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Peltola Turns Alaska into Senate Battleground as Governor Race Drives Prediction Market Activity
Alaska is usually a footnote on the national map during election seasons, but in 2026 prediction markets are treating it like something closer to a marquee race. With Mary Peltola entering the Senate contest and both the Senate and governor’s races going live on Polymarket and Kalshi, traders are pouring money into a state most […] The post Peltola Turns Alaska into Senate Battleground as Governor Race Drives Prediction Market Activity appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-11 21:31 | |
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US Political News Today: The USPS Is Almost Out of Money and Could Shut Down Within 12 Months — Here Is What That Means
The USPS crisis reached Congress in mid-March when Postmaster General David Steiner testified before the House Oversight Subcommittee on Government Operations that the agency will run out of cash in less than 12 months at its current rate and may… дальше »
2026-4-10 01:15 | |
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XRP Beats Bitcoin and Ethereum in ETF Flows, Shiba Inu Burn Rate Jumps 3,230%, Saylor Debunks Claims That Adam Back is Satoshi — U.Today Crypto Digest
Crypto news digest: XRP beats BTC, ETH, SOL and DOGE in 24-hour ETF flows; SHIB burn rate rockets 3,230%; Michael Saylor debunks Adam Back as Satoshi Nakamoto. дальше »
2026-4-10 00:35 | |
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Anthropic Revenue Just Hit a $30 Billion Run Rate and That Is a 3x Jump From Just Four Months Ago
Anthropic revenue surpassed $30 billion on an annualized basis as of early April 2026, the company disclosed alongside a major new compute deal with Google and Broadcom, marking a more than threefold increase from the approximately $9 billion run rate… дальше »
2026-4-10 00:35 | |
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Wall Street opens lower as Dow drops over 200 points
US stocks opened lower as the dow, s&p 500 and nasdaq slipped, reflecting cautious sentiment amid rate worries and upcoming economic data. U.S. stocks opened lower on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 211.74 points, or 0.44%, to… дальше »
2026-4-9 16:56 | |
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Fed divided on rate cuts as Middle East tensions add to policy uncertainty
Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting showed a divided view among policymakers on whether tensions in the Middle East could push the central bank toward rate cuts before the end of 2026. The US Federal Reserve released details… дальше »
2026-4-9 11:11 | |
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Clarity Act Odds Jump 15% as White House Backs Crypto in Yield Debate
Odds of Clarity Act legislation passing this year jumped around 15% following a new White House report that puts a major dent in banks' arguments against allowing stablecoin yield. The post Clarity Act Odds Jump 15% as White House Backs Crypto in Yield Debate appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-9 08:44 | |
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Lawmakers Urge CFTC Crackdown on Offshore Prediction Markets
In letter to CFTC, Democratic members of Congress cite CEA authority to target offshore platforms like Polymarket, as enforcement precedent and U.S. access shape the case for action. The post Lawmakers Urge CFTC Crackdown on Offshore Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-9 23:03 | |
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Traders Predicted Bondi Exit, Now Pricing Next Cabinet Shakeups
Prediction markets are now pricing the next Trump Cabinet exits and new Attorney General after Kalshi and Polymarket traders accurately predicted the Bondi exit. The post Traders Predicted Bondi Exit, Now Pricing Next Cabinet Shakeups appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-8 22:15 | |
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Fox to Integrate Kalshi Forecasts Across Platforms, Excluding Politics
Kalshi data will appear in branded graphics across Fox News Media platforms as part of a sponsored integration, following similar deals with CNN and CNBC. The post Fox to Integrate Kalshi Forecasts Across Platforms, Excluding Politics appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-8 19:07 | |
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Georgia House Runoff Markets Signal GOP Lock, Focus Shifts to Margin
Georgia voters head to the polls in the GA-14 runoff to elect Marjorie Taylor Greene's replacement. Prediction markets price a GOP lock, with the real question now shifting to margin. The post Georgia House Runoff Markets Signal GOP Lock, Focus Shifts to Margin appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-7 17:08 | |
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Kalshi Wins Key Preemption Ruling in New Jersey, Sets Up Supreme Court Path
The US Third Circuit Court of Appeals has delivered a substantial win to online prediction market exchange Kalshi in its dispute with the state of New Jersey. The decision from a three-member panel of judges with the Third Circuit states that the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (NJDGE) cannot enforce its cease-and-desist order against […] The post Kalshi Wins Key Preemption Ruling in New Jersey, Sets Up Supreme Court Path appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-7 19:51 | |
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Kalshi Extends Volume Lead to Nearly $1B on Polymarket Crypto Dip
Both platforms hit March records, then diverged: Kalshi rose 6.4% in the week of March 30 while Polymarket fell 12%, widening Kalshi's notional volume lead to $932M. The post Kalshi Extends Volume Lead to Nearly $1B on Polymarket Crypto Dip appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-7 18:20 | |
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Can markets trust the jobs report? Another revision risk hangs over Bitcoin’s macro test
