Crypto Market to Stay Highly Correlated to Stocks Amid Macro Events and Dwindling Network Activities, Citi Says

2024-9-7 16:11

Digital assets are expected to stay highly correlated with equities amidst the upcoming macro calendar, the report said.

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Bitcoin is Defending a Crucial Macro Level as Bulls Show Signs of Strength

It is growing increasingly clear as to just how important $10,000 is for Bitcoin’s macro price action, as this level has been ardently defended by bulls on multiple occasions BTC has been trading around the level for the past several days, with each dip below it proving to be highly short-lived Bulls’ slight displays of strength whenever the crypto dips below this level are a positive sign for its near-term outlook One analyst is now […]

2020-9-9 21:00


Why Ethereum May Severely Underperform DeFi Tokens During Next Bull Market

Ethereum has seen some positive price action throughout the past day, although it remains highly correlated to that of Bitcoin It also remains caught within its macro trading range between $230 and $250, with its buyers being unable to surmount the upper boundary of this range ETH investors have been speculating that the growth seen within the DeFi sector could be enough to propel the crypto higher That being said, one analyst and fund manager […]

2020-7-23 23:00


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Upward Drift Continues Following Established Macro Support

Since mid-February, the bitcoin market has continued to drift upward toward a band of strong, macro resistance (shown below as a red band). This slow, drift upward marks our fourth test of the resistance zone and, unlike the three prior tests, our rejection of the level has shown a weakness on the side of the bears:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Fourth RejectionIf we compare the three prior rejections (labeled 1, 2 and 3), we see that the move into this resistance level was violent — and had equally violent rejections.

2019-3-29 02:21


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Upward Drift Tests Market Supply

A slow, grinding upward drift has been the name of the game for bitcoin’s market over the last few weeks. The upward drift is bringing us slowly to a level that was previously rejected violently:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Upward DriftOur third rejection of the red resistance level shown above brought the market into a test of macro support in the mid-$3,000s.

2019-3-23 01:23


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Grind Could Lead to Short Squeeze

Last Friday, we discussed a macro resistance level bitcoin would likely test. The level was tested three times prior and immediately rejected. Now, for the fourth time, we find ourselves situated above the level as we wait to see if our support holds:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Fourth Test of Macro ResistanceThe first three attempts to hold support above the black, broken resistance have been stifled with relatively high amounts of volume.

2019-3-19 01:17


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Could Three Times Be the Charm for This Resistance Level?

Bitcoin remains in its tightly coiled range as the market continues its sideways trend for the third week in a row. While macro support has been tested three times recently, we have yet to test the overhanging macro resistance:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Narrow RangeThe blue zone outlined above shows a very strong zone of support that, over the last few weeks, has seen three strong tests and has led to a slowly upward-drifting market consolidation.

2019-3-16 01:56


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Low Time Frames Show Signs of Life Amid Weekly Tests

Bitcoin continues to coil tightly within its range-bound market as the bulls and bears fight it out to see which is most dominant. On the lower time frames (TF), bitcoin is managing to find support:Figure 1: BTC-USD, 2-Hour Candles, Low TF SupportThe zone outlined by the green line in Figure 1 represents local support that has kept the market afloat for the last week and a half.

2019-3-13 22:26


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: New High Paves Potential Reversal Setup

After days and days of consolidation, bitcoin finally managed to break a new high for the first time in almost two weeks. This new high, so far, has been short lived, however, as it was almost immediately sold into by eager bears:Figure 1: BTC-USD, 4-Hour Candles, New HighOur current 4-hour candle is seeing a relatively easy retracement after days and days of an upward grind.

2019-3-9 02:08


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Keep an Eye Out for a Close Above the Current High

Shortly after falling from its test of the low $4,000s, bitcoin managed to find support in the mid $3,500s. This has proven to be a relevant level over the last few months, and finding support here would be a sign of relatively strong demand:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Local SupportThe high candle spread rejection following our test of the low $4,000s was an indication that we had strong levels of supply left in the market, but for the time being we are holding support.

2019-3-1 03:44


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bullish Rejection Wipes Out Bitcoin’s Weekend Gains

Over the weekend, a strong rally was stifled by an even stronger rejection as the bitcoin market was shoved into a band of overhanging resistance. This band of resistance has been mentioned several times in our analyses over the last few weeks as it has proven impossible to overcome for the time being:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Failed BreakoutThis run to the low $4,000s coincided with a breakout of a rather large symmetrical triangle consolidation shown above.

