It’s been an explosive week for the altcoin market, but not for Bitcoin.
As Bitcoinist has extensively covered over recent days, a number of altcoins have surged higher. This list includes Dogecoin (DOGE), Chainlink (LINK), Synthetix (SNX), Cardano (ADA), and VeChain (VET).
BTC vs. altcoins Tron, Ethereum, Cardano, and Crypto.com since the start of 2020. Chart from TradingView.com
The recent price action has convinced some investors that an “altcoin season” is taking place. The term refers to the extremely strong price action of altcoins relative to Bitcoin in 2017 and early-2018.
But there are purportedly tell-tale technical signs that the “altcoin party” is over.
The Altcoin “Party” May End Soon, Says Analyst
Altcoins have been on a tear over the past few days as aforementioned. This has been marked by a sharp drop in Bitcoin dominance, the percentage of the cryptocurrency market made up of BTC.
But a trader says that the “altcoin party will end very soon.” He identified four reasons why this is the case. They are as follows:
Bitcoin dominance has reached a weekly support horizontal.
BTC has traded in a single range for over 70 days. BTC is likely to break the range soon and lead the market.
Market volatility is “at lows only seen 4 times since 2017.” Again, BTC is likely to lead the rest of the crypto market.
Q3 has historically been bearish for Bitcoin. When BTC falls, altcoins often fall further.
There has also been an increasing number of prominent investors and executives coming out against altcoins in recent weeks.
Kevin Rose, a general partner at True Ventures, said to TechCrunch in June:
“The problem is that 99% of the projects out there and a lot of the people who are behind them are just in this for the pure financial gain. And there’s a lot of garbage out there. And that’s unfortunate because it really drags down the high-quality projects, and it muddies the space quite a bit.”
This sentiment has been echoed to a T by others, including trader “Joe007.” He said there is likely to be a “s**tcoin mass extinction event to precede the next Bitcoin rally.
Bitcoin Could Boom as Altcoins Retrace
Bitcoin stands to benefit from an altcoin retracement.
Kelvin “Spartan Black” Koh, a partner at The Spartan Group and a former Goldman Sachs partner, said that altcoin profits often cycle into Bitcoin:
“We have seen a major re-rating in many of the smaller altcoins (esp DeFi ones) in the past 4-5 weeks while BTC has been range bound. At some point, the valuation of these alts will start to look frothy and the capital will flow back to BTC.”
Risk appetite is returning.
We have seen a major re-rating in many of the smaller altcoins (esp DeFi ones) in the past 4-5 weeks while $BTC has been range bound.
At some point, the valuation of these alts will start to look frothy and the capital will flow back to $BTC.
— SpartanBlack (@SpartanBlack_1) June 9, 2020
That’s not to say that money will stay in BTC.
But if crypto investors want to cash out their altcoin profits and still want net long exposure to this asset class, they are likely to hold Bitcoin. Ethereum, too, may potentially be a viable option for holding.
Featured Image from Shutterstock
Price tags: xbtusd, btcusd, btcusdt
Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin Analyst Shares 4 Reasons Why the Altcoin "Party" Will End Soon origin »
The Altcoin Season Index saw a major spike for the first time since April.
Bitcoin remained dominant despite the spike.
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The altcoin market cap bullish trend is back in play after a considerably increase.
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Industry experts are buzzing with this week’s sensational claim that the market is headed for a collapse. Juniper Research published data this week that it claimed pointed to a cataclysmic collapse in the cryptocurrency market that could be just round the corner.
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Bitcoin price is consolidating above the $95,000 support zone. BTC must settle above the $100,000 level to start a fresh increase in the near term. Bitcoin started a fresh increase from the $94,200 zone.
Bitcoin price started a fresh upward move above $100,000. BTC is facing resistance at $103,000 and might aim for an upside break. Bitcoin started a decent upward move above the $100,000 zone. The price is trading below $103,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
Bitcoin price settled above the $100,500 resistance zone. BTC is consolidating gains and might aim for a fresh increase above the $105,000 zone. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $106,800 zone.
Bitcoin price started a short-term downside correction from the $106,250 zone. BTC is consolidating above $100,000 and might aim for a fresh increase. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $106,250 zone.