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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Upward Drift Continues Following Established Macro Support

Since mid-February, the bitcoin market has continued to drift upward toward a band of strong, macro resistance (shown below as a red band). This slow, drift upward marks our fourth test of the resistance zone and, unlike the three prior tests, our rejection of the level has shown a weakness on the side of the bears:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Fourth RejectionIf we compare the three prior rejections (labeled 1, 2 and 3), we see that the move into this resistance level was violent — and had equally violent rejections.

2019-3-29 02:21


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Grind Could Lead to Short Squeeze

Last Friday, we discussed a macro resistance level bitcoin would likely test. The level was tested three times prior and immediately rejected. Now, for the fourth time, we find ourselves situated above the level as we wait to see if our support holds:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Fourth Test of Macro ResistanceThe first three attempts to hold support above the black, broken resistance have been stifled with relatively high amounts of volume.

2019-3-19 01:17


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Keep an Eye Out for a Close Above the Current High

Shortly after falling from its test of the low $4,000s, bitcoin managed to find support in the mid $3,500s. This has proven to be a relevant level over the last few months, and finding support here would be a sign of relatively strong demand:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Local SupportThe high candle spread rejection following our test of the low $4,000s was an indication that we had strong levels of supply left in the market, but for the time being we are holding support.

2019-3-1 03:44


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bullish Rejection Wipes Out Bitcoin’s Weekend Gains

Over the weekend, a strong rally was stifled by an even stronger rejection as the bitcoin market was shoved into a band of overhanging resistance. This band of resistance has been mentioned several times in our analyses over the last few weeks as it has proven impossible to overcome for the time being:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Failed BreakoutThis run to the low $4,000s coincided with a breakout of a rather large symmetrical triangle consolidation shown above.

2019-2-26 02:42


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bitcoin Tests Boundary Support as Demand Weakens

Following last Friday’s drop, bitcoin has found itself coiled, once again, at the bottom of the range it established back in December. With the current market unable to close a new high, the market finds itself in a precarious position:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Range Support TestThe blue support level shown above illustrates the boundary of the multi-week range bitcoin has been bound by.

2019-1-18 02:02


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bear Pennant Breakout Puts $1,700 Price in Sight

Another week, another low. Bitcoin’s market has been bleeding relentlessly for weeks and now, after falling 50% in value in just one month, the market has managed to break south of a major bearish consolidation pattern called a bear pennant:Figure 1: BTC-USD, 4-Hour Candles, Bear Pennant BreakoutThis is a massive bear pennant with a staggering $2,000 measured move.

2018-12-12 01:52


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CFTC Chairman Believes Bitcoin Is ‘Here To Stay’

Although crypto regulation has been discussed widely for years now, it is still of the biggest issues in the industry to date and has multiple unsolved problems. There isn’t a final decision on how these types of assets should be managed and controlled due to members of such influential governmental bodies such as the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) and the CFTC (Commodities Futures Trading Commission) haven’t been able to reach a single opinion on the matter.

2018-10-3 17:30


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Reaccumulation Could Test Bear Trend

Last week, after a devastating move that shook the market violently up and down for a 7% move in just a few short minutes, bitcoin saw a major sign of strength as it proceeded to have a slow, but steady markup where it managed to establish a local high in the $6,800s:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Hourly Candles, Shakeout Prior to MarkupThis shakeout forced the market to temporarily establish a new monthly low in what could be argued to be a stop-hunt prior to the move to the $6,800s.

2018-9-24 21:29


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: High Shorts Count Could Signal Price Hike

Once again, bitcoin finds itself precariously perched on the bottom of its macro trading range (TR). After a strong round of selling over the course of two weeks plunged the price back to the $6,000s, bitcoin began consolidating for several weeks at the bottom of the TR:Figure 1: BTC-USD, 1-Day Candles, Macro TRAs shown in the figure above, the market has interacted several times at the current price range and it has been a source of three major bullish rallies.

2018-8-25 00:42


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Bitcoin Price Analysis: New Low on Low Volume Breeds Potential Bullish Set-up

Bitcoin sits precariously perched at the bottom of the annual market low and many bitcoin investors aren’t sure what to make of it. Although the market seems to be continuing its drift to new lows with greater and greater ease, there are a couple of bullish signals worth considering while the market continues to consolidate: Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, New Market LowOn Friday, June 29, 2018, for the first time this year, the daily candles closed below the annual low of $6,000s.

2018-7-1 19:35