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Tokenizing belief: Prediction markets are turning probability into the next asset class | Opinion
Prediction markets now price what we believe. That’s a structural shift in how capital and information interact. дальше »
2025-11-16 15:29 | |
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Polymarket gives Solana 7% chance of a new ATH before 2026
Key Takeaways How bearish has market sentiment turned on Solana? Prediction market Polymarket now gives SOL only a 7% chance of hitting a new all-time high before 2026, down from 60% probability in The post Polymarket gives Solana 7% chance of a new ATH before 2026 appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »
2025-11-13 20:12 | |
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Aster price weakness persists at $1.00, raising risk of another capitulation
Aster price remains under pressure near the $1 level as persistent weakness below key technical zones increases the probability of another capitulation move toward $0.89. Aster’s (ASTER) price continues to exhibit clear weakness, with the market struggling to reclaim the… дальше »
2025-10-22 16:37 | |
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XRP price struggles at the 200-Day Moving Average as rejection risks grow
XRP price is struggling to reclaim the 200-day moving average, raising the probability of a potential rejection toward the $2 high time frame support if resistance continues to hold. After a volatile series of moves across the broader market, the… дальше »
2025-10-16 19:10 | |
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DOGE’s rally proves retail is back, and they’re about to discover Digitap ($TAP)
Bitcoin is igniting animal spirits after setting a new all-time high, and according to simulations run by Timothy Peterson, there is a 50% probability that Bitcoin crosses $140,000 before the month ends. дальше »
2025-10-11 18:00 | |
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Can the government shutdown have a significant effect on the crypto space?
The U.S. government is facing a shutdown due to the inability of Republicans and Democrats to agree on the budget. Various sources evaluate the probability of a shutdown as high. If it happens, a shutdown may have multiple repercussions. Among… дальше »
2025-10-1 22:20 | |
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AI Reveals The Probability Of SWIFT Integrating Ripple’s XRP Ledger
SWIFT is testing XRP Ledger in cross-border trials, but full integration remains uncertain as Ripple builds institutional momentum. The post AI Reveals The Probability Of SWIFT Integrating Ripple’s XRP Ledger appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2025-9-24 00:13 | |
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DOGE 50/50 chance of hitting $1 in 2026 as experts suggest Layer Brett could go from $0.0058 to $0.35
With Dogecoin’s future becoming uncertain, its price rise is a probability. At the same time, DOGE holders are searching for newer and more rewarding opportunities. Layer Brett ($LBRETT), a new Layer 2 meme coin, is making headlines with its presale surpassing $3. дальше »
2025-9-16 14:46 | |
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Pump.fun’s PUMP extends rally as South Korean liquidity boosts momentum
Digital tokens performed well on Thursday after the United States PPI data increased the probability of a rate cut during the Fed’s meeting next week. The global cryptocurrency market cap increased by 2% in the past 24 hours to $3. дальше »
2025-9-11 15:44 | |
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Dogecoin update: Has DOGE’s correction set up a rally back to $0.30, or will it test $0.18?
Key Takeaways Dogecoin continues consolidating between $0. 18 and $0. 30 as sentiment declines. Network activity remains muted, increasing the probability of a retest of the $0. 18 support level. дальше »
2025-8-20 05:00 | |
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ADA surges 16% on ETF optimism; can this new crypto be next to explode?
