M2 money supply analysis shows one clear winner in race

2023-4-6 14:41

Definition

What is M2 in money supply? M2 is a metric used to gauge the quantity of money supply in the United States. It comprises a broader range of financial assets compared to the more limited M1 measure, which includes currency and coins held by the non-bank public, checkable deposits, and travelers’ checks. The M2 measure also adds savings deposits such as money market deposit accounts, small-time deposits that are below $100,000, and shares in retail money market mutual funds.

Quick Take Investors talk about % gain in both nominal and real terms. Nominal does not consider inflation, but real terms consider inflation. Historically, over time, assets such as S&P, gold, house prices, and even Bitcoin have tended to go up in value in nominal terms. However, when you adjust for inflation or the money supply, you get a very different return on your investment. The M2 money supply has grown rapidly and has now surpassed 21 trillion. Yet, asset performance looks rather different when you adjust for money supply growth. Bitcoin is the only asset that has eclipsed its previous all-time high, while the next best performer is the Nasdaq. However, that failed to break its all-time high in 2000, and we suggest no reason for it to break it in the future. Given Bitcoin’s supply dynamics and the upcoming halving, there is potential for a new all-time high to be reached even after adjusting for the money supply, which could have significant impacts on the market.

Asset Returns: (Source: Trading View)Key figures:

TLT: -65% Silver: -62% Gold: -22% SPX: +0.38% Nasdaq: 1068% BTC-USD: 108,000%

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Supply Shock (M1) на Currencies.ru

$ 0 (+0.00%)
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Изменеия 24h: 0.00 %, 7d: 0.00 %
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money supply currency measure limited includes held

Источник: cryptoslate.com

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