prediction markets / Заголовки новостей 
Iran reveals Gulf bridge targets as US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet to 2%
Increased tensions and military posturing could lead to further instability in the Gulf region, impacting global economic and security dynamics. The post Iran reveals Gulf bridge targets as US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet to 2% appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 05:46
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US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 66% after Isfahan strike
Rising odds of U.S. forces entering Iran signal heightened geopolitical tensions and potential for increased military conflict in the region. The post US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 66% after Isfahan strike appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 05:39
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US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 65.5% amid military buildup
Increased military presence and market speculation suggest a potential shift in US-Iran relations, impacting geopolitical stability. The post US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 65. дальше »
2026-4-3 05:39
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Explosions near Revolutionary Guard base raise odds of regime fall to 14% by June 30
The explosions highlight potential instability, but significant regime change remains speculative without further destabilizing events. The post Explosions near Revolutionary Guard base raise odds of regime fall to 14% by June 30 appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 04:07
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Trump’s efforts to end Iran conflict see ceasefire odds drop to 23.5% by April 30
Market skepticism highlights challenges in achieving a US-Iran ceasefire, but potential diplomatic breakthroughs could emerge by late May. The post Trump’s efforts to end Iran conflict see ceasefire odds drop to 23. дальше »
2026-4-3 01:57
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Ceasefire odds drop to 2% as US-Iran tensions escalate
Escalating US-Iran tensions suggest prolonged conflict, diminishing hopes for immediate diplomatic solutions and impacting global stability. The post Ceasefire odds drop to 2% as US-Iran tensions escalate appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 01:51
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US strike on Iranian bridge signals military escalation, ceasefire odds plummet
The military escalation diminishes diplomatic efforts, increasing uncertainty and reducing the likelihood of a near-term ceasefire. The post US strike on Iranian bridge signals military escalation, ceasefire odds plummet appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 01:50
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7M Iranians volunteer to fight as US invasion odds rise to 65.5% by April 30
Rising tensions and volunteer mobilization in Iran could escalate regional instability, impacting global markets and geopolitical dynamics. The post 7M Iranians volunteer to fight as US invasion odds rise to 65. дальше »
2026-4-3 01:49
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Iran claims downing of US jet, CENTCOM denies; tensions rise
Market volatility reflects heightened geopolitical risks, with traders anticipating potential military escalation despite official denials. The post Iran claims downing of US jet, CENTCOM denies; tensions rise appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 01:16
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UN security council rejects force resolution; Iran to keep hormuz closed
The rejection of the resolution exacerbates geopolitical tensions, increasing the likelihood of military escalation and market volatility. The post UN security council rejects force resolution; Iran to keep hormuz closed appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 00:32
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USS ford prepares to rejoin operations near Iran
The USS Ford's deployment signals potential regional instability, influencing market expectations of increased military engagement. The post USS ford prepares to rejoin operations near Iran appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 23:47
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Iran warns ceasefire may aid US regrouping; USS ford returns to sea
Rising skepticism and distrust hinder diplomatic progress, complicating potential US-Iran peace efforts and impacting geopolitical stability. The post Iran warns ceasefire may aid US regrouping; USS ford returns to sea appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 23:43
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Iran’s armed forces warn ceasefire could aid US regrouping
Iran's skepticism over ceasefire talks highlights geopolitical tensions, impacting market confidence and complicating diplomatic efforts. The post Iran’s armed forces warn ceasefire could aid US regrouping appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 23:43
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Iran hints at reopening Strait of Hormuz, ceasefire odds drop
Iran's potential move could ease tensions, but skepticism persists, impacting market confidence and highlighting geopolitical uncertainties. The post Iran hints at reopening Strait of Hormuz, ceasefire odds drop appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 23:20