Cardano ADA is experiencing a dramatic 16% price surge. This jump follows news of a potential Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) filing for the altcoin. Optimism is flooding the crypto market as analysts now estimate an 80% probability of approval. дальше »
2025-8-20 09:13 | |
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XRP price up over 550% since November, technical setup suggests possible rally toward $34
Breakout from a seven-year double-bottom pattern confirmed. 95% probability of spot ETF approval influencing sentiment. XRP Ledger market cap-to-TVL ratio stands at about 2,200. XRP has surged more than 550% since November, climbing above $3 on Tuesday, and sparking discussions in the crypto market about its next potential milestone. дальше »
2025-8-12 18:04 | |
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Zebec Network enters vertical accumulation phase, eyes breakout to new all-time highs
Zebec Network is showing signs of strong vertical accumulation, setting up the probability for a breakout beyond its previous all-time high. The bullish trend remains intact with a clear structure of higher highs and higher lows. After reclaiming multiple critical… дальше »
2025-8-9 20:59 | |
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Is it too late to buy SHIB with $1200, hoping to make 7-figures? The token you should watch instead
On the 7th of April 2025, Shiba Inu’s (SHIB) price is expected to reach $0.00001167, with SHIB having a total market cap of around $6.87 billion. Although Shiba Inu has gained over the past few years and recently SHIB has taken the spotlight as one of the leading meme coins, the probability of further exponential […] дальше »
2025-5-9 21:06 | |
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Solana ETF approval odds exceeds 90%, is a price rally incoming and which token will rise higher than SOL in 2025
Solana (SOL) is ruling headlines as Bloomberg Intelligence raises the approval probability for a US spot ETF to 90%, up from 70% earlier this year. This heightened optimism is fueling the positive sentiment with analysts pointing to a “cup and handle” pattern that should take SOL’s price to $500. Currently trading at about $149, SOL […] дальше »
2025-5-5 17:50 | |
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Fed Rate Cut Odds Collapse to 15% After Trump’s Tariff Pause
According to CME FedWatch data, the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in May has plunged from 57% to just 15%. This is due to President Trump’s 90-day tariff pause and newly released March FOMC minutes. дальше »
2025-4-10 21:29 | |
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Goldman Sachs Predicts 45% Recession Risk While Boosting Bitcoin Holdings
Goldman Sachs has raised its recession probability to 45%, driven by financial instability and looming tariffs. Despite this, the bank remains heavily invested in Bitcoin, reflecting growing confidence in digital assets amid economic uncertainty. дальше »
2025-4-9 14:01 | |
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Bitcoin whales are buying while weak hands panic – Is a market bottom near?
Bitcoin whales are buying while smaller investors panic and sell, similar to the 2020 bull cycle Data hinted at the growing probability of a potential bottom. A Bitcoin [BTC] bottom typicallThe post Bitcoin whales are buying while weak hands panic – Is a market bottom near? appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »
2025-4-2 10:00 | |
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Nansen: crypto eyes ‘good news’ amid fragile market psychology
Nansen Research has highlighted the macroeconomic factors and cues this week that the firm says could confirm the probability of a crypto bottom between April and June. Nansen principal researcher Aurelie Barthere shared the outlook on April 1, 2025, noting… дальше »
2025-4-2 23:28 | |
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Best Meme Coins to 100x As US Recession Probability Hits 41%
The probability of a US recession jumped to 41% on Polymarket despite the federal labor report showing 151K new jobs last month and the unemployment rate being the lowest since March 2020. Inflation is down almost 4% since its peak in 2022 but remains double the target of 2%. дальше »
2025-3-10 15:38 | |
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EU offers support to Zelenskyy, but crypto gamblers bet against him on heels of disastrous Trump meeting
Crypto gamblers on Polymarket, the prediction market platform, have staked over $627,000 on the speculation that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will step down before July. At the time of publication, Polymarket participants estimated a 19% probability of Zelenskyy’s premature exit.… дальше »
2025-3-2 22:15 | |
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Chance of Bitcoin Tanking to $75K Doubles as Trump's Tariffs Ignite Trade War, Derive's Onchain Options Market Shows
The probability has doubled from last week as the renewed trade war between the U.S. and its major trading partners threatens to inject inflation into the global economy. дальше »
2025-2-4 07:50 | |
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Prediction markets Polymarket, Kalshi expect 79-89% chance of US TikTok ban: Trump to ‘review’ situation
Cryptocurrency prediction markets are showing strong odds that TikTok will face a ban in the U.S. by May 2025. According to the latest information, leading platforms Polymarket and Kalshi both show a high probability of the ByteDance-owned app being shut… дальше »
2025-1-19 22:48 | |
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Shiba Inu buy signal spotted: Is a SHIB price reversal on the horizon?
