2024-12-23 21:30 |
Bitcoin has endured days of underwhelming price action, retreating from its all-time high of $108,364 to a local low of $92,100. Despite this sharp pullback, the price structure remains bullish, fueling optimism among analysts and traders who believe Bitcoin’s rally could resume at any moment. Market sentiment appears cautious but hopeful, with many eyeing key support and resistance levels for confirmation of the next major move.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler recently shared intriguing data on X, shedding light on Bitcoin’s current trading dynamics. According to Adler, the average daily trading volume on centralized exchanges (CEX) is currently at $31 billion—significantly lower than the $40 billion record highs observed in March and December of this year. This decline in trading activity suggests that market participants are waiting for clearer signals before committing to large positions.
The reduced trading volume highlights an environment of consolidation and potential accumulation as BTC continues to hold above critical support levels. With bullish sentiment still intact and on-chain metrics pointing to strong fundamentals, the coming days could provide pivotal insights into Bitcoin’s trajectory. Investors are now closely monitoring the price action for signs of renewed momentum as the market braces for what could be the next phase of Bitcoin’s bull run.
Metrics Suggest An Ongoing RallyBitcoin has been undergoing a period of consolidation below its all-time high, and many investors have felt a sense of uncertainty, wondering if the cycle’s top has already arrived. This fear has been amplified by the recent price pullback, but key metrics suggest that there is still plenty of room for growth and demand in the market. The current price action might look bearish to some, but the underlying data points to a continued bullish outlook in the near term.
Top analyst Axel Adler recently shared insightful data on X, revealing that the average daily trading volume on centralized exchanges (CEX) currently stands at $31 billion, which is $9 billion lower than the record highs observed in March and December of this year.
Despite this decline in volume, it suggests that the market is in a consolidation phase rather than a full-blown downturn. Additionally, ETF trading volumes remain strong, averaging $4.4 billion per day, with a peak of $6.7 billion reached in March. Combined, these metrics total an average of $35.5 billion in daily trading volume, reflecting substantial activity in the market.
Now, consider the scenario where traditional finance (TradFi) never entered the space. In such a scenario, the market would have likely continued as it has in the past—driven by futures and spot market activity during cycle peaks.
The involvement of TradFi has undoubtedly added liquidity, but it hasn’t fundamentally altered the market’s natural dynamics. The fact that Bitcoin continues to experience healthy trading volume suggests that the bull market may not be over just yet.
Bitcoin Holding Strong Above $95KBitcoin is currently holding above the crucial $95,000 level, which is a key price point for determining the short-term direction. This level has acted as a significant support zone, and if BTC can maintain its position above $95K in the coming days, a push towards the $100K mark would be expected. This potential upward move would signal that the bulls are regaining control and are preparing to challenge previous all-time highs.
However, if BTC fails to hold above $95K and loses this level of support, it would likely send the price to test lower demand zones. In this scenario, the next significant support level lies around $92,000, which could act as a critical test for the market’s strength. A breach below this mark would increase the likelihood of a deeper correction, with BTC possibly moving toward even lower levels.
The coming days will be crucial for BTC, as maintaining support above $95K is vital for sustaining the bullish momentum and avoiding further downside pressure. The market remains in a delicate balance, and the next move could determine whether Bitcoin continues its ascent or faces a more significant pullback.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
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