California Wealth Tax Odds Signal Uncertainty as Billionaires Leave the State

With passage uncertain, ultra-wealthy Californians are already moving out of state and adjusting business ties ahead of a possible retroactive 5% billionaire tax. The post California Wealth Tax Odds Signal Uncertainty as Billionaires Leave the State appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

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Iran Faces Regime Pressure: Polymarket Odds on Khamenei’s Ouster Hit 56%

The US military’s dramatic capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro last weekend has sent shockwaves through Tehran, where Iran’s leadership now confronts the uncomfortable possibility of a similar fate. дальше »

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Bitcoin holds near $91,000 as market awaits Trump tariff ruling: Asia Morning Briefing

Prediction markets see low odds of a clear Supreme Court ruling on tariffs, a setup that has previously triggered short-term volatility in bitcoin, which then stabilized. дальше »

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Zcash governance in turmoil: How low can ZEC price go?

Zcash's technical and fundamental catalysts raise the odds of ZEC price declining to as low as $200 in the coming weeks after core developers exited the project. дальше »

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Polymarket quietly changes fee model for short term crypto markets

Fees collected from takers are redistributed daily to liquidity providers in USDC. The highest fees apply when market odds are near 50% and fall toward zero at extremes. Longer-term crypto, political, and non-crypto markets remain fee-free. дальше »

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CryptoGames Sets the Standard for Transparency in Crypto Gaming

Cryptocurrency gaming has evolved from an experimental concept into a sophisticated global industry. Today’s players demand more than simple crypto compatibility — they seek transparency, verifiable fairness, competitive odds, and platforms built for long-term value. дальше »

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XRP bulls eye breakout as ETF inflows absorb 1% of supply

XRP defends key support inside a downward channel as ETF inflows absorb close to 1% of supply, with analysts assigning higher odds to an upside breakout in 2026. Ripple’s XRP token tested a critical support level this week following a… дальше »

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Odds of Bitcoin outperforming gold in 2026 surge to 59% on Polymarket

Rising confidence in Bitcoin's future performance may influence investment strategies, potentially shifting focus from traditional assets like gold. The post Odds of Bitcoin outperforming gold in 2026 surge to 59% on Polymarket appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Strategy’s Saylor Hints At New Bitcoin Buy Amid Low Investor Sentiment And Year-End $100K BTC Odds

Strategy executive chairman Michael Saylor has hinted that his firm will announce another Bitcoin purchase later today after pausing acquisitions last week. “Back to Orange,” [...] дальше »

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Chainlink's breakout odds - What next after large wallets absorb supply?

Large Chainlink withdrawals from Binance recently revealed a clear shift towards long-term holding. Especially as big wallets reduce exchange supply and ease selling pressure. In fact, a newly createdThe post Chainlink's breakout odds - What next after large wallets absorb supply? appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »

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Betting on a Dovish Fed: Why Polymarket Hold Odds Just Crashed to 8%

Key Takeaways: Prediction market traders are essentially screaming for a rate cut, leaving a tiny 8% window for the Fed to stand pat. Cooling employment data and hit-or-miss economic prints The post Betting on a Dovish Fed: Why Polymarket Hold Odds Just Crashed to 8% appeared first on CryptoNinjas. дальше »

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Bitcoin rallies thwarted by fading Fed rate cut odds, softening US macro

Bitcoin continued to sell near $90,000 as investors reacted to weak US jobs data and slowing economic growth by shifting into safer assets. дальше »

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Solo Bitcoin miner beats overwhelming odds to win $271,000 block reward

A solo Bitcoin miner successfully mined an entire Bitcoin block on December 18, after renting hashpower through the NiceHash marketplace, according to blockchain data. дальше »

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Coinbase sets surprise product launch, solo Bitcoin miner beats 30,000-to-1 odds, Tether eyes Juventus purchase | Weekly Recap

In this week’s edition of the weekly recap, Coinbase prepares to introduce prediction markets and tokenized equities, a solo Bitcoin miner achieved another improbable block reward, and Tether’s CEO expressed interest in acquiring legendary Italian football club Juventus. Coinbase schedules… дальше »

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Fed rate cut may pump stocks but Bitcoin options call sub-$100K in January

Federal Reserve monetary policy could benefit stocks, but BTC options show the short-term odds of Bitcoin rallying to $100,000 remain slim. дальше »

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Dogecoin to $1 or SHIB to $0.01? Calculating the mathematical odds

The memecoin sector has taken a severe hit over the past year, with its market cap falling to $42 billion at press time. It had surged to a high of $127. 26 billion in November 2024, but it has since rThe post Dogecoin to $1 or SHIB to $0. дальше »

