Technological breakthroughs may be keeping the bitcoin and crypto ecosystem alive. But the price is still the most important factor driving retail and institutional investor interest in the space. And when it comes to price, ‘future price forecasts’ always make the headlines. There were quite some ‘bitcoin price predictions by 2019 end’ made by influencers. But how many of them actually made sense?
Investors in a tradeable asset always want to know the direction of the market, where the asset’s headed w.r.t valuation. Here’s where some folks produce FOMO driving hopium induced wild future price calls to give the impression that ‘it’s now or never’.
Blockchain and crypto research, and data analysis firm Longhash, recently published a compilation of all bitcoin price calls made for 2019 end/2020 beginning. Amidst all BTC price forecasts, some were realistic deviating only a bit from the actual market conditions. Most were simply over-optimistic predictions intended to drive mass buying hysteria.
Bitcoin Price Predictions Sorted According to “Wrongness”
In an elaborate chart, Longhash sorted all ‘prominent bitcoin price calls’ w.r.t the degree by which they were off from the current BTC value of around $7000. As a matter of fact, all calculations were made considering a bitcoin price of $7050.
According to the ‘Wrongness Rating’:
predictions off by under 2x are “slightly wrong,” predictions off by 2x-3x are “moderately wrong,” predictions off by 3x-10x are “very wrong,” and predictions off by more than 10x (or predictions of a $0 price) are “extremely wrong.”
Range-based bitcoin price predictions were marked in blue. The closest call to the $7050 figure amongst them was listed on the table. As we can see predictions of Samuel Leach, George Ermakov, the Wheatley Model, Radoslav Albrecht, Joel Kruger, David Thomas somewhat resembled the price BTC is holding currently.
What’s the Inference?
As previously reported by Bitcoinist, there is a very fundamental reason why bitcoin prices are growing ‘at a snail’s pace’ (by industry standards). The bitcoin market although it sees decent trading volumes is not attracting enough capital to propel BTC prices higher. Also, bitcoin’s value can only shoot up only with significant buying activity which in turn justifies the point mentioned before.
There is nothing wrong with predicting the market’s next direction but all calls must be made keeping the ground reality in mind. Bitcoin price operates in a trajectory that is laced with high to low returns. Only then over a period of time, the asset has garnered such valuations since its inception in 2009. So all bitcoin price predictions must be made keeping the ‘diminishing returns’ factor in mind, which was well illustrated in Harold Christopher Burger’s latest study.
Bitcoin predictions made by both humans and mathematical models can be wrong, especially in shorter timeframes. Since it is a decentralized asset, but still owned in huge numbers by a few wealthy folks, it is subjective to sporadic price movements.
A compelling argument was shared by Longhash in its research:
people who predict Bitcoin’s price tend to err on the high side. That may just be due to the fact that 2019 was a relatively disappointing year for Bitcoin, or the fact that the people who get asked about Bitcoin prices tend to be Bitcoin enthusiasts. But it’s worth pointing out that the science suggests most people — about 80%, according to this paper — display “optimism bias,” a tendency to make overly positive and ultimately inaccurate predictions about the future.
Optimism is good but should be practiced with caution in investments pertaining to volatile assets like bitcoin. That is a lesson which Wall Street investment firm learned well when it decided to completely give up predicting bitcoin prices considering it utterly pointless due to ‘the inherent volatility in crypto’.
Do you think bitcoin price predictions make sense? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
Images via Shutterstock, Longhash The post appeared first on Bitcoinist.com. origin »
Bitcoin has wiped out recent gains with a 10% dump in the past 24 hours; the same as Ethereum price. This happens as the US began its tariffs program against Canada and Mexico, with the investor reaction to the trade war telling as risk assets plummeted.
Bitcoin’s price is going up, getting closer to the $90,000 mark and trading around $85,000 now. It started gaining steam after dropping to $78,000 over the past week, which has made people in the market more hopeful.
Bitcoin’s price dropped to $86,000 on Feb. 27 after struggling to maintain support at $88,000 for the past two days. The sudden price drop caused a swift and aggressive reaction across the market, with everyone from institutions to derivatives traders suffering losses.
Bitcoin is facing significant downward pressure with its price falling below $90,000 for the first time since November 2024, as whale addresses decline and technical indicators signal bearish momentum.