At 8:30 on a Friday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics dropped one of the more surprising jobs reports of the past year. The US economy added 178,000 jobs in March, and the unemployment rate ticked down to 4. дальше »
2026-4-7 13:30 | |
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The Oil Signal That Preceded Major Market Crashes Since 1987 Is Flashing Again
A key oil market metric that has preceded major market collapses since 1987 is closing in on its danger zone. The crude’s 12-month rate of change (ROC) is now sitting at 91%. Analysts suggest that each time this metric breached 100%, a market crash followed. дальше »
2026-4-6 08:15 | |
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Best Crypto to Invest in: 200 Companies Now Hold Bitcoin and Institutional Buying Runs 2.8x the Mining Rate, Pepeto Targets What LINK and AVAX Cannot
Corporate Bitcoin accumulation hits record levels, while Pepeto gains attention with strong presale demand, audited infrastructure, and a major listing catalyst ahead. дальше »
2026-4-5 23:55 | |
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Kalshi Ban Extended in Nevada, Setting Up Federal Showdown
A Nevada judge has renewed a temporary ban on prediction market trading in the state, as Kalshi will have appeal options to consider soon. The post Kalshi Ban Extended in Nevada, Setting Up Federal Showdown appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-5 19:49 | |
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Ripple Receives Strong Credit Score, Shiba Inu (SHIB) Burn Rate Rockets 2,332%, Cardano (ADA) Exec Teases Mastercard Partnership
Crypto news digest: Ripple Prime earns new credit score; SHIB sees strong network activity; ADA Cardano exec teases potential Mastercard partnership. дальше »
2026-4-4 01:27 | |
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CFTC Sues Illinois, Arizona and Connecticut to Defend Exclusive Authority Over Prediction Markets
The Trump Administration is officially joining in on the fight between states and prediction markets, starting with Illinois, Arizona, and Connecticut. The CFTC announced its unprecedented action of suing three states in a press release, stating: “The Commodity Futures Trading Commission today filed lawsuits challenging the actions of Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois against CFTC-registered designated contract […] The post CFTC Sues Illinois, Arizona and Connecticut to Defend Exclusive Authority Over Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-3 20:50 | |
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Robinhood Sues Washington as Prediction Market Fight Escalates in Ninth Circuit
The first countersuit seeking injunctive relief against Washington officials comes from one of Kalshi’s distribution partners in offering prediction markets. The post Robinhood Sues Washington as Prediction Market Fight Escalates in Ninth Circuit appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-3 19:40 | |
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CFTC Leaders Set Enforcement Priorities, Press Exchanges on Insider Trading and Manipulation
CFTC's David Miller: "We will aggressively detect, investigate, and, where appropriate, prosecute insider trading in the prediction markets." The post CFTC Leaders Set Enforcement Priorities, Press Exchanges on Insider Trading and Manipulation appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-3 19:07 | |
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Here’s the Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price if Burn Rate Collapse Triggers a Supply Shock
Shiba Inu is walking into April with two completely different stories playing out at once. On one side, it just got labeled a digital commodity, putting it in the same lane as Bitcoin and Ethereum. дальше »
2026-4-2 01:30 | |
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14 Prediction Market Bills and Counting Reveal Deep Divisions, Long Odds
A complete tracker of all 14 prediction market bills introduced in Congress so far in 2026, what each would do, and why passage remains unlikely. The post 14 Prediction Market Bills and Counting Reveal Deep Divisions, Long Odds appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-2 17:30 | |
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UK Investors Could be Paying Double Tax on MicroStrategy’s STRC Stock
Strategy Inc. ’s Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock (STRC) went live on the popular platform Trading 212 on March 30, 2026. It gives UK retail investors direct access to a Bitcoin-backed yield product that pays roughly 11. дальше »
2026-3-31 01:16 | |
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Kalshi Campaign Calls Out Key Misconceptions Emanating from Congress
Kalshi launched an ad blitz in D.C. in response to the wave of Congressional pressure, much of which has leaned on some critical misconceptions of regulated prediction markets like Kalshi. The post Kalshi Campaign Calls Out Key Misconceptions Emanating from Congress appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-31 01:07 | |
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Georgia Could Swing the Senate, but Early Consensus Leans Blue
The Georgia Senate seat could be one of the Democrat's most vulnerable in November, but the GOP primary is fairly quiet so far on prediction markets. The post Georgia Could Swing the Senate, but Early Consensus Leans Blue appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-31 22:11 | |
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Kalshi Hits $12B, Polymarket $10B All-Time Highs on March NCAA Tournament Surge
Kalshi posted $12.35B in March with two days to go for its biggest month ever while Polymarket crossed $10B in monthly volume for the first time. March Madness trading fueled the surge. The post Kalshi Hits $12B, Polymarket $10B All-Time Highs on March NCAA Tournament Surge appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-31 18:38 | |
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Bullish Metrics Can’t Save XRP? Burn Rate Soars, Transactions Peak, Yet XRP Price Bleeds