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Iran threatens long-term strait closure as US plans tariffs
Iran's strategic escalation and US economic measures heighten geopolitical tensions, impacting global markets and ceasefire prospects. The post Iran threatens long-term strait closure as US plans tariffs appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 22:29
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Odds of US forces entering Iran by april 30 rise to 63% after trump’s speech
Increased odds of US forces entering Iran could escalate geopolitical tensions, impacting global markets and international relations. The post Odds of US forces entering Iran by april 30 rise to 63% after trump’s speech appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 22:09
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Jordan calls for arab defense treaty activation amid US-Iran tensions
Jordan's call for activating the Arab defense treaty may escalate regional military alliances, complicating US-Iran peace efforts. The post Jordan calls for arab defense treaty activation amid US-Iran tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 21:59
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Trump’s speech signals ongoing conflict, dims ceasefire chances
Trump's speech exacerbates geopolitical tensions, undermining short-term diplomatic efforts and impacting market confidence in conflict resolution. The post Trump’s speech signals ongoing conflict, dims ceasefire chances appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 21:06
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CFTC Launches Innovation Task Force for Bitcoin, Crypto, AI, and Prediction Markets
Bitcoin Magazine CFTC Launches Innovation Task Force for Bitcoin, Crypto, AI, and Prediction Markets The CFTC has launched a new Task Force to develop clear regulatory frameworks for bitcoin and emerging technologies in U. дальше »
2026-3-25 19:06
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Wall Street is desperate to copy crypto’s prediction markets as Cboe files for “Yes/No” options
Cboe wants to bring back all-or-nothing options, a contract that pays a fixed amount if a condition is met and pays zero if it isn't. While that might sound like a small product refresh, the timing makes it hard to ignore. дальше »
2026-2-16 22:30
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Wall Street tries to copy crypto’s prediction markets as Cboe files for “Yes/No” options
Cboe wants to bring back all-or-nothing options, a contract that pays a fixed amount if a condition is met and pays zero if it isn't. While that might sound like a small product refresh, the timing makes it hard to ignore. дальше »
2026-2-17 22:30
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Tennessee Regulator Sends Cease-And-Desist Letters To Polymarket, Kalshi, Crypto.com — Details
Tennessee’s sports betting regulator has ordered Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto. com to cease offering sports betting contracts, bringing focus to the regulatory landscape of event contract exchanges. дальше »
2026-1-12 16:00
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Only Congress Can Ban Election Betting, Kalshi Tells Appeals Court in New Filing
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) may not like election betting, but only Congress — not the regulator — has the authority to ban it, embattled prediction market purveyor Kalshi argued in a Friday court filing. дальше »
2024-11-19 21:33
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Polymarket Projects a GOP House, Clinching Trump Trifecta
If the prediction market's traders are right – and lately, they've been right – the election results are even more bullish for crypto than they appear. дальше »
2024-11-7 22:10
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U.S. Election Betting: Polymarket 'Manipulation' Claims Miss the Mark
The manipulation narrative is an attempt by mainstream media to discredit Polymarket’s election odds and control the narrative, one expert said. дальше »
2024-11-5 23:00
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Fortune Claims Polymarket Is 'Rife' With Wash Trading
As much as a third of the prediction market's volume is inflated by traders buying and selling the same shares repeatedly, Fortune reported, citing blockchain researchers. They could be doing it to farm a future airdropped token. дальше »
2024-11-1 20:08
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Polymarket Is a Success for Polygon Blockchain – Everywhere But the Bottom Line
One of the major breakout successes this year for the team behind layer-2 blockchain Polygon is Polymarket. But according to data, Polymarket has only brought in about $27,000 of transaction fees for Polygon PoS in 2024. дальше »
2024-10-25 14:45
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Activist Group Says Kalshi’s Election Market Should Be Shut Due to 'Manipulative' Whales
Better Markets is using Polymarket's "French connection" as ammo against the prediction market's regulated competitor. дальше »
2024-10-25 21:51
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Trump Polymarket Odds Briefly Dip After His No. 2 Bull Adds Bet on Harris