2019-2-26 02:42


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bullish Setups Could Break Current Market Structure

The cryptomarket remains coiled as we lead into the weekend with no new highs and no new lows being established for bitcoin. However, it is nicely consolidating on lower time frames and hints toward the possibility of another leg up:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Hourly Candles, Consolidating PennantThe pattern shown in Figure 1 outlines a potential continuation pattern called a “bullish pennant.

2019-2-23 02:23


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Consolidation Breaks Out Into Macro Resistance Test

Over the course of the last 10 days, bitcoin has managed to rally nearly 20% in value as it burst through two major resistance levels and is now beginning the test of a major macro level:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Macro ResistanceWe can see a clear, descending supply-and-demand channel that governed the market for the last two months.

2019-2-20 01:38


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: After Sudden Upswing, Bitcoin Price Drifts Downward

Last week, we saw a violent move to the upside as bitcoin rallied 11% over the course of one day. Since peaking in the upper $3,600s, bitcoin has seen close to zero bullish follow-through, and the price has begun to drift downward over the course of the last week:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Hourly Candles, Downward DriftDownward-drifting markets like this can often be a sign that distribution is taking place.

2019-2-15 00:21


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Major Support Broken on Expanding Volume and Spread

After weeks of consolidation, bitcoin finally broke through support. The market now finds itself cruising toward prior lows. On expanding volume and spread, the bitcoin market appears ripe for a continuation of the downtrend:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Broken SupportAlthough the current daily candle has yet to close, unless there is a strong influx of demand hitting the market, it stands to reason that bitcoin will be closing a new daily low for the first time since mid-December.

2019-1-29 02:01


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Strong Move Likely Following Tightly Coiled Market

Days and days of sideways consolidation and tightening volume has been the name of the game for the bitcoin market. A narrow range of $200 has caused a weeks worth of activity to coil and consolidate in preparation for bitcoin’s next move:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Narrow RangeThe figure above shows just how narrow the range has been over the last week as the market has continued to grind out support and fail to break above overhanging resistance.

2019-1-26 03:13


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Range-Bound Market Coiled for Next Move

For the better part of a month and a half, bitcoin has been fairly range-bound and unable to establish new lows or new highs. There are some bullish and bearish setups on the horizon for bitcoin, so let’s check out both sides of the argument because currently the market is sitting in the middle of Indecisionville — the most immediate sign of which is this glaringly obvious head-and-shoulders bottom reversal pattern:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Head-and-Shoulders BottomThis current pattern is nothing more than a setup at the moment, but it represents one potential outcome of this sustained consolidation.

2019-1-4 02:22


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bear Pennant Breakout Puts $1,700 Price in Sight

Another week, another low. Bitcoin’s market has been bleeding relentlessly for weeks and now, after falling 50% in value in just one month, the market has managed to break south of a major bearish consolidation pattern called a bear pennant:Figure 1: BTC-USD, 4-Hour Candles, Bear Pennant BreakoutThis is a massive bear pennant with a staggering $2,000 measured move.

2018-12-12 01:52


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Wait and See Where Recent Signs of Strength Lead

This week realized a big gain as bitcoin enjoyed a 25% rally from its local bottom before topping out around $4,400. Support currently appears to be established in the mid-$3,000s as the market remains indecisive over its next move:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Current Support LevelFigure 1 shows the relevance of the current support level as it represents a previous support level that was never properly retested during last year’s parabolic bull market.

2018-11-30 01:45


Ether Price Analysis: Historic Support Tested Amid Signs of Distribution

It’s been weeks since ether has seen a new high or a new low and the market has found itself range-bound. At the moment, we are seeing signs of distribution as large rounds of selling have remained present during key support tests:Figure 1: ETHUSD, 4 Hour Candles, Trading RangeSo far, for the last few weeks, ether has seen a trend of higher lows and low highs (the converging red trendlines).

2018-10-20 01:31


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Reaccumulation Could Test Bear Trend

Last week, after a devastating move that shook the market violently up and down for a 7% move in just a few short minutes, bitcoin saw a major sign of strength as it proceeded to have a slow, but steady markup where it managed to establish a local high in the $6,800s:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Hourly Candles, Shakeout Prior to MarkupThis shakeout forced the market to temporarily establish a new monthly low in what could be argued to be a stop-hunt prior to the move to the $6,800s.

2018-9-24 21:29


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: High Shorts Count Could Signal Price Hike

Once again, bitcoin finds itself precariously perched on the bottom of its macro trading range (TR). After a strong round of selling over the course of two weeks plunged the price back to the $6,000s, bitcoin began consolidating for several weeks at the bottom of the TR:Figure 1: BTC-USD, 1-Day Candles, Macro TRAs shown in the figure above, the market has interacted several times at the current price range and it has been a source of three major bullish rallies.

2018-8-25 00:42