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XRP price compresses into triangle pattern, breakout odds to $2.20 rises

XRP (XRP) price is showing one of its clearest structural patterns in months as price compresses into a multi-week symmetrical triangle. дальше »

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Decoding Bitcoin’s macro setup – Why a 90% Fed cut could still swing both ways

Bitcoin has been consolidating below $95k ahead of the Fed rate decision scheduled for the 10th of December.  While the odds of another 25 basis point cut have surged to nearly 90%, the market wasThe post Decoding Bitcoin’s macro setup – Why a 90% Fed cut could still swing both ways appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »

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Polymarket Traders Knew The Weeknd Was Going to Beat Drake on Spotify Wrapped

Hours before Spotify announced its 2025 Wrapped results, the odds on The Weeknd finishing third on Polymarket’s contract surged from 40% to 99%. Polymarket shared the news on X, framing it as proof that prediction markets work. дальше »

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Bitcoin, ETH, XRP Slump As Liquidations Hit $636M Even With Fed Rate Cut Odds At 89%: Market Wrap

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and XRP all tumbled in the past 24 hours as crypto liquidations reached $636 million even amid growing optimism around a [...] дальше »

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South Korea’s KakaoBank begins hiring as it moves forward with stablecoin development

While regulators remain at odds, KakaoBank is preparing the rails for a native Korean won-backed stablecoin. дальше »

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Crypto prices today (Nov. 25): BTC eyes 90K, ETH, XRP, SOL recover as Fed’s dovish pivot boosts rate cut odds

Crypto prices today are showing signs of recovery as easing fed rate expectations and renewed risk appetite lift major assets. The total crypto market capitalization has risen 2. 4% to $3. 1 trillion. дальше »

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US midday market brief: how Fed-cut odds, AI bets & crypto moves are driving today’s tape

US stocks bounced hard on Monday as Thanksgiving week kicked off, with the Nasdaq surging 2.6% and the S&P 500 climbing 1.5% by midday. The rally was driven by three converging forces: renewed Fed rate-cut optimism now priced at roughly 75–80% for December, Amazon bombshell $50 billion government AI infrastructure bet, and a tentative rebound […] дальше »

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Bitcoin Price Passes $87K As Michael Saylor Says ‘I Won’t Back Down,’ Fed Rate Cut Odds Surge

The Bitcoin price edged up over 1% in the past 24 hours to trade at $87,008 as of 2:28 a.m. EST on trading volume that [...] дальше »

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What does the Bitcoin Dominance say about altcoin season odds?

Key Takeaways What clues does the Bitcoin Dominance give to investors? It signaled BTC has been weaker than the altcoin market over the past two weeks, but the longer-term outlook confirmed we are aThe post What does the Bitcoin Dominance say about altcoin season odds? appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »

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Fed December Rate Cut Odds Collapse to 30%

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has decreased significantly, now standing at 30%. дальше »

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Odds of December Fed rate cut plunge to 33% as BTC falls below $89K

At the beginning of November, the odds of a December rate cut were 67% among traders, but they have since cratered alongside investor sentiment. дальше »

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Fed Rate-Cut Odds Plunge Further on Jobs Data Delays

Traders slash chances of a December cut to 33% as the Fed loses a key data point ahead of its final 2025 meeting. дальше »

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Bitcoin recovery on edge amid Fed rate cut uncertainty & ‘liquidity squeeze’

Key Takeaways  Will BTC recover this week?  It depends on the Jobs report. A weak report could improve the odds of a Fed rate cut, sentiment, and trigger a relief rally. But a strong labor could dThe post Bitcoin recovery on edge amid Fed rate cut uncertainty & ‘liquidity squeeze’ appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »

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Polymarket shows 50% odds of Bitcoin reaching $85K in November

Polymarket gives 50% odds of Bitcoin hitting $85K in November as BTC falls below $90K amid broader market weakness. The post Polymarket shows 50% odds of Bitcoin reaching $85K in November appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Traders put 50/50 odds on Bitcoin ending 2025 below $90k amid $3B ETF outflows

The Bitcoin market is undergoing a significant transition, with traders aggressively positioning for a year-end close beneath the $90,000 threshold. This comes as the flagship digital asset briefly slid to a seven-month low of $89,970 on Nov. дальше »

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BlackRock leads near $3B Bitcoin November ETF exodus with record $523M outflows

US Bitcoin ETFs are nearing $3 billion in November outflows as a fresh death cross, fading Fed rate cut odds, and smart money shorts weigh on sentiment. дальше »

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Markets Stumble as December Rate-Cut Odds Collapse Ahead of October FOMC Minutes

Rate-cut expectations have unraveled, stirring volatility as conflicting Fed guidance clouds the path into year-end. Markets now await the FOMC minutes to gauge whether the hawkish tilt will harden or fracture further. дальше »

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Crypto market crashes as odds of Trump’s $2,000 stimulus check drop

The recent crypto market crash continued today, Nov. 16, with Bitcoin moving below $95,000. Other top coins like Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Tron also continued their strong plunge. The market cap of all tokens dropped to $3. дальше »

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Could Solana ETFs drive altcoin's price to $500 in 2026?