The former president's probability of retaking the White House slid to 59% Wednesday before rebounding. дальше »
2024-10-24 22:46
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No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them. дальше »
2024-10-22 21:10
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Trump Leads Harris on Polymarket After Musk Endorsement, but Trails in This Key State
Elon Musk says that prediction markets are more accurate than polls. дальше »
2024-10-7 11:30
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U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi Preps Presidential Prediction Markets After Re-Launching Congressional Contracts
The CFTC "has failed to demonstrate that it or the public will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay pending appeal," an appeals court said, clearing the prediction market to resume listing the contracts. дальше »
2024-10-3 17:52
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Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge
Investors in the proposed round would get warrants to buy tokens in the event the prediction market decides to issue one, The Information reported. дальше »
2024-9-24 02:15
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U.S. CFTC Chair Behnam Says Regulator Will Keep Pursuing Kalshi Case
After the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission's court defeat last week in the agency's pursuit of Kalshi's election contracts, the regulator's chairman, Rostin Behnam, said it will still keep pursuing the case against what it continues to contend is illegal activity. дальше »
2024-9-18 18:39
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Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds
Nearly $1 billion has been bet on the crypto-based prediction market. Plus: are you ready for 20x leveraged election betting? дальше »
2024-9-16 18:30
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'An Explosion of Election Gambling' Is Nigh, CFTC Warns Appeals Court
The regulator pleaded with the court to halt Kalshi's political prediction markets for the duration of the CFTC's appeal. дальше »
2024-9-16 05:10
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Kalshi's New Political Prediction Markets Halted as CFTC Appeals Loss
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission appealed its loss against prediction markets platform Kalshi to the D.C. Appeals Court late Thursday. дальше »
2024-9-14 07:14
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Kalshi Lists Long-Sought Election Contracts After Beating CFTC in Court
The agency plans to appeal the case brought by the trading platform, and could still ask the higher court to stop the firm from listing the contracts. дальше »
2024-9-14 19:12
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U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown
Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters. дальше »
2024-9-14 15:00
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Prediction markets are the killer blockchain app we've been waiting for
As markets continue to evolve and integrate with Web3 — from DeFi to gaming — we're likely to see an explosion of creativity.
дальше »2024-9-11 01:59
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Did RFK Jr. Really 'Drop Out'? Polymarket Bettors Argue Over Contract Resolution
Prediction market traders place bets on Telegram CEO's release from jail and spread of mpox. дальше »
2024-8-26 19:00
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Kamala Harris' Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket
The vice president дальше »
2024-7-3 01:35
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Trump Widens Lead Over With Biden (on Polymarket and PredictIt) After Courting Crypto Vote
Plus, how much longshot money was made betting on the SEC approving an Ethereum ETF? дальше »
2024-5-29 01:04
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Azuro – Infrastructure and Liquidity for On-chain Predictions
Rossen is a core contributor at Azuro, an infrastructure/liquidity layer for on-chain predictions. It utilizes a new Liquidity Pool design, the Liquidity Tree, which creates and maintains market liquidity. дальше »
2024-5-8 04:36
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Binance's CZ Will Spend Less Than a Year in Prison, Polymarket Traders Bet
Also, the CFTC wants to bar Americans from betting on elections – even though it's already illegal in most U.S. states. дальше »
2024-4-29 17:15
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How to Design Better On-Chain Governance
An introduction to Futarchy and combinatorial prediction markets. дальше »
2024-3-31 19:22
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How Many Years Will SBF Get? Jury's Out on Betting Platform Polymarket
Plus: Tesla's delivery numbers will fall short of record, Kalshi traders signal; "Ghostbusters" fandom underestimated. дальше »
2024-3-26 15:56
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Polars (POL) Review: Introducing DeFi in Prediction Markets
Two things: One, DeFi is huge, so extensive it can describe any financial activity executable in a decentralized manner. While decentralized exchanges, trading, insurance, and more dominate, other areas under this umbrella remain under-explored but, nonetheless, a gold mine. дальше »
2021-4-5 22:20
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