The Bitcoin market has seen a horrific tale over the week, with the price recording a downturn of more than 12%. As the flagship cryptocurrency tests its $77,000 price support, data from recent on-chain analysis has been put out, which suggests that investors might have more concerns in the near-term.

In a recent QuickTake post on the CryptoQuant platform, market analyst CryptoOnchain hypothesizes that the Bitcoin price currently stands very little chance of recuperating. On the contrary, the analyst implies that the flagship cryptocurrency could endure a sustained downturn, especially considering other on-chain conditions. 

The market quant’s post revolves around the Bitcoin Active Addresses metric, which reveals how much network activity is ongoing within the Bitcoin market by measuring the amount of unique wallet addresses that are either sending or receiving BTC, over a period of time (in this case, over the past seven days).

According to CryptoOnchain, the active addresses count recently fell to 720,000, marking the lowest levels seen since April 2020. For context, the active addresses were as high as 1.126 million as of November 2024. Hence, the 36% contraction from the November 2024 peak to current readings reflects a significant reduction in on-chain activity.

From the chart shared by the analyst, it is apparent that network participation among retailers significantly declined in the latter half of 2025 and reached 2020 lows early in 2026. Notably, the current downtrend in network activity comes with a growing divergence. CryptoOnchain points out that the Bitcoin price still retains levels significantly higher than those seen in April 2020. But the network usage is still at that low level, reflecting a schism between network activity and price action. 

The analyst concludes that this is a sign of insufficient support (i.e organic demand) from network users. In this case, losing the $83,000 support may have been a fatal blow for the Bitcoin price. The analyst explains that this worsened the risk of further downward movement, as Bitcoin’s growth was already without underlying network support. 

For any recovery attempts to hold, and not end in “bull traps”, there has to be a reversal in the relative inactivity within the Bitcoin network currently unfolding. Better still, CryptoOnchain prescribes the “renewed influx of users on-chain” for a sustainable upside move to gain feasibility.

As of this writing, Bitcoin is worth about $78,743, with CoinMarketCap data reflecting a 6.39% loss over the past 24 hours. 

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