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prediction markets / Заголовки новостей

Iran boosts defenses as US troop deployment raises odds for ground operations

Rising tensions and military posturing could destabilize the region, impacting global markets and geopolitical alliances significantly. The post Iran boosts defenses as US troop deployment raises odds for ground operations appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 12:20

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Prediction Market Clash: CFTC Sues Three States To Claim Exclusive Control

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has escalated a jurisdictional clash with state governments by filing lawsuits against three states in a bid to assert exclusive federal authority over prediction markets. дальше »

2026-4-3 11:00

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Bitfinex backs El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, eyes on $100K by June 30: FT

Bitfinex's support for El Salvador's Bitcoin adoption highlights the need for broader institutional backing and regulatory clarity to drive market impact. The post Bitfinex backs El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, eyes on $100K by June 30: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 10:39

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US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid airstrikes and threats: 2% for April 7

Escalating tensions and market volatility highlight the fragile geopolitical landscape, complicating diplomatic efforts and economic stability. The post US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid airstrikes and threats: 2% for April 7 appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 09:47

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Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid US-Israel airstrikes and Iran threats: FT

Rising tensions and market skepticism highlight the potential for prolonged instability and the need for urgent diplomatic interventions. The post Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid US-Israel airstrikes and Iran threats: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 09:46

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US informs Israel of deadlocked Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds plummet

Stalled US-Iran talks heighten geopolitical tensions, diminishing hopes for a ceasefire and increasing the likelihood of military escalation. The post US informs Israel of deadlocked Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds plummet appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 08:02

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Ceasefire odds drop to 1.8% as Iran continues missile attacks on Israel

The prolonged conflict and low ceasefire odds suggest escalating regional instability and potential for broader geopolitical tensions. The post Ceasefire odds drop to 1.8% as Iran continues missile attacks on Israel appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 07:07

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Ceasefire odds plummet amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and military escalation: FT

The escalating US-Iran tensions and military actions suggest prolonged instability, impacting global markets and diplomatic relations. The post Ceasefire odds plummet amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and military escalation: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 07:07

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Trump weighs sending US special forces to Iran as April 30 odds rise to 66%

Potential US ground operations in Iran could escalate conflict dynamics, impacting geopolitical stability and market speculation significantly. The post Trump weighs sending US special forces to Iran as April 30 odds rise to 66% appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 06:47

91 +

Trump weighs sending US special forces to seize Iran’s uranium stockpiles

Potential US special forces deployment in Iran could escalate tensions, impacting global markets and diplomatic relations significantly. The post Trump weighs sending US special forces to seize Iran’s uranium stockpiles appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 06:47

90 +

Iran lists Gulf bridge targets after coalition strike, US ceasefire odds plummet

The escalation reduces diplomatic prospects, impacting market confidence and highlighting the need for strategic peace interventions. The post Iran lists Gulf bridge targets after coalition strike, US ceasefire odds plummet appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 05:46

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Iran reveals Gulf bridge targets as US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet to 2%

Increased tensions and military posturing could lead to further instability in the Gulf region, impacting global economic and security dynamics. The post Iran reveals Gulf bridge targets as US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet to 2% appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 05:46

84 +

US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 66% after Isfahan strike

Rising odds of U.S. forces entering Iran signal heightened geopolitical tensions and potential for increased military conflict in the region. The post US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 66% after Isfahan strike appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 05:39

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US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 65.5% amid military buildup

Increased military presence and market speculation suggest a potential shift in US-Iran relations, impacting geopolitical stability. The post US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 65. дальше »

2026-4-3 05:39

78 +

Explosions near Revolutionary Guard base raise odds of regime fall to 14% by June 30

The explosions highlight potential instability, but significant regime change remains speculative without further destabilizing events. The post Explosions near Revolutionary Guard base raise odds of regime fall to 14% by June 30 appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 04:07

90 +

Trump’s efforts to end Iran conflict see ceasefire odds drop to 23.5% by April 30

Market skepticism highlights challenges in achieving a US-Iran ceasefire, but potential diplomatic breakthroughs could emerge by late May. The post Trump’s efforts to end Iran conflict see ceasefire odds drop to 23. дальше »

2026-4-3 01:57

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Ceasefire odds drop to 2% as US-Iran tensions escalate