Key Takeaways  What are the odds of SOL hitting $500 in 2026?  Only about 1%, per Deribit Options data — showing the market hasn’t priced in a potential 3x move yet. How much inflow could SOLThe post Could Solana ETFs drive altcoin's price to $500 in 2026? appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »

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U.S. investors dump $700M in Bitcoin - Is BTC's $100K support at risk?

Key Takeaways Why is Bitcoin's price weak?  Major economic zones were aggressively selling Bitcoin, with the US at the forefront. Will BTC hit $95K in November? The odds of Bitcoin reaching $95,0The post U. дальше »

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JPMorgan sees Bitcoin as more attractive than gold after price dip

JPMorgan says Bitcoin is undervalued by $68K and now more attractive than gold. BTC slips below $101K as job cuts, weak stocks, and ETF outflows weigh on sentiment. Fed rate cut odds rise to 69%, but uncertainty keeps Bitcoin near key $100K level. дальше »

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Google partners with Polymarket to integrate odds into search and Google Finance

Google partners with Polymarket to display prediction odds in Search and Google Finance, widening access to market based forecasting data. The post Google partners with Polymarket to integrate odds into search and Google Finance appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »

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Bitcoin starts $100K ‘capitulation’ as BTC price metric sees big volatility

Bitcoin fell nearly 4% in October as ETF outflows closed out the month, but Bollinger Bands BTC price volatility odds hit record levels. дальше »

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Sam Bankman-Fried’s Chances of Gaining Pardon Spikes Following CZ’s Recent Revelation

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Odds of BTC Hitting $130K This Month Drop to Nearly 0%

"Floptober" is turning into a complete disaster for Bitcoin bulls дальше »

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Bitcoin to Test 'Black Friday' Levels, Bollinger Bands Warn

Bitcoin just lost the Bollinger Band at $113,744, raising the odds of a retest of the $103,000-$102,000 "Black Friday" zone, the popular indicator warns. дальше »

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Bitcoin price taps $116K as analysis weighs odds of CME gap fill

Bitcoin fluctuated wildly at the Wall Street open, with bulls pushing the price to $116,000 as opinions diverged over the next move in BTC. дальше »

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XRP Price Jumps 9% In a Week As Fed Rate Cut Odds For Wednesday Hit 97.8% On CME

The XRP price has jumped 9% in the past week and 1.4% in the last 24 hours to trade at $2.65 as of 4 a.m. [...] дальше »

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Bitcoin price starts $112K breakout as Fed rate-cut odds pass 98%

Bitcoin price action favored bulls as the weekly close neared, with BTC nearing $113,000 ahead of a key week for the Federal Reserve. дальше »

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Is 'Bitcoin Jesus' Next to Get Pardon? Roger Ver's Odds on Polymarket Skyrocket to 23%

Prediction markets now give Roger Ver, once hailed as "Bitcoin Jesus" and recently fined nearly $50 million for tax evasion, a 23% chance of being the next high-profile figure to get a pardon. дальше »

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Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried as chances rise to 16% now?

Odds for Sam Bankman-Fried’s release have increased overnight as speculation that Donald Trump could pardon the former FTX CEO gains momentum. Prediction market odds for a potential Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) pardon have surged sharply, signaling renewed speculation that former U.S.… дальше »

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Is Changpeng Zhao returning to Binance? Polymarket bets are 50-50

After Changpeng Zhao received a pardon from Trump, Polymarket traders have opened a market to bet on the odds of the former CEO coming back to Binance by the end of the year. On Oct. 24, the market titled “Will… дальше »

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Traders weigh XRP’s breakout odds – Will history repeat below $2.3?

Key Takeaways What is the next expected price move for XRP? Despite the aggressive buying activity in the Futures market, the price action firmly pointed toward an XRP drop to $2 or lower. What neeThe post Traders weigh XRP’s breakout odds – Will history repeat below $2.3? appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »

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Pump.fun beats the odds: Can $1.3 mln daily revenue spark a rally?

Key Takeaways Why does Pump. fun stand out in the crypto market? The Solana memecoin launchpad posted healthy revenues despite the market downturn over the past ten days. Does this bode well for PUMThe post Pump. дальше »

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