that the decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Ethena Labs (ENA) could significantly extend and boost Bitcoin’s bull market to new heights.

2024-4-10 03:00


Фото:

Option2Trade Remain Market Favorites With Ether As Bitcoin Reaches All-Time Highs

As Bitcoin (BTC) reaches all-time highs, setting the stage for further market growth, Ethereum (ETH) and Option2Trade (O2T) continue to shine as market favourites. Their sustained popularity amidst Bitcoin’s (BTC) milestone achievements highlights the multifaceted nature of the cryptocurrency market, where diversity, innovation, and community involvement are just as crucial for success. Ethereum’s (ETH) role […]

2024-3-13 19:33


дальше еще 77 новостей →

Партнеры Currencies.ru

Аналог Notcoin - Blum - Играй и зарабатывай Монеты



Реклама на Currencies.ru

Самое свежее на Currencies.ru