Escalating US-Iran tensions suggest prolonged conflict, diminishing hopes for immediate diplomatic solutions and impacting global stability. The post Ceasefire odds drop to 2% as US-Iran tensions escalate appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 01:51

78 +

US strike on Iranian bridge signals military escalation, ceasefire odds plummet

The military escalation diminishes diplomatic efforts, increasing uncertainty and reducing the likelihood of a near-term ceasefire. The post US strike on Iranian bridge signals military escalation, ceasefire odds plummet appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 01:50

80 +

7M Iranians volunteer to fight as US invasion odds rise to 65.5% by April 30

Rising tensions and volunteer mobilization in Iran could escalate regional instability, impacting global markets and geopolitical dynamics. The post 7M Iranians volunteer to fight as US invasion odds rise to 65. дальше »

2026-4-3 01:49

76 +

Iran claims downing of US jet, CENTCOM denies; tensions rise

Market volatility reflects heightened geopolitical risks, with traders anticipating potential military escalation despite official denials. The post Iran claims downing of US jet, CENTCOM denies; tensions rise appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 01:16

83 +

UN security council rejects force resolution; Iran to keep hormuz closed

The rejection of the resolution exacerbates geopolitical tensions, increasing the likelihood of military escalation and market volatility. The post UN security council rejects force resolution; Iran to keep hormuz closed appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 00:32

81 +

USS ford prepares to rejoin operations near Iran

The USS Ford's deployment signals potential regional instability, influencing market expectations of increased military engagement. The post USS ford prepares to rejoin operations near Iran appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 23:47

78 +

Iran warns ceasefire may aid US regrouping; USS ford returns to sea

Rising skepticism and distrust hinder diplomatic progress, complicating potential US-Iran peace efforts and impacting geopolitical stability. The post Iran warns ceasefire may aid US regrouping; USS ford returns to sea appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 23:43

79 +

Iran’s armed forces warn ceasefire could aid US regrouping

Iran's skepticism over ceasefire talks highlights geopolitical tensions, impacting market confidence and complicating diplomatic efforts. The post Iran’s armed forces warn ceasefire could aid US regrouping appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 23:43

78 +

Iran hints at reopening Strait of Hormuz, ceasefire odds drop

Iran's potential move could ease tensions, but skepticism persists, impacting market confidence and highlighting geopolitical uncertainties. The post Iran hints at reopening Strait of Hormuz, ceasefire odds drop appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 23:20

79 +

Iran threatens long-term strait closure as US plans tariffs

Iran's strategic escalation and US economic measures heighten geopolitical tensions, impacting global markets and ceasefire prospects. The post Iran threatens long-term strait closure as US plans tariffs appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 22:29

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Odds of US forces entering Iran by april 30 rise to 63% after trump’s speech

Increased odds of US forces entering Iran could escalate geopolitical tensions, impacting global markets and international relations. The post Odds of US forces entering Iran by april 30 rise to 63% after trump’s speech appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 22:09

22 +

Jordan calls for arab defense treaty activation amid US-Iran tensions

Jordan's call for activating the Arab defense treaty may escalate regional military alliances, complicating US-Iran peace efforts. The post Jordan calls for arab defense treaty activation amid US-Iran tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 21:59

10 +

Trump’s speech signals ongoing conflict, dims ceasefire chances

Trump's speech exacerbates geopolitical tensions, undermining short-term diplomatic efforts and impacting market confidence in conflict resolution. The post Trump’s speech signals ongoing conflict, dims ceasefire chances appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

2026-4-3 21:06

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CFTC Launches Innovation Task Force for Bitcoin, Crypto, AI, and Prediction Markets

Bitcoin Magazine CFTC Launches Innovation Task Force for Bitcoin, Crypto, AI, and Prediction Markets The CFTC has launched a new Task Force to develop clear regulatory frameworks for bitcoin and emerging technologies in U. дальше »

2026-3-25 19:06

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Фото:

Wall Street is desperate to copy crypto’s prediction markets as Cboe files for “Yes/No” options

Cboe wants to bring back all-or-nothing options, a contract that pays a fixed amount if a condition is met and pays zero if it isn't. While that might sound like a small product refresh, the timing makes it hard to ignore. дальше »

2026-2-16 22:30

328 +
Фото:

Wall Street tries to copy crypto’s prediction markets as Cboe files for “Yes/No” options

