XRP’s higher-timeframe structure is approaching a rare technical milestone on the monthly chart. The cryptocurrency is still on an extended pullback from its 2025 highs above $3 and is now trading around $1.38. If the current price action trajectory holds into month-end, XRP could close February with the fifth straight red monthly candle.

Such streaks are uncommon for XRP, and they have always come before major turning points. Now that March is approaching, the question is whether XRP is about to extend its losing run or finally break the pattern with a reversal.

The monthly XRP/USD chart shows a clear sequence of red candles stretching from late 2025 into early 2026. Each candle has closed below its open, forming a steady downward staircase from above $3.00 to the current range between $1.30 and $1.40. 

Interestingly, this is part of an extended run of price corrections since XRP reached an all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. Since this all-time high, XRP has only created one green monthly candlestick, which was in September 2025.

XRP opened February around $1.64. If February closes below this price level, it would mark five consecutive monthly declines. The last time XRP’s price action had five consecutive red months was in early 2017, a period that ultimately preceded one of XRP’s strongest bull phases. The only other time before then was when it printed six straight red monthly candles in 2014.

That historical context is what makes the current setup notable. Long losing streaks on the monthly timeframe are ultimately going to lead to a slowdown in selling pressure, particularly since XRP is now above a notable structural support zone. At the time of writing, this structural support zone is the $1.20 region, where XRP bulls managed to stop further selling pressure in early February.

XRP Monthly Price Chart. Source: @Bird_XRPL On X

Now that February is about to end, the next outlook is how XRP performs in March. According to a crypto analyst known as Bird on X, based on previous price action, we’re closer to a green month than another red one. Therefore, there is a high probability that XRP closes March with a green candlestick.

However, extended red runs do not automatically translate into explosive upside moves. Some market participants are speculating about a God candle that could erase the past five months of losses in a single month. However, the broader market structure today is different from previous cycles. XRP’s market capitalization is significantly larger than it was in earlier bull runs, and rallies would require more capital inflows.

From a probability standpoint, XRP’s recovery could be much more steady over time, not through an immediate parabolic surge. That would likely involve reclaiming intermediate resistance zones first, including the $1.60, $2.00, and $2.50 levels, before a push above $2.80 and $3.00. 

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