Erik Norland / Заголовки новостей
Copper’s Crosscurrents Could Energize Options, Implied Volatility in 2025
A series of macro events, including slow growth in China and the outperformance by equities, could energize Copper options. дальше »
2024-12-5 10:00
Fed's Rates Dilemma in 2025
The Federal Reserve and many other major central banks face above-target inflation hurdle on their path towards lower rates. дальше »
2024-12-5 10:00
Gold Silver: Major Factors That Could Impact Implied Volatility and Skew in 2025
There are major volatility risks for gold and silver next year amid the potential for tariffs against trading partners. дальше »
2024-12-4 10:00
Is Japan's Nikkei 225 Still a Bargain?
Japanese government bond yields are less than half the earnings yields of the Nikkei 225, suggesting Japanese stocks could be a bargain relative to domestic bonds. дальше »
2024-11-27 10:00
LATAM Economies: Soft Landings, Not Recessions
Growth slowed in four major Latin American countries that raised rates dramatically, but the economies did not go into a recession дальше »
2024-11-18 10:00
Is Bitcoin Post-Halving Rally Underway After the Elections?
Bitcoin prices have passed a record $84,000 in what could be the start of its post-halving rally after the presidential elections last week. дальше »
2024-11-13 21:15
Can China's Stimulus Boost Commodities Like in 2009?
China's economic stimulus in 2009 unleashed a bull market among commodities. Will its 2024 stimulus have the same impact? дальше »
2024-10-21 09:00
France's Burgeoning Debt Lifts Borrowing Costs
Government debt in France is mounting amid large budget deficits, leading to higher borrowing costs. дальше »
2024-10-10 09:00
The Path Ahead for Australia's Economy Intersects with Monetary Policy
Australia has put its interest rates on hold even as its peers begin easing monetary policy as inflation abates. дальше »
2024-10-5 09:00
EVs, Fuel Efficiency Drive Down Oil Demand
Electric vehicles are gaining market share in China and U.S. cars are going farther on a gallon of gas, helping to diminish demand for crude oil. дальше »
2024-9-25 09:00
Fed Easing Cycles: Investors’ Initial Expectations Versus Final Outcomes
A look at investor expectations on the size of Fed rate cuts over past cycles versus what actually happened. дальше »
2024-9-16 09:00
Fed Rate-Cut Cycles: When Markets Got it Right, and Wrong
The Fed has eased monetary policy seven times over the last four decades. How many times did the market get the cuts right? дальше »
2024-8-17 09:00
Long-Term Drivers of FX Markets
Why has the Japanese yen weakened against the U.S. dollar while the Mexican peso has strengthened over the long term? дальше »
2024-8-9 09:00
Shifting Demographics, Debt and Currencies: Part 2
Explore an examination of how the age of a country's population and the amount of debt it holds can influence its exchange rates. дальше »
2024-8-9 09:00
Weak Currencies, High Debt and Aging Nations: Part 1
Currencies of highly indebted aging nations seem to underperform those of younger countries with less debt. дальше »
2024-8-5 09:00
Scaling Risk Exposure with Corporate Bond Futures
Find out how investment grade and high yield corporate bonds correlate with U.S. Treasuries and equities, and the risk, return structure of these debt instruments. дальше »
2024-7-18 09:00
Corporate Bonds Risks, Returns Vs. Equities, Treasuries
How do investment-grade corporate bonds measure up in terms of returns and risks when compared to equities and Treasuries? дальше »
2024-6-30 09:00
Nasdaq's Stellar Returns, Potential Risks Ahead
A look at the Nasdaq's outstanding return on investment over the past 25 years and challenges that might lie ahead. дальше »
2024-6-25 09:00
Managing Pensions in a Changed Macro Environment
There has been a radical change to the dream environment of long-only U.S. equity and bond portfolios. дальше »
2024-6-13 09:00
Four Factors Driving Gold Prices Relative to Silver
Learn about the expanded benefits to clients as CME Group expands its fixed income offering with solutions for managing credit and mortgage exposure. дальше »
2024-6-13 09:00
Copper Soars as AI Helps Boost Demand
Copper prices are at record highs amid slow growth in supply and strong demand, including from the use of copper in AI data centers. дальше »
2024-6-6 09:00
Why Does Crude Oil Track Soybean Oil, Diesel?
The crude oil market is about 25 times bigger that of soybean oil and yet it tends to track prices of the vegetable oil. дальше »
2024-6-6 09:00
ESTR Pricing Rate Cuts Sooner Than Fed
Euro Short-Term Rate Futures are expecting the European Central Bank to cut rates sooner and deeper than the Fed. дальше »
2024-5-28 09:00
EVs, Sluggish China Soften Oil Demand
Oil prices are lower than they were two years amid the rise of EVs, slowing growth in China and an increase in U.S. production. дальше »
2024-5-28 09:00
Copper Defies Downdraft in Metals, China Growth
Copper prices have been charting their own course, decoupling from declines in aluminum, steel, lithium and cobalt due to two key factors. дальше »
2024-5-17 09:00
Is Yen Weakness Tied to Japan’s High Debt Levels?