Cboe wants to bring back all-or-nothing options, a contract that pays a fixed amount if a condition is met and pays zero if it isn't. While that might sound like a small product refresh, the timing makes it hard to ignore. дальше »

2026-2-17 22:30

60 +

Tennessee Regulator Sends Cease-And-Desist Letters To Polymarket, Kalshi, Crypto.com — Details

Tennessee’s sports betting regulator has ordered Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto. com to cease offering sports betting contracts, bringing focus to the regulatory landscape of event contract exchanges. дальше »

2026-1-12 16:00

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Only Congress Can Ban Election Betting, Kalshi Tells Appeals Court in New Filing

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) may not like election betting, but only Congress — not the regulator — has the authority to ban it, embattled prediction market purveyor Kalshi argued in a Friday court filing. дальше »

2024-11-19 21:33

173 +

Polymarket Projects a GOP House, Clinching Trump Trifecta

If the prediction market's traders are right – and lately, they've been right – the election results are even more bullish for crypto than they appear. дальше »

2024-11-7 22:10

272 +

U.S. Election Betting: Polymarket 'Manipulation' Claims Miss the Mark

The manipulation narrative is an attempt by mainstream media to discredit Polymarket’s election odds and control the narrative, one expert said. дальше »

2024-11-5 23:00

175 +

Fortune Claims Polymarket Is 'Rife' With Wash Trading

As much as a third of the prediction market's volume is inflated by traders buying and selling the same shares repeatedly, Fortune reported, citing blockchain researchers. They could be doing it to farm a future airdropped token. дальше »

2024-11-1 20:08

158 +

Polymarket Is a Success for Polygon Blockchain – Everywhere But the Bottom Line

One of the major breakout successes this year for the team behind layer-2 blockchain Polygon is Polymarket. But according to data, Polymarket has only brought in about $27,000 of transaction fees for Polygon PoS in 2024. дальше »

2024-10-25 14:45

251 +

Activist Group Says Kalshi’s Election Market Should Be Shut Due to 'Manipulative' Whales

Better Markets is using Polymarket's "French connection" as ammo against the prediction market's regulated competitor. дальше »

2024-10-25 21:51

288 +

Trump Polymarket Odds Briefly Dip After His No. 2 Bull Adds Bet on Harris

The former president's probability of retaking the White House slid to 59% Wednesday before rebounding. дальше »

2024-10-24 22:46

252 +

No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation

If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them. дальше »

2024-10-22 21:10

248 +

Trump Leads Harris on Polymarket After Musk Endorsement, but Trails in This Key State

Elon Musk says that prediction markets are more accurate than polls. дальше »

2024-10-7 11:30

183 +

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi Preps Presidential Prediction Markets After Re-Launching Congressional Contracts

The CFTC "has failed to demonstrate that it or the public will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay pending appeal," an appeals court said, clearing the prediction market to resume listing the contracts. дальше »

2024-10-3 17:52

165 +

Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge

Investors in the proposed round would get warrants to buy tokens in the event the prediction market decides to issue one, The Information reported. дальше »

2024-9-24 02:15

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U.S. CFTC Chair Behnam Says Regulator Will Keep Pursuing Kalshi Case

After the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission's court defeat last week in the agency's pursuit of Kalshi's election contracts, the regulator's chairman, Rostin Behnam, said it will still keep pursuing the case against what it continues to contend is illegal activity. дальше »

2024-9-18 18:39

233 +

Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds

Nearly $1 billion has been bet on the crypto-based prediction market. Plus: are you ready for 20x leveraged election betting? дальше »

2024-9-16 18:30

143 +

'An Explosion of Election Gambling' Is Nigh, CFTC Warns Appeals Court

The regulator pleaded with the court to halt Kalshi's political prediction markets for the duration of the CFTC's appeal. дальше »

2024-9-16 05:10

128 +

Kalshi's New Political Prediction Markets Halted as CFTC Appeals Loss

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission appealed its loss against prediction markets platform Kalshi to the D.C. Appeals Court late Thursday. дальше »

2024-9-14 07:14

126 +

Kalshi Lists Long-Sought Election Contracts After Beating CFTC in Court

The agency plans to appeal the case brought by the trading platform, and could still ask the higher court to stop the firm from listing the contracts. дальше »

2024-9-14 19:12

112 +

U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown

Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters. дальше »

2024-9-14 15:00

188 +
12 дальше →

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