Whale accumulation buoyed bullish spirits on SHIB's charts Deviation below the range followed by a quick reclamation gave a high probability buy signal Shiba Inu [SHIB] has suffered losses aThe post Shiba Inu buy signal spotted: Is a SHIB price reversal on the horizon? appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »
2025-1-15 03:00 | |
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Treasury yields and CPI data fuel market jitters before Fed’s next move
How will inflation, strong jobs data, and rising Treasury yields shape the Fed’s upcoming rate decision? The Federal Reserve’s Jan. 29 meeting looms large as markets eagerly await clarity on interest rate policy. дальше »
2025-1-14 07:12 | |
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Polymarket predicts 92% chance of Poilievre succeeding Trudeau as Canada’s prime minister
In the wake of Justin Trudeau’s resignation, Polymarket is now forecasting a staggering 92% probability that Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre will succeed him as Canada’s next Prime Minister. This surge in odds comes after Trudeau stepped down from his post following intense scrutiny of his leadership and the Liberal Party. Speaking at a press conference, […] дальше »
2025-1-7 21:10 | |
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Fed signals one more rate cut in December, CME tool shows 96.9% probability
Fed likely to cut rates in December to 4.25-4.50%, as the CME tool indicates a 96.9% probability. The post Fed signals one more rate cut in December, CME tool shows 96.9% probability appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2024-12-14 19:54 | |
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Bitcoin recovers $100k price level as expectations of Fed rate cut rise
Bitcoin (BTC) briefly surpassed the $101,000 threshold after a 3% surge in the hours following November’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers, which came within the 2.7% expectations. The rally has fueled investor confidence, with a 98% probability now assigned to a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, potentially bringing the US […] The post Bitcoin recovers $100k price level as expectations of Fed rate cut rise appeared first on CryptoSlate. дальше »
2024-12-12 21:25 | |
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Bitcoin eyes $100,000 amid 74.5% probability of 25bps rate cut
Bitcoin price is under the spotlight as markets anticipate a potential Federal Reserve rate cut that could drive fresh momentum. Notably, the CME FedWatch Tool has indicated a 74.5% possibility of a 0.25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve at… дальше »
2024-12-4 13:01 | |
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Cardano and XRP gear up for a repeat of the 2017 rally as one rising token goes viral with a new ATH
Analysts expect the 2017 bull rally to occur again as Cardano (ADA) and XRP prepare themselves for the season. Both coins are gaining support and are increasing the probability of new investors coming into their respective ecosystems. дальше »
2024-11-22 17:00 | |
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Ethereum's Ether Has Fallen Out of Investor Favor and How
The market assigns a very low probability of ether challenging its year-to-date high of around $4,000 by the end of December. дальше »
2024-11-19 09:52 | |
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The Popular $100K Year-End Goal for Bitcoin Has Less Than 10% Probability in Options Market
The low pricing seems consistent with stable and rangebound implied volatility. дальше »
2024-10-25 11:25 | |
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Bitcoin options signal 20% probability of surge to $80K post-elections
Implied volatility for Bitcoin options around US elections has hiked by nearly 50%. Options traders priced a 20% chance of BTC hitting $80K by end-November. With only two weeks to the USThe post Bitcoin options signal 20% probability of surge to $80K post-elections appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »
2024-10-24 21:00 | |
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Kalshi data shows Trump leading with 63.3% probability ahead of election
Trump's prediction market odds surged after his pro-crypto campaign and public appearances. Kalshi's data reflects Trump's strong position as the election approaches. As the U. S. presidentiaThe post Kalshi data shows Trump leading with 63. дальше »
2024-10-24 11:00 | |
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Trump’s lead over Harris widens, but is Polymarket accurate?
Donald Trump’s lead over Kamala Harris has grown on Polymarket, a prediction market that allows users to wager on political outcomes. As of writing, Trump holds a 55. 3% probability of winning the U. дальше »
2024-10-11 16:54 | |
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Record September Gives Bitcoin 82% Odds For An Ultra Bullish Q4: Analyst
Crypto analyst Astronomer (@astronomer_zero) posits a strong bullish outlook for Bitcoin in the fourth quarter of 2024. Leveraging historical data, Astronomer provides an analysis via X, suggesting an 82% probability of an ultra bullish trend based on the performance of Bitcoin in September. дальше »
2024-9-30 11:30 | |
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7 Days Left: Pro-XRP Lawyer Predicts Likelihood Of SEC Appeal Against Ripple
Pro-XRP attorney Fred Rispoli, founder of HODL Law, continues to assess the likelihood of an SEC appeal as higher than the probability of the agency letting the case conclude without further action. Following the US District Court for the Southern District of New York’s final judgment on August 7, 2024, the SEC now has less […] дальше »
2024-9-30 09:15 | |
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Bitcoin profitability soars amidst rally: Time for $70K?
Bitcoin profitability warrants an assessment of the probability of sell pressure. BTC’s recent data demonstrates a resurgence of confidence in its potential to push back above $70,000. BitThe post Bitcoin profitability soars amidst rally: Time for $70K? appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »
2024-9-27 12:00 | |
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Polkadot’s DOT Price Approaches Key Resistance—Is a Breakout to $12 Possible?
World of Charts, a top analyst, reported on X (formerly Twitter) that Polkadot (DOT) is showing signs of reversal after a six-month corrective phase. He added that the formation of a falling wedge pattern, coupled with pronounced bullish divergence on key indicators, suggests a high probability of a successful breakout. дальше »
2024-9-26 21:15 | |
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