Bitcoin’s halving is only seven days away. According to historical data, the first-ever cryptocurrency is tracking its previous cycle’s price action perfectly.
Here are some interesting facts about Bitcoin’s price action just ahead of the past two halvings.
Looking Back at the Past Two Bitcoin Halving Cycles One Week Out
Markets are cyclical, and history often repeats. Analysts also often warn that past performance does not guarantee future results.
When it comes to Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency’s hard-coded halving, lightning has struck twice thus far. Will the third time be the charm, or will a selloff occur?
The halving narrative is the most bullish thing going for the cryptocurrency market, but these narratives are often used as sell the news events.
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To try to gain a clearer view on what to expect if history does repeat once again, and the Bitcoin halving ends up being the dramatic shift in supply and demand that causes the next bull market.
Looking at past data, during the first cycle, at one week away from the halving, Bitcoin was trading at a price 63% down from the previous peak. This was also over 485% from the local bottom.
In the second cycle, one week out, BTC was trading at 45% down from the 2013 top, and up 300% from the bottom.
This time around, Bitcoin is trading at the exact average between the two previous tops to one week out price action at 54% down from the top. This suggests that Bitcoin is on pace perfectly with the average of both past halving cycles.
The data from the bottom is slightly different, however, this could due to each cycle’s diminishing returns.
On average, BTC rose by over 324% from the bottom to the levels trading one week out from the halving. Bitcoin is only up 189% from its bear market bottom of $3,200 currently.
Post-Halving BTC Price Rises By 6,000% With Risk of Just 25% Drawdown
Now that we have an idea of if Bitcoin price is pacing along with past cycles, what might we be able to expect if a similar surge takes place following the event?
Following the first cycle, Bitcoin price rose over 9378% from the price traded at just one week out. During the second cycle, there was a slight drawdown following the halving, but in the end, Bitcoin price rallied over 2872% to a new peak from the price traded at just seven days from the last halving.
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On average, this means BTC has risen over 6000% post-halving.
Bitcoin’s next halving is here, and if it has even a slightly similar impact, the financial upside could be astronomical. And with an average drawdown of only 27% ever seen post halving, taking a risk here with Bitcoin very well could pay off. origin »
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Standard Chartered, the multinational banking giant, is in the news today after it significantly revised its price forecast for Bitcoin. In fact, it dramatically cut its 2025 projection in half.
ThisThe post Bitcoin - Standard Chartered's revised projection and why THIS is 'no longer a price driver' appeared first on AMBCrypto.
Data from the analyst shows that Ethereum has outperformed Bitcoin in price action as institutional investors pump massive funds into the largest altcoin.
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On-chain analysis shows this movement is a back-and-forth between investors becoming profitThe post Bitcoin price recovery? 3 signals reveal why traders remain cautious appeared first on AMBCrypto.
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Bitcoin Magazine
Bitcoin Price Slips Below $107,000, Analysts See a Buy-the-Dip Moment
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Key Takeaways
Bitcoin’s price rally shows strength from whale outflows and valuation gains, but weakening user activity and long-term selling stir concerns about its sustainability.
BitcoiThe post Bitcoin’s invisible resistance isn’t price: It’s THIS on-chain imbalance appeared first on AMBCrypto.
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Bitcoin's price and value have surged significantly throughout the cycle
Miners have failed to keep pace with the aforementioned surge though
Over the past year, Bitcoin's [BTC] price perforThe post Bitcoin's price, miners, and THIS volatility indicator - All the details! appeared first on AMBCrypto.
Bitcoin price momentum has stalled, with geopolitical tensions affecting hedging activity
Will BTC hold on to the $100k-$110k price range?
Bitcoin's [BTC] price has shown remarkable resilienThe post Bitcoin price prediction - Will $100K hold on despite risk-off sentiment? appeared first on AMBCrypto.
Bitcoin’s famously noted four-year cycle, previously tied to its halving occurrences, could be losing prime market driver status, according to some top experts. For decades, the halving—a built-in reduction of miner compensation every four years—had been preceded by sharp spikes and precipitous drops in price.
Bitcoin Magazine Pro’s Bitcoin Cycle Master tool rates Bitcoin’s current price of $63,500 as fair market value, signaling potential growth based on historical trends and on-chain metrics.
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The post Bitcoin fails to draw safe haven flows amid Middle East crisis: Kaiko appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Glassnode advises Bitcoin investors to moderate their expectations for the upcoming halving, citing historical data and diminishing returns.
The post Bitcoin investors to moderate price expectations post-halving: Glassnode appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs has transformed the market, with inflows supporting prices and altering post-halving dynamics.
The post Bitcoin on-chain metrics are “decidedly positive” after the halving, highlights Bitfinex report appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