Bitcoin’s price remains in a consolidation phase, with technical indicators showing indecision. Traders watch key levels to gauge the next move.
The post Bitcoin (BTC) Price Consolidates Below $100,000 as Whales Await Clear Direction appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Bitcoin’s price remained in a tight range on Monday, continuing a trend that has persisted since November. Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $96,500, where it has hovered for the past few days. The price is about 12% below its highest…
The crypto market has been experiencing significant volatility, with the Bitcoin price leading the charge. Over the past month, BTC has been trading sideways, recording declines that have pushed its value below the $100,000 mark.
The latest Consumer Price Index data is creating both opportunities and risks for Bitcoin investors. January 2025’s inflation figures have exceeded expectations, potentially setting the stage for significant Bitcoin price movements in either direction.
The Bitcoin price appears to have settled within the $92,000 – $102,000 consolidation range, sparking discussions about the coin’s future trajectory. While it remains unclear whether the premier cryptocurrency has enough momentum to forge new all-time highs soon, it would take significant bearish pressure to pull down the BTC price.
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) suffered a significant loss on Friday as prices dipped below $102,000 marking the end of a rather turbulent trading week. As the global financial markets weathered major losses, Bitcoin made no new price discovery, casting more speculations over the bull market.
Bitcoin price prediction witnessed a sharp price drop following bearish expectations in the U.S. equities market.
The drop below the mid-range support could spur a deeper BTC correction to $92kThe post Bitcoin price prediction bearish ahead of Fed meeting - BTC dives 6% appeared first on AMBCrypto.
Although Bitcoin price action is still holding above the $100,000 price level, the past 24 hours have been highlighted by a 2. 5% decline. According to liquidation data from Coinglass, this decline has seen $65.
Bitcoin (BTC), the flagship crypto asset, presently trades above $104,000 following a significant 10. 98% price rally in the last week. Despite recent sideways movements after a rejection in the $105,700 zone, certain trading indicators signal this uptrend is likely to continue leading to new price discovery.
Bitcoin price resumed its bullish trend and neared its all-time high of $108,200 ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration and after the encouraging U.S. inflation data.
The Bitcoin price has spent the majority of the past seven days consolidating around the $94,000 mark with signs of a break to either side. According to a crypto analyst, Bitcoin’s recent price movements have led to the creation of liquidity blocks observed between the $86,000 to $104,000 range, which raises an equal likelihood of a bounce towards $104,000 or a downside break to $86,000 from the current price.
Bitcoin tested the $92,000 level yesterday after falling from a weekly high of $102,000 as sell pressures mounted Macroeconomic factors cause doubts about the market strength as sticky inflation becomes a concern Spot crypto ETFs logged large outflows on Wednesday following the release of the Fed meeting notes Bitcoin’s price has fallen from a high […]
The post Bitcoin price analysis: economic headwinds push price lower appeared first on CoinJournal.
The Bitcoin price has struggled to reclaim previous price highs above $100,000, with bearish sentiment dominating the market. Currently, the Bitcoin price is retesting the support line of an Ascending Channel after crashing below $95,000.
The US Federal Reserve’s public consideration of reduced interest rate cuts in 2025 resulted in numerous negative effects on financial markets. Aside from a 17% price loss for Bitcoin, data from Binance exchange shows the BTC market has now developed its largest spot-perpetual price gap.
This week was one of two distinct halves for the price of Bitcoin, with the premier cryptocurrency rising to a new all-time high and dropping by about 13% a few days later. On Friday, December 20, the BTC price dropped to as low as $92,000.
The price of Bitcoin fell to around $92,000, Friday afternoon, December 20 after the US Federal Reserve’s rate cut triggered a sharp selloff in the crypto market. However, the premier cryptocurrency seems to be recovering nicely, having returned above the $97,000 level on the same day.
After crossing an all-time high, the bitcoin price continues to capture the market by consistently proving and solidifying its role as the leading cryptocurrency. However, with its recent price slowdown, top emerging altcoins like PropiChain are brazing up for the market.
Bitcoin‘s scarcity is growing remarkably in the market as small and large-scale investors continue to accumulate a substantial portion of the available coins, which could bolster BTC’s value in light of recent upside price momentum, signaling a potential extension of the uptrend.
The crypto market shed 6. 48% (roughly $240 billion) yesterday as Bitcoin’s fall from $101,000 to a daily low of $93,000 sparked $750 million in liquidations. Major cryptos have begun to recover, with some alts already logging double-digit price increases.
So far, the Bitcoin market continues to demonstrate resilience as it maintains its price above the $90,000 price market despite various factors influencing its price movements. Amid this, a CryptoQuant analyst, aytekin466, recently shared insights into whether the cryptocurrency could face another significant price correction.
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has dipped by 1. 66% in the last day after failing to break past $102,000 on Friday. Currently, the crypto market leader seems to be in consolidation, with little indication of its next price movement.
Bitcoin has been navigating a whirlwind of volatility recently, with its price repeatedly breaking and losing the highly anticipated $100,000 level—not once, but twice. This rollercoaster movement has captivated investors, making Bitcoin’s price action more intriguing than ever.
Bitcoin price has performed well this week, crossing the important milestone of $100,000 and peaking at $104,000. Bitcoin (BTC) surge occured as data indicated continued investor appetite for the digital currency, even at a six-digit price. Notably, data from SoSoValue…
The Bitcoin price has continually tested resistance levels above $95,000 in its pursuit to reach and surpass the anticipated $100,000 all-time high. Following its surge to $98,000, a crypto analyst has asserted that the BTC price has officially entered the parabolic phase of this four-year market cycle.
Bitcoin‘s recent upward momentum appears to be losing steam as the digital asset has shifted toward bearish territory, sparking speculations about upcoming price corrections. However, considering several factors and trends, these much-anticipated price pullbacks for BTC might be short-lived.
Bitcoin price is consolidating below the $100,000 resistance. BTC bulls might soon attempt to breach the stated milestone and push the price further higher. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $96,500 zone.
Bitcoin’s surge lately has brought its price to a new high of $97,584, according to an analysis of price chart shared by Patric H. (@CryptelligenceX) and data from Santiment. Besides, this breakout marks a continuation of bullish momentum, aligning with a fractal pattern observed in Q1 2024.
Bitcoin Puell Multiple nears breakout, indicating a potential 90% price rally, based on mining profitability and historical trends.
The post Bitcoin’s Puell Multiple hints at a potential 90% price rally appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Ripple CTO has addressed the stagnant XRP price action despite Bitcoin price hitting new ATH while this article also discusses ETFSwap’s (ETFS) potential.
Bitcoin Cash price rallied alongside Bitcoin (BTC) in recent weeks, rising from lows of $321 earlier this month to hit $488 across exchanges. The level is the highest for BCH price since early June, when the altcoin fell below $500.
In his latest video update, long-time market analyst and self-described “four-year cycle” trader Bob Loukas delivered a breakdown of Bitcoin’s current trajectory. Despite a roughly 22% pullback from its recent all-time high, Loukas asserts that the leading cryptocurrency’s price action remains “nothing we have not seen before.
In a thread on X, Alistair Milne, the co-founder and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of the Altana Digital Currency Fund (ADCF), has outlined his Bitcoin predictions for 2025. With a tenure at ADCF dating back to 2014, Milne’s insights carry significant weight in the investment community.
The recent rejection at the $100,000 has prompted a wave of warnings from leading financial analysts, who caution that Bitcoin could be poised for a significant pullback toward the $70,000 region or, in some cases, even $60,000.
Almost four years ago to the day, Bitcoin experienced a dramatic 17% plunge from $19,500 to $16,200 in 2020, an event that became infamously known as the “Thanksgiving Day Massacre. ” As the holiday approaches once again, market participants are questioning whether history might repeat itself.
Bernstein Research, the esteemed research arm of global asset manager AllianceBernstein, is projecting that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. The firm, which manages assets worth $791 billion as of August 2024, labels this prediction as “conservative” in its latest 160-page “Black Book” on Bitcoin.
Sina—a professor, consultant, and co-founder & COO of 21stCapital. com—is projecting that the Bitcoin price could rise as high as $285,000 by the end of 2025 in a new analysis shared on X. Utilizing a quantile regression model, Sina identifies distinct phases in Bitcoin’s market cycle.
As Bitcoin (BTC) edges closer to the $70,000 mark, the crypto community is abuzz with predictions of a potential surge to $100,000, accompanied by a significant altcoin season. Amidst this fervor, crypto analyst Axel Bitblaze has provided an analysis on X, examining whether the necessary liquidity and catalysts are in place to propel Bitcoin to such heights.