Something strange is happening with Ripple’s XRP. The network is showing clear signs of growth, yet the price keeps moving in the opposite direction. It’s the kind of situation that leaves investors confused, because usually, strong fundamentals and rising activity should push prices higher. дальше »
2026-3-30 13:30 | |
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Zoomex Launches Earning Initiative as Inflation Drives Shift Toward Capital Efficiency in Crypto Markets
Crypto exchange Zoomex has introduced a new user initiative focused on its earning products, as rising inflation and uncertain interest rate expectations continue to reshape how traders manage capital across digital asset markets. дальше »
2026-3-30 10:12 | |
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Why bitcoin's 'compressed' valuation offers reduced downside risk versus stocks
The recent surge in oil and gas prices has driven up inflation expectations, causing markets to adjust their bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts, with traders now pricing in a near 40% chance of no rate cuts this year. дальше »
2026-3-30 19:39 | |
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Maine Senate Primary Odds Tilt to Platner as Traders Eye Key Senate Flip Opportunity
Prediction markets show Graham Platner at ~80% odds to win Maine’s Democratic Senate primary, with over $4M in volume. Traders see the race as a key pathway to a Democratic Senate flip. The post Maine Senate Primary Odds Tilt to Platner as Traders Eye Key Senate Flip Opportunity appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-28 18:55 | |
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PredictIt Rolls Out New Design After Surviving CFTC Shutdown Attempt
The academic prediction market platform focused on politics modernizes its interface after a legal battle, but remains outside the fully commercial model driving industry growth The post PredictIt Rolls Out New Design After Surviving CFTC Shutdown Attempt appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-28 17:54 | |
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Coinbase Rejects Stablecoin Yield Ban in New Clarity Act Draft as Experts Weigh In
As Coinbase rejects a new Clarity Act draft that prohibits passive stablecoin yield, some experts warn the approach amounts to “protectionism” against crypto’s biggest competitive threat. The post Coinbase Rejects Stablecoin Yield Ban in New Clarity Act Draft as Experts Weigh In appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-27 15:59 | |
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Luigi Buttiglione: The US market’s technological edge drives unmatched returns, rising productivity will elevate neutral interest rates, and AI’s dual impact reshapes the economy | Forward Guidance
AI's disruptive force is reshaping the US economy, driving productivity and influencing interest rate policies. The post Luigi Buttiglione: The US market’s technological edge drives unmatched returns, rising productivity will elevate neutral interest rates, and AI’s dual impact reshapes the economy | Forward Guidance appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-3-27 01:28 | |
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Iran Ceasefire Trades Again Spotlight Insider Trading Rules in Prediction Markets
Well-timed trades ahead of a U.S. policy shift have come under scrutiny on Polymarket and highlight differences in how insider trading is handled across markets The post Iran Ceasefire Trades Again Spotlight Insider Trading Rules in Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-26 22:39 | |
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Bitcoin miner concentration just exposed a gap in Bitcoin’s “six confirmations” rule
The Bitcoin network experienced a rare two-block reorg on Mar. 23, at block height 941,880. Foundry mined six consecutive blocks, AntPool and ViaBTC briefly extended a competing branch. The chain resolved the fork as designed, following the path with the most hash rate. дальше »
2026-3-25 16:05 | |
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Polymarket Trader Nets $1M with 93% Win Rate on War Bets
Key Takeaways: An anonymous trader has won close to $1 million on Polymarket at an 93% win rate Bets correctly forecasted U.S. and Israeli attacks, and were frequently bet a The post Polymarket Trader Nets $1M with 93% Win Rate on War Bets appeared first on CryptoNinjas. дальше »
2026-3-25 19:26 | |
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Polymarket and Kalshi Founders Back First Dedicated Prediction Market VC Fund
Two former Kalshi employees founded 5c(c) Capital, a Venture Capital fund dedicated solely to capitalizing on prediction markets, which has reportedly already raised $35 million. The post Polymarket and Kalshi Founders Back First Dedicated Prediction Market VC Fund appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-24 01:05 | |
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Polymarket Publishes Enhanced Market Integrity Rules for US, DeFi Platforms
Polymarket’s updated rules target insider trading and manipulation, outlining prohibited conduct across U.S. and international platforms The post Polymarket Publishes Enhanced Market Integrity Rules for US, DeFi Platforms appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-24 19:05 | |
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New Bipartisan Senate Bill Targets Sports Prediction Markets
The the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act would ban sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, highlighting growing scrutiny as lawmakers move to set clearer boundaries for prediction markets The post New Bipartisan Senate Bill Targets Sports Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-24 18:23 | |
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Energy policy and small-cap moves set the macro backdrop as Bitcoin climbs near $71K
Energy policy shifts may ease inflation, potentially prompting Fed rate cuts, but tight capital markets could limit crypto's risk appetite. The post Energy policy and small-cap moves set the macro backdrop as Bitcoin climbs near $71K appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-3-23 18:03 | |
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