The yen has tumbled to multi-decade lows against the U.S. dollar following Japan's exit from negative interest rates. дальше »
2024-5-3 09:00
Three Factors Keeping Oil Prices in Check
Ample inventories, weak demand from top consumer China and booming U.S. production are keeping crude oil prices hovering around $80 per barrel. дальше »
2024-5-3 09:00
Gold Rally Defies Easing Rate-Cut Expectations
Gold prices have been setting record highs in recent weeks despite easing expectations on the number of rate cuts this year. дальше »
2024-4-18 09:00
Japan Joins the Rate-Hike Club As Rate Cuts Loom
Japan ended its eight-year experiment with negative rates by raising borrowing costs for the first time in 17 years. дальше »
2024-4-11 09:00
Japan Exits Negative Rates, Nikkei 225 Rallies
Japan's first rate hike in 17 years ends its eight-year experiment with negative rates, rallying the stock market while weighing on the yen. дальше »
2024-4-11 09:00
Are U.S. Inflation and Employment Rising or Falling?
Is the U.S. economy adding new jobs or shedding them? Both can be true depending on which government data set you are looking at. дальше »
2024-4-3 09:00
Bitcoin Halving Nears, Supply to Tighten
Bitcoin will go through its quadrennial halving on April 19, which will tighten supply. Will prices rally like in past halvings? дальше »
2024-3-26 09:00
Can Bitcoin Halving Emulate Searing Rallies of the Past?
Past halving of bitcoin about every four years saw sharp market rallies through the next 365 days, with prices surging 559% after the last time. дальше »
2024-3-26 09:00
Are High Rates Helping Large Caps, Hurting Small Companies?
The Russell 2000 Index of small- and medium-sized companies is down nearly 20% from its peak while the S&P 500 hit record highs. дальше »
2024-3-11 09:00
€STR Futures Expect ECB to Cut Rates on Par with Fed
€STR futures are expecting the European Central Bank to cut rates on par with the Federal Reserve despite differences in rate hikes and inflation rates. дальше »
2024-3-10 10:00
Gold’s Performance Against U.S., Asian Equities the Past Century
Equities tend to perform better than gold during times of geopolitical stability, steady growth and low inflation. дальше »
2024-2-29 10:00
Five Major Factors That Can Swing Treasury Yields
The path of inflation and a potential downturn in the U.S. economy are among five factors that can impact the Treasury yield curve, which is the most inverted in over 40 years. дальше »
2024-2-29 10:00
Grains: Are Options Skews to the Upside Overvalued?
Investors tend to believe there are more upside than downside risks in grain markets despite the absence of compelling evidence to support that notion. дальше »
2024-2-29 10:00
Commodities Sag on China's Economic Headwinds
Prices for a range of commodities that depend on Chinese demand have fallen from their 2022 peaks as the pace of growth in the world's second largest economy slows down. дальше »
2024-2-21 10:01
Options Reflect Limited Downside Risk in Equities
Investors in options are sanguine about overall risk in equities ahead and are also less concerned than usual about a potentially sharp drop in the stock market. дальше »
2024-2-21 10:00
Equities: Lackluster Dividends for the Next Decade?
Equities are around record highs but investors are expecting the growth in dividend payouts over the next decade to be marginal. дальше »
2024-2-8 10:00
Latam Central Banks Take the Lead Again on Monetary Front
Central banks in Latin America raised interest rates well before their vaunted Western counterparts, and are now leading again with rate cuts. дальше »
2024-2-2 10:00
Anemic Chinese Growth Weighs on Commodities
Prices for a range of commodities are at or below levels before Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 despite geopolitical tensions. дальше »
2024-1-30 10:00
A Return to Low Inflation, Steady Growth Goldilocks Economy?
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2024-1-25 10:01
Gold: Will 2024 be a Breakout Year on Rate Cut Hopes?
Gold's price trajectory this year could depend on the Fed cutting interest rates, and more importantly, by how much. дальше »
2024-1-25 20:38
A Look Into U.S. Employment Data Reveals Warnings
A relative majority of U.S. hiring managers are laying off more workers than they are hiring, according to an employment report. дальше »
2024-1-10 10:00
As Inflation Retreats, How Will Equities Perform in 2024?
Inflation in major economies has fallen siginificantly, which could impact investments in equities and bonds this year. дальше »
2024-1-4 10:00
ESTR and SOFR: Pricing Rate Cuts for Different Reasons?
Investors are expecting the Fed and European Central Bank to begin cutting rates in the second quarter of 2024. дальше »
2023-12-14 10:00
Trading Activity Surges in Lithium, Cobalt Futures
Prices for battery metals lithium and cobalt have slumped even as demand for electric vehicles surge. What's behind this dichotomy? дальше »
2023-11-28 10:00
Lithium, Cobalt Open Interest Soars as Prices Plunge
Prices for battery metals lithium and cobalt have tumbled by up to 75% from their 2022 peaks amid slowing demand, headwinds to China's economy. дальше »