2024-6-5 02:29 |
Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts. origin »
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Gamblers have placed almost $900,000 in bets on the “Trump in jail before election day?” market on the predictions application Polymarket.
2024-6-3 14:38 | |
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Plus: Free money? "Democrat wins New York" contract trades at 90 cents on the dollar.
2024-4-2 16:16 | |
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Donald Trump’s odds at re-election have fallen sharply, according to bets by crypto traders. Trump’s chance at re-election has plummeted to 44%, compared to Biden’s 52% likelihood of victory.
2020-6-20 20:56 | |
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In less than 270 days the United States will have its 2020 election and millions of people worldwide will be betting on whether Donald Trump is reelected. Cryptocurrency participants are currently wagering their digital assets on the election outcome, where the odds on prediction markets and betting sites indicate Trump will likely win.
2020-2-9 19:20 | |
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Crypto traders outside the U.S. now have a way to weigh in on President Trump thanks to a new digital token, the TRUMP.
2020-2-8 22:33 | |
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The Dow Jones took a mammoth beating on Wednesday, plunging as much as 550 points as investors endured a miserable ADP nonfarm private sector employment report. Tuesday’s ISM manufacturing reading had the stock market on edge, and today’s jobs numbers confirmed evident weakness in a previously strong US labor market.
2019-10-2 22:11 | |
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Democratic primary season continues to plod along, and the Democratic National Committee (with help from the broadcast networks) is doing its part to whittle the historically-large field down to a more palatable size.
2019-9-13 21:34 | |
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Democratic primary season continues to plod along, and the Democratic National Committee (with help from the broadcast networks) is doing its part to whittle the historically-large field down to a more palatable size.
2019-9-13 21:34 | |
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By CCN: Google was only the beginning of Chinese multinational tech giant Huawei‘s woes. The odds are increasingly stacked against the popular smartphone maker now that it is losing business with one of its biggest partners: British chip designer Arm Holdings.
2019-5-24 00:28 | |
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By CCN: The US stock market stormed into recovery mode on Thursday afternoon after President Donald Trump revealed that he remains optimistic about the odds of the US-China trade deal that increasingly appears to have slipped from the administration’s grasp.
2019-5-10 20:33 | |
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Plus: the market is not confident if Matt Gaetz will be confirmed as Trump's attorney general.
How will Polymarket and Kalshi resolve their presidential bets if there's another Jan. 6 or Bush v. Gore situation?
Initially, Kalshi's feeds will power perpetual futures contracts on decentralized exchanges. Eventually, the centralized betting platform might referee on-chain prediction markets.
If it turns out that the judge's ruling preempts the CFTC’s proposed rulemaking, election event contracts may now be completely legal.
Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction market signals. Plus: Kalshi bettors don't think Taylor Swift will break her record.