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Solana (SOL) could be facing one of its most critical technical tests in recent months, with crypto trader Jussy warning that a breakdown at a key level could trigger a collapse toward prices not seen since previous bear market cycles. With the cryptocurrency trading above this level and forming two bearish patterns across multiple timeframes, the analyst has set two major crash targets for SOL. However, only one of these patterns could lead to a staggering 50% decline to $30 once the price breaks. 

On Tuesday, February 24, Jussy took to X, warning crypto investors and traders that Solana could be heading toward a dramatic price collapse. The analyst notes that the leading smart contract token is currently at a critical support level of $76.57 on the price chart that could define its next bearish move. 

Looking at the daily chart, Jussy has identified a Bear Flag formation that has been developing since early February 2026. The pattern shows price consolidating within a descending channel after a steep sell-off from above $112, underscoring Solana’s continued downtrend over the past months. 

Should the $76.57 support level give way, the analyst projects a measured move from the Bear Flag pattern to $37.88, representing a potential decline of more than 50% from current levels. Jussy also said in his analysis that Solana is on a path to $30, suggesting the altcoin could fall even further to that level. 

Notably, the analyst’s bearish forecast arrives amid Solana’s recent price struggles, as broader market volatility and shifting investor sentiment weigh heavily on the sector. With the crypto bear market already in full swing, SOL has been trading sideways, mirroring the weak performance across major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin. 

CoinMarketCap’s data also shows that Solana’s price has fallen by more than 38% since the start of the year. While it was trending downward just last week, the altcoin has since staged a slight recovery from the $76 level, highlighted in Jussy’s chart analysis. As of writing, SOL is trading above $86, up more than 13% from the critical support level. Should upward momentum persist, it could signal a potential deviation from the analyst’s bearish $30 forecast. 

For his second bearish forecast, Jussy highlighted that Solana has formed a Triple Top pattern on its four-hour chart. This pattern is characterized by three successive failed attempts to push higher, with each one printing at a lower peak than the last. The structure, visible across the January and February price action, suggests buyers have been steadily losing momentum after each recovery attempt. 

If the $76.57 support level breaks, Jussy sees a measured move from the Triple Top pattern down to $61.73 as Solana’s next target. A drop to this level would represent a roughly 19% crash from the support area